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arXiv 2402.19476astro-ph.CO

弱引力透镜对明亮标准汽笛分析的影响

Impact of weak lensing on bright standard siren analyses

Charlie T. Mpetha, Giuseppe Congedo, Andy Taylor, Martin A. Hendry

AI总结:

本文研究弱引力透镜放大率弥散σ_μ被低估对标准汽笛宇宙学参数约束的偏差影响,发现这会显著增加H_0和Ω_m的残余透镜偏差概率,并限制双中子星并合在精确宇宙学中的应用。

摘要:

来自宇宙学距离上双星并合的引力波会经历大尺度结构造成的弱引力透镜效应。这会导致波幅的(去)放大μ,并对推断的光度距离d_L产生简并性修正。为解决这一问题,d_L的不确定度会根据源红移处放大率分布的弥散σ_μ而增大。但这一项依赖于正在被引力波“标准汽笛”约束的宇宙学参数,例如哈勃参数H_0和物质密度分数Ω_m。σ_μ也对其计算所用模拟的分辨率敏感。来自独立数据集的H_0测量值之间的张力,以及当前使用的过时宇宙学模拟,表明σ_μ可能被低估。我们考虑两类标准汽笛:超大质量黑洞双星并合和双中子星并合。在计算σ_μ时低估H_0和Ω_m会使在这些参数上发现大于1σ的残余透镜偏差的概率增加1.5至3倍。通过使用低分辨率或小天区模拟来低估σ_μ也会显著增加结果出现偏差的概率。对于中子星并合,可能偏差的散布为0.25 km/s/Mpc,与预测的不确定度相当。如果不加以修正,这一效应将限制双中子星并合在精确宇宙学中的使用。对于超大质量黑洞双星,H_0上可能偏差的散布显著,为5 km/s/Mpc,但需要O(200)次观测才能将方差降低到偏差以下。要利用标准汽笛在宇宙学参数上实现亚百分比级的精确度,首先需要对放大率分布的形式及其对宇宙学的依赖性有大幅改进的认识。

英文摘要:

Gravitational waves from binary mergers at cosmological distances will experience weak lensing by large scale structure. This causes a (de-)magnification, $μ$, of the wave amplitude, and a degenerate modification to the inferred luminosity distance $d_L$. To address this the uncertainty on $d_L$ is increased according to the dispersion of the magnification distribution at the source redshift, $σ_μ$. But this term is dependent on cosmological parameters that are being constrained by gravitational wave "standard sirens", such as the Hubble parameter $H_0$, and the matter density fraction $Ω_m$. $σ_μ$ is also sensitive to the resolution of the simulation used for its calculation. Tension in the measured value of $H_0$ from independent datasets, and the present use of outdated cosmological simulations, suggest $σ_μ$ could be underestimated. We consider two classes of standard siren, supermassive black hole binary and binary neutron star mergers. Underestimating $H_0$ and $Ω_m$ when calculating $σ_μ$ increases the probability of finding a residual lensing bias on these parameters greater than $1σ$ by 1.5-3 times. Underestimating $σ_μ$ by using low resolution/small sky-area simulations can also significantly increase the probability of biased results. For neutron star mergers, the spread of possible biases is 0.25 km/s/Mpc, comparable to the forecasted uncertainty. Left uncorrected this effect limits the use of BNS mergers for precision cosmology. For supermassive black hole binaries, the spread of possible biases on $H_0$ is significant, 5 km/s/Mpc, but $O(200)$ observations are needed to reduce the variance below the bias. To achieve accurate sub-percent level precision on cosmological parameters using standard sirens, first much improved knowledge on the form of the magnification distribution and its dependence on cosmology is needed.

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