Predicting the future location of mobile objects reinforces location-aware services with proactive intelligence and helps businesses and decision-makers with better planning and near real-time scheduling in different applications such as traffic congestion control, location-aware advertisements, and monitoring public health and well-being. The recent developments in the smartphone and location sensors technology and the prevalence of using location-based social networks alongside the improvements in artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques provide an excellent opportunity to exploit massive amounts of historical and real-time contextual information to recognise mobility patterns and achieve more accurate and intelligent predictions. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of the next useful location prediction problem with context-awareness. First, we explain the concepts of context and context-awareness and define the next location prediction problem. Then we analyse nearly thirty studies in this field concerning the prediction method, the challenges addressed, the datasets and metrics used for training and evaluating the model, and the types of context incorporated. Finally, we discuss the advantages and disadvantages of different approaches, focusing on the usefulness of the predicted location and identifying the open challenges and future work on this subject by introducing two potential use cases of next location prediction in the automotive industry.
Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology（皇家墨尔本理工大学）；DATA61 / CSIRO（澳大利亚联邦科学与工业研究组织数据61研究所）；Australian National University（澳大利亚国立大学）
To model and forecast flight delays accurately, it is crucial to harness various vehicle trajectory and contextual sensor data on airport tarmac areas. These heterogeneous sensor data, if modelled correctly, can be used to generate a situational awareness map. Existing techniques apply traditional supervised learning methods onto historical data, contextual features and route information among different airports to predict flight delay are inaccurate and only predict arrival delay but not departure delay, which is essential to airlines. In this paper, we propose a vision-based solution to achi…
Brandenburg University of Technology（勃兰登堡工业大学）；The Jodel Venture GmbH（约德尔风险有限公司）
In this work, we predict the user lifetime within the anonymous and location-based social network Jodel in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Jodel's location-based nature yields to the establishment of disjoint communities country-wide and enables for the first time the study of user lifetime in the case of a large set of disjoint communities. A user's lifetime is an important measurement for evaluating and steering customer bases as it can be leveraged to predict churn and possibly apply suitable methods to circumvent potential user losses. We train and test off the shelf machine learning techniqu…
Although researchers accumulated knowledge about seismogenesis and decades-long earthquake data, predicting imminent individual earthquakes at a specific time and location remains a long-standing enigma. This study hypothesizes that the observed data conceal the hidden rules which may be unraveled by a novel glass-box (as opposed to black-box) physics rule learner (GPRL) framework. Without any predefined earthquake-related mechanisms or statistical laws, GPRL's two essentials, convolved information index and transparent link function, seek generic expressions of rules directly from data. GPRL'…
Predicting smartphone users activity using WiFi fingerprints has been a popular approach for indoor positioning in recent years. However, such a high dimensional time-series prediction problem can be very tricky to solve. To address this issue, we propose a novel deep learning model, the convolutional mixture density recurrent neural network (CMDRNN), which combines the strengths of convolutional neural networks, recurrent neural networks and mixture density networks. In our model, the CNN sub-model is employed to detect the feature of the high dimensional input, the RNN sub-model is utilized …
The problem of predicting the location of users on large social networks like Twitter has emerged from real-life applications such as social unrest detection and online marketing. Twitter user geolocation is a difficult and active research topic with a vast literature. Most of the proposed methods follow either a content-based or a network-based approach. The former exploits user-generated content while the latter utilizes the connection or interaction between Twitter users. In this paper, we introduce a novel method combining the strength of both approaches. Concretely, we propose a multi-ent…
Semi-Supervised Deep Domain Adaptation for Predicting Solar Power Across Different Locations
University of California, Riverside, California, USA（加州大学河滨分校）；North South University, Dhaka, Bangladesh（北南大学）；Louisiana State University, Louisiana, USA（路易斯安那州立大学）
The wide spread use of positioning and photographing devices gives rise to a deluge of traffic trajectory data (e.g., vehicle passage records and taxi trajectory data), with each record having at least three attributes: object ID, location ID, and time-stamp. In this paper, we propose a novel mobility pattern embedding model called MPE to shed the light on people's mobility patterns in traffic trajectory data from multiple aspects, including sequential, personal, and temporal factors. MPE has two salient features: (1) it is capable of casting various types of information (object, location and …
University of Colorado（科罗拉多大学）；Purdue University（普渡大学）
Real-time tweets can provide useful information on evolving events and situations. Geotagged tweets are especially useful, as they indicate the location of origin and provide geographic context. However, only a small portion of tweets are geotagged, limiting their use for situational awareness. In this paper, we adapt, improve, and evaluate a state-of-the-art deep learning model for city-level geolocation prediction, and integrate it with a visual analytics system tailored for real-time situational awareness. We provide computational evaluations to demonstrate the superiority and utility of ou…
