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arXiv 2310.20149astro-ph.EPastro-ph.IM
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NEO Surveyor 近地小行星已知天体模型

The NEO Surveyor Near Earth Asteroid Known Object Model

Tommy Grav, Amy K. Mainzer, Joseph R. Masiero, Dar W. Dahlen, Tim Spahr, William F. Bottke, Frank J. Masci

AI总结:

本文提出NEO Surveyor任务的已知天体模型(KOM),结合参考模型与地面巡天数据估计当前NEA巡天完备度,并预测NEOS五年任务将使大于140m的近地小行星编目完备度提升至约76%。

摘要:

已知近地天体(NEO)群体由超过32,000个天体组成,年发现率超过每年3000个NEO。下一代NEO巡天的一个关键组成部分是对已知天体群体的理解,包括按大小统计每年发现率的核算。利用为NASA的NEO Surveyor(NEOS)任务开发的近地小行星(NEA)参考模型,以及主要当前和历史地面巡天的模型,确定了当前NEA巡天完备度随大小和绝对星等变化的估计(称为已知天体模型;KOM)。这使得能够理解已知NEA星表与NEOS预期观测天体之间的交集。发现当前NEA群体对于大于140m的天体约完备38%,与Harris & Chodas(2021)的估计一致。NEOS预计将编目超过三分之二的大于140m的NEA,在其5年名义巡天结束时(Mainzer et al, 2023)使约76%的NEA被编目,朝着美国国会授权目标取得重大进展。KOM估计当前已编目天体中约77%将被NEOS探测到,而那些未被探测到的天体在其5年任务结束时的最终完备度中贡献约9%。该模型允许将NEO Surveyor任务置于当前巡天的背景中,以更全面地评估朝着编目危险小行星群体目标取得的进展。

英文摘要:

The known near-Earth object (NEO) population consists of over 32,000 objects, with a yearly discovery rate of over 3000 NEOs per year. An essential component of the next generation of NEO surveys is an understanding of the population of known objects, including an accounting of the discovery rate per year as a function of size. Using a near-Earth asteroid (NEA) reference model developed for NASA's NEO Surveyor (NEOS