The problem of predicting the location of users on large social networks like Twitter has emerged from real-life applications such as social unrest detection and online marketing. Twitter user geolocation is a difficult and active research topic with a vast literature. Most of the proposed methods follow either a content-based or a network-based approach. The former exploits user-generated content while the latter utilizes the connection or interaction between Twitter users. In this paper, we introduce a novel method combining the strength of both approaches. Concretely, we propose a multi-entry neural network architecture named MENET leveraging the advances in deep learning and multiview learning. The generalizability of MENET enables the integration of multiple data representations. In the context of Twitter user geolocation, we realize MENET with textual, network, and metadata features. Considering the natural distribution of Twitter users across the concerned geographical area, we subdivide the surface of the earth into multi-scale cells and train MENET with the labels of the cells. We show that our method outperforms the state of the art by a large margin on three benchmark datasets.
Predicting the geographical location of users on social networks like Twitter is an active research topic with plenty of methods proposed so far. Most of the existing work follows either a content-based or a network-based approach. The former is based on user-generated content while the latter exploits the structure of the network of users. In this paper, we propose a more generic approach, which incorporates not only both content-based and network-based features, but also other available information into a unified model. Our approach, named Multi-Entry Neural Network (MENET), leverages the la…
Predicting the popularity of news article is a challenging task. Existing literature mostly focused on article contents and polarity to predict popularity. However, existing research has not considered the users' preference towards a particular article. Understanding users' preference is an important aspect for predicting the popularity of news articles. Hence, we consider the social media data, from the Twitter platform, to address this research gap. In our proposed model, we have considered the users' involvement as well as the users' reaction towards an article to predict the popularity of …
Boston University（波士顿大学）；University of Crete（克里特大学）
This paper investigates the interplay between different types of user interactions on Twitter, with respect to predicting missing or unseen interactions. For example, given a set of retweet interactions between Twitter users, how accurately can we predict reply interactions? Is it more difficult to predict retweet or quote interactions between a pair of accounts? Also, how important is time locality, and which features of interaction patterns are most important to enable accurate prediction of specific Twitter interactions? Our empirical study of Twitter interactions contributes initial answer…
Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；Toyota Technological Institute at Chicago（芝加哥丰田理工学院）
We study the relationship between social media output and National Football League (NFL) games, using a dataset containing messages from Twitter and NFL game statistics. Specifically, we consider tweets pertaining to specific teams and games in the NFL season and use them alongside statistical game data to build predictive models for future game outcomes (which team will win?) and sports betting outcomes (which team will win with the point spread? will the total points be over/under the line?). We experiment with several feature sets and find that simple features using large volumes of tweets …
One major sub-domain in the subject of polling public opinion with social media data is electoral prediction. Electoral prediction utilizing social media data potentially would significantly affect campaign strategies, complementing traditional polling methods and providing cheaper polling in real-time. First, this paper explores past successful methods from research for analysis and prediction of the 2020 US Presidential Election using Twitter data. Then, this research proposes a new method for electoral prediction which combines sentiment, from NLP on the text of tweets, and structural data …
Leveraging social media data to understand people's lifestyle choices is an exciting domain to explore but requires a multiview formulation of the data. In this paper, we propose a joint embedding model based on the fusion of neural networks with attention mechanism by incorporating social and textual information of users to understand their activities and motivations. We use well-being related tweets from Twitter, focusing on 'Yoga'. We demonstrate our model on two downstream tasks: (i) finding user type such as either practitioner or promotional (promoting yoga studio/gym), other; (ii) findi…
Collaborative Filtering (CF) is a core component of popular web-based services such as Amazon, YouTube, Netflix, and Twitter. Most applications use CF to recommend a small set of items to the user. For instance, YouTube presents to a user a list of top-n videos she would likely watch next based on her rating and viewing history. Current methods of CF evaluation have been focused on assessing the quality of a predicted rating or the ranking performance for top-n recommended items. However, restricting the recommender system evaluation to these two aspects is rather limiting and neglects other d…
Social media like Twitter provide a common platform to share and communicate personal experiences with other people. People often post their life experiences, local news, and events on social media to inform others. Many rescue agencies monitor this type of data regularly to identify disasters and reduce the risk of lives. However, it is impossible for humans to manually check the mass amount of data and identify disasters in real-time. For this purpose, many research works have been proposed to present words in machine-understandable representations and apply machine learning methods on the w…
Facultad de Ingeniería (UBA)（布宜诺斯艾利斯大学工程学院）；INTECIN (UBA-CONICET)（布宜诺斯艾利斯大学与阿根廷国家科学与技术研究理事会联合工程技术研究所）
Predicting the geographical location of users of social media like Twitter has found several applications in health surveillance, emergency monitoring, content personalization, and social studies in general. In this work we contribute to the research in this area by designing and evaluating new methods based on the literature of weighted multigraphs combined with state-of-the-art deep learning techniques. The explored methods depart from a similar underlying structure (that of an extended mention and/or follower network) but use different information processing strategies, e.g., information di…
The ability to obtain accurate food security metrics in developing areas where relevant data can be sparse is critically important for policy makers tasked with implementing food aid programs. As a result, a great deal of work has been dedicated to predicting important food security metrics such as annual crop yields using a variety of methods including simulation, remote sensing, weather models, and human expert input. As a complement to existing techniques in crop yield prediction, this work develops neural network models for predicting the sentiment of Twitter feeds from farming communities…