With the growth of using cell phones and the increase in diversity of smart mobile devices, a massive volume of data is generated continuously in the process of using these devices. Among these data, Call Detail Records, CDR, is highly remarkable. Since CDR contains both temporal and spatial labels, mobility analysis of CDR is one of the favorite subjects of study among the researchers. The user next location prediction is one of the main problems in the field of human mobility analysis. In this paper, we propose a data processing framework to predict user next location. We propose domain-spec…
Landfall of a tropical cyclone is the event when it moves over the land after crossing the coast of the ocean. It is important to know the characteristics of the landfall in terms of location and time, well advance in time to take preventive measures timely. In this article, we develop a deep learning model based on the combination of a Convolutional Neural network and a Long Short-Term memory network to predict the landfall's location and time of a tropical cyclone in six ocean basins of the world with high accuracy. We have used high-resolution spacial reanalysis data, ERA5, maintained by Eu…
In this paper, we propose an unsupervised data-driven approach to predict real-time locational marginal prices (RTLMPs). The proposed approach is built upon a general data structure for organizing system-wide heterogeneous market data streams into the format of market data images and videos. Leveraging this general data structure, the system-wide RTLMP prediction problem is formulated as a video prediction problem. A video prediction model based on generative adversarial networks (GAN) is proposed to learn the spatio-temporal correlations among historical RTLMPs and predict system-wide RTLMPs …
Taken out of context: On measuring situational awareness in LLMs
Vanderbilt University（范德堡大学）；New York University（纽约大学）；Apollo Research（阿波罗研究院）；University of Sussex（萨塞克斯大学）；OpenAI（开放人工智能研究中心）；University of Oxford（牛津大学）
African Institute for Mathematical Sciences（非洲数学科学研究所）；University of Montreal（蒙特利尔大学）；Mila（米拉研究所）；Microsoft IDC（微软印度开发中心）；McGill University（麦吉尔大学）；École de Technologie Supérieure（高等技术学院）；CIFAR（加拿大高级研究院）
Locust infestation of some regions in the world, including Africa, Asia and Middle East has become a concerning issue that can affect the health and the lives of millions of people. In this respect, there have been attempts to resolve or reduce the severity of this problem via detection and monitoring of locust breeding areas using satellites and sensors, or the use of chemicals to prevent the formation of swarms. However, such methods have not been able to suppress the emergence and the collective behaviour of locusts. The ability to predict the location of the locust swarms prior to their fo…
University of Oxford（牛津大学）；Oxford University Hospitals Trust（牛津大学医院信托）
Accurate and reliable prediction of hospital admission location is important due to resource-constraints and space availability in a clinical setting, particularly when dealing with patients who come from the emergency department. In this work we propose a student-teacher network via reinforcement learning to deal with this specific problem. A representation of the weights of the student network is treated as the state and is fed as an input to the teacher network. The teacher network's action is to select the most appropriate batch of data to train the student network on from a training set s…
Faculty of Computer Science and Management（计算机科学与管理学院）
Planning the layout of bicycle-sharing stations is a complex process, especially in cities where bicycle sharing systems are just being implemented. Urban planners often have to make a lot of estimates based on both publicly available data and privately provided data from the administration and then use the Location-Allocation model popular in the field. Many municipalities in smaller cities may have difficulty hiring specialists to carry out such planning. This thesis proposes a new solution to streamline and facilitate the process of such planning by using spatial embedding methods. Based on…
Recurrent Neural Networks were, until recently, one of the best ways to capture the timely dependencies in sequences. However, with the introduction of the Transformer, it has been proven that an architecture with only attention-mechanisms without any RNN can improve on the results in various sequence processing tasks (e.g. NLP). Multiple studies since then have shown that similar approaches can be applied for images, point clouds, video, audio or time series forecasting. Furthermore, solutions such as the Perceiver or the Informer have been introduced to expand on the applicability of the Tra…
In cities with tall buildings, emergency responders need an accurate floor level location to find 911 callers quickly. We introduce a system to estimate a victim's floor level via their mobile device's sensor data in a two-step process. First, we train a neural network to determine when a smartphone enters or exits a building via GPS signal changes. Second, we use a barometer equipped smartphone to measure the change in barometric pressure from the entrance of the building to the victim's indoor location. Unlike impractical previous approaches, our system is the first that does not require the…
Predicting unobserved climate time series data at distant areas via spatial correlation using reservoir computing
Toyota Central R&D Labs., Inc.（丰田中央研发实验室）；International Research Center for Neurointelligence, The University of Tokyo（东京大学国际神经智能研究中心）；Graduate School of Engineering, Nagoya Institute of Technology（名古屋工业大学工学研究科）
A Soft Sensor Method with Uncertainty-Awareness and Self-Explanation Based on Large Language Models Enhanced by Domain Knowledge Retrieval
School of Automation and Information Engineering, Xi’an University of Technology（西安理工大学自动化与信息工程学院）；Concordia Institute of Aerospace Design and Innovation（康考迪亚航空航天设计与创新研究所）
Predicting Human Mobility during Extreme Events via LLM-Enhanced Cross-City Learning
Department of Electronic Engineering, Beijing National Research Center for Information Science and Technology (BNRist), Tsinghua University（清华大学电子工程系、北京信息科学与技术国家研究中心）
