arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2409.02269stat.MEmath.STstat.COstat.TH

Lasso回归推断的模拟校准检验

Simulation-calibration testing for inference in Lasso regressions

Matthieu Pluntz, Cyril Dalmasso, Pascale Tubert-Bitter, Ismail Ahmed

AI总结:

本文提出一种基于模拟校准的条件p值检验方法,用于检验Lasso路径上变量的显著性并控制族错误率,从而在控制假阳性风险的前提下选择Lasso路径模型。

摘要:

我们提出了一种检验出现在Lasso路径上的变量显著性的方法,并将其用于选择Lasso路径中的一个模型,同时控制族错误率(Family-Wise Error Rate)。我们的原假设依赖于一组已选变量A,并声称A包含了所有活跃变量。我们关注从A之外第一个变量被选入时的正则化参数值。作为检验统计量,我们使用该量的条件p值,该条件p值是在限制于A的模型的非惩罚估计系数条件下定义的。我们通过模拟结果向量,然后将其校准到观测结果的估计系数上来估计该条件p值。我们将这种校准启发式地推广到广义线性模型的情形,此时它转化为一个迭代随机过程。我们证明,在线性模型中,该检验在原假设下以及在满足相关性条件且A未包含所有活跃变量时,都能控制选择假阳性的风险。我们通过大量模拟研究评估了所提方法的性能。我们还在法国药物警戒数据库中检测与药物性肝损伤相关的暴露因素时对该方法进行了说明。

英文摘要:

We propose a test of the significance of a variable appearing on the Lasso path and use it in a procedure for selecting one of the models of the Lasso path, controlling the Family-Wise Error Rate. Our null hypothesis depends on a set A of already selected variables and states that it contains all the active variables. We focus on the regularization parameter value from which a first variable outside A is selected. As the test statistic, we use this quantity's conditional p-value, which we define conditional on the non-penalized estimated coefficients of the model restricted to A. We estimate this by simulating outcome vectors and then calibrating them on the observed outcome's estimated coefficients. We adapt the calibration heuristically to the case of generalized linear models in which it turns into an iterative stochastic procedure. We prove that the test controls the risk of selecting a false positive in linear models, both under the null hypothesis and, under a correlation condition, when A does not contain all active variables. We assess the performance of our procedure through extensive simulation studies. We also illustrate it in the detection of exposures associated with drug-induced liver injuries in the French pharmacovigilance database.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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