Samsung R&D Institute India - Bangalore（三星印度研发研究院-班加罗尔）
We propose a comprehensive end-to-end pipeline for Twitter hashtags recommendation system including data collection, supervised training setting and zero shot training setting. In the supervised training setting, we have proposed and compared the performance of various deep learning architectures, namely Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Transformer Network. However, it is not feasible to collect data for all possible hashtag labels and train a classifier model on them. To overcome this limitation, we propose a Zero Shot Learning (ZSL) paradigm for predicti…
We aim at solving the problem of predicting people's ideology, or political tendency. We estimate it by using Twitter data, and formalize it as a classification problem. Ideology-detection has long been a challenging yet important problem. Certain groups, such as the policy makers, rely on it to make wise decisions. Back in the old days when labor-intensive survey-studies were needed to collect public opinions, analyzing ordinary citizens' political tendencies was uneasy. The rise of social medias, such as Twitter, has enabled us to gather ordinary citizen's data easily. However, the incomplet…
University of Passau（帕绍大学）；Department of Computer Science and Mathematics University of Passau（帕绍大学计算机科学与数学系）
The problem of predicting people's participation in real-world events has received considerable attention as it offers valuable insights for human behavior analysis and event-related advertisement. Today social networks (e.g. Twitter) widely reflect large popular events where people discuss their interest with friends. Event participants usually stimulate friends to join the event which propagates a social influence in the network. In this paper, we propose to model the social influence of friends on event attendance. We consider non-geotagged posts besides structures of social groups to infer…
Online hate speech, particularly over microblogging platforms like Twitter, has emerged as arguably the most severe issue of the past decade. Several countries have reported a steep rise in hate crimes infuriated by malicious hate campaigns. While the detection of hate speech is one of the emerging research areas, the generation and spread of topic-dependent hate in the information network remain under-explored. In this work, we focus on exploring user behaviour, which triggers the genesis of hate speech on Twitter and how it diffuses via retweets. We crawl a large-scale dataset of tweets, ret…
Most recommendation engines today are based on predicting user engagement, e.g. predicting whether a user will click on an item or not. However, there is potentially a large gap between engagement signals and a desired notion of "value" that is worth optimizing for. We use the framework of measurement theory to (a) confront the designer with a normative question about what the designer values, (b) provide a general latent variable model approach that can be used to operationalize the target construct and directly optimize for it, and (c) guide the designer in evaluating and revising their oper…
Renmin University of China（中国人民大学）；University of Liverpool（利物浦大学）；Loughborough University（拉夫堡大学）
Sudden bursts of information cascades can lead to unexpected consequences such as extreme opinions, changes in fashion trends, and uncontrollable spread of rumors. It has become an important problem on how to effectively predict a cascade' size in the future, especially for large-scale cascades on social media platforms such as Twitter and Weibo. However, existing methods are insufficient in dealing with this challenging prediction problem. Conventional methods heavily rely on either hand crafted features or unrealistic assumptions. End-to-end deep learning models, such as recurrent neural net…
The University of Melbourne（墨尔本大学）；Singapore Management University（新加坡管理大学）
Personal values have significant influence on individuals' behaviors, preferences, and decision making. It is therefore not a surprise that personal values of a person could influence his or her social media content and activities. Instead of getting users to complete personal value questionnaire, researchers have looked into a non-intrusive and highly scalable approach to predict personal values using user-generated social media data. Nevertheless, geographical differences in word usage and profile information are issues to be addressed when designing such prediction models. In this work, we …
Predicting the Silent Majority on Graphs: Knowledge Transferable Graph Neural Network
Institute of Computing Technology, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院大学计算技术研究所）；Institute of Computing Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院计算技术研究所）
Information Sciences Institute, University of Southern California（南加州大学信息科学研究所）；Indiana University（印第安纳大学）
We present a machine learning framework that leverages a mixture of metadata, network, and temporal features to detect extremist users, and predict content adopters and interaction reciprocity in social media. We exploit a unique dataset containing millions of tweets generated by more than 25 thousand users who have been manually identified, reported, and suspended by Twitter due to their involvement with extremist campaigns. We also leverage millions of tweets generated by a random sample of 25 thousand regular users who were exposed to, or consumed, extremist content. We carry out three fore…
Rutgers University（罗格斯大学）；HPI, Univ. of Potsdam（波茨坦大学哈索普拉特纳研究所 (HPI)）
Software development is becoming increasingly open and collaborative with the advent of platforms such as GitHub. Given its crucial role, there is a need to better understand and model the dynamics of GitHub as a social platform. Previous work has mostly considered the dynamics of traditional social networking sites like Twitter and Facebook. We propose GitEvolve, a system to predict the evolution of GitHub repositories and the different ways by which users interact with them. To this end, we develop an end-to-end multi-task sequential deep neural network that given some seed events, simultane…
Tsinghua University（清华大学）；Microsoft Research（微软研究院）；HEC Montreal（蒙特利尔高等商学院）；Montreal Institute for Learning Algorithms（蒙特利尔学习算法研究所）
Social and information networking activities such as on Facebook, Twitter, WeChat, and Weibo have become an indispensable part of our everyday life, where we can easily access friends' behaviors and are in turn influenced by them. Consequently, an effective social influence prediction for each user is critical for a variety of applications such as online recommendation and advertising. Conventional social influence prediction approaches typically design various hand-crafted rules to extract user- and network-specific features. However, their effectiveness heavily relies on the knowledge of dom…
A Big Data Analytics System for Predicting Suicidal Ideation in Real-Time Based on Social Media Streaming Data
Dams and Water Resources Research Center, University of Mosul（摩苏尔大学大坝与水资源研究中心）；Yildiz Technical University（伊兹密尔技术大学）；Centre for Industrial Software, University of Southern Denmark（南丹麦大学工业软件中心）
