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arXiv 2408.00601cs.LG
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AutoPV:自动设计你的光伏功率预测模型

AutoPV: Automatically Design Your Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Model

Department of Building Environment and Energy Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University(香港理工大学建筑环境与能源工程系);International Centre of Urban Energy Nexus, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University(香港理工大学城市能源 nexus 中心);Research Institute for Smart Energy, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University(香港理工大学智能能源研究院);Eastern Institute for Advanced Study, Eastern Institute of Technology(东院高级研究机构);School of Business, Society and Technology, Mälardalens University(马尔默大学商学院、社会与技术学院);Center for Spatial Information Science, the University of Tokyo(东京大学空间信息科学中心);PV Industry Innovation Center, State Power Investment Corporation(国家电力投资集团光伏产业创新中心);School of Urban Planning and Design, Peking University, Shenzhen(北京大学深圳校区城市规划与设计学院);Ningbo Institute of Digital Twin, Eastern Institute of Technology(宁波数字孪生研究所)

Dayin Chen, Xiaodan Shi, Mingkun Jiang, Haoran Zhang, Dongxiao Zhang, Yuntian Chen, Jinyue Yan

AI总结:

本文提出AutoPV框架,利用神经架构搜索技术自动设计光伏功率预测模型,通过新颖的搜索空间提升预测性能,实验表明其在短时间內构建出优于现有模型的架构。

摘要:

光伏功率预测(PVPF)是时间序列预测(TSF)中的关键领域,能够有效利用太阳能。随着机器学习和深度学习的发展,各种模型已应用于PVPF任务。然而,为特定PVPF任务构建最优预测架构仍具挑战性,因其需要跨领域知识和大量劳动成本。为解决此问题,我们引入AutoPV,一种基于神经架构搜索(NAS)技术的新型框架,用于自动搜索和构建PVPF模型。我们开发了一个全新的NAS搜索空间,整合了最先进的TSF模型和典型PVPF深度学习模型的数据处理技术。通过中国大庆光伏站的数据集,评估了AutoPV在多种PVPF任务中的有效性。实验结果表明,AutoPV能在相对较短时间内完成预测架构构建,且新构建的架构优于现有最优模型。本工作填补了将NAS应用于TSF问题的空白,帮助非专业人士和行业自动设计有效的PVPF模型。

英文摘要:

Photovoltaic power forecasting (PVPF) is a critical area in time series forecasting (TSF), enabling the efficient utilization of solar energy. With advancements in machine learning and deep learning, various models have been applied to PVPF tasks. However, constructing an optimal predictive architecture for specific PVPF tasks remains challenging, as it requires cross-domain knowledge and significant labor costs. To address this challenge, we introduce AutoPV, a novel framework for the automated search and construction of PVPF models based on neural architecture search (NAS) technology. We develop a brand new NAS search space that incorporates various data processing techniques from state-of-the-art (SOTA) TSF models and typical PVPF deep learning models. The effectiveness of AutoPV is evaluated on diverse PVPF tasks using a dataset from the Daqing Photovoltaic Station in China. Experimental results demonstrate that AutoPV can complete the predictive architecture construction process in a relatively short time, and the newly constructed architecture is superior to SOTA predefined models. This work bridges the gap in applying NAS to TSF problems, assisting non-experts and industries in automatically designing effective PVPF models.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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