arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2406.02436cs.ROcs.SYeess.SY
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基于共形化神经网络集成的安全、分布外自适应模型预测控制

Safe, Out-of-Distribution-Adaptive MPC with Conformalized Neural Network Ensembles

Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Stanford University(航空航天工程系,斯坦福大学)

Jose Leopoldo Contreras, Ola Shorinwa, Mac Schwager

AI总结:

本文提出 SODA-MPC,通过共形预测检测分布外情况并在基于学习的 MPC 与基于可达性的安全回退控制之间切换,在自动驾驶行人场景中同时提升安全性与任务完成率。

摘要:

我们提出 SODA-MPC,一种安全、分布外自适应模型预测控制算法,该算法使用学习模型集成进行预测,并配备运行时监视器来标记不可靠的分布外(OOD)预测。当检测到 OOD 情况时,SODA-MPC 会触发基于可达性的安全回退控制策略,从而形成一个控制框架,既能获得基于学习模型的高性能,又能保持基于可达性控制的安全性。我们在自动驾驶汽车在动态行人之间行驶的场景中演示了该方法,其中 SODA-MPC 使用神经网络集成进行行人预测。我们使用共形预测来校准 OOD 信号,以在用户指定的置信水平下推导出对假阳性率具有概率保证的 OOD 检测器。在分布内运行期间,MPC 控制器根据集成均值的预测轨迹避免与行人碰撞。当检测到 OOD 条件时,MPC 切换到基于可达性的控制器,在假设行人最大速度的情况下避开行人的可达集,从而在行人最坏情况动作下保证安全。我们在行人过街场景的大量自动驾驶仿真中验证了 SODA-MPC。我们的模型集成使用真实行人数据进行训练和校准,结果表明我们的 OOD 检测器在理论预测范围内达到了期望的准确率。我们通过实验证明,与两种同样使用共形预测但不具备 OOD 自适应能力的最先进 MPC 方法相比,SODA-MPC 在安全性和任务完成率方面均有提升。此外,我们使用大规模多智能体预测器 Trajectron++,并利用 nuScenes 数据集中的大规模交通数据进行训练和校准,证明了我们方法的有效性。

英文摘要:

We present SODA-MPC, a Safe, Out-of-Distribution-Adaptive Model Predictive Control algorithm, which uses an ensemble of learned models for prediction, with a runtime monitor to flag unreliable out-of-distribution (OOD) predictions. When an OOD situation is detected, SODA-MPC triggers a safe fallback control strategy based on reachability, yielding a control framework that achieves the high performance of learning-based models while preserving the safety of reachability-based control. We demonstrate the method in the context of an autonomous vehicle, driving among dynamic pedestrians, where SODA-MPC uses a neural network ensemble for pedestrian prediction. We calibrate the OOD signal using conformal prediction to derive an OOD detector with probabilistic guarantees on the false-positive rate, given a user-specified confidence level. During in-distribution operation, the MPC controller avoids collisions with a pedestrian based on the trajectory predicted by the mean of the ensemble. When OOD conditions are detected, the MPC switches to a reachability-based controller to avoid collisions with the reachable set of the pedestrian assuming a maximum pedestrian speed, to guarantee safety under the worst-case actions of the pedestrian. We verify SODA-MPC in extensive autonomous driving simulations in a pedestrian-crossing scenario. Our model ensemble is trained and calibrated with real pedestrian data, showing that our OOD detector obtains the desired accuracy rate within a theoretically-predicted range. We empirically show improved safety and improved task completion compared with two state-of-the-art MPC methods that also use conformal prediction, but without OOD adaptation. Further, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our method with the large-scale multi-agent predictor Trajectron++, using large-scale traffic data from the nuScenes dataset for training and calibration.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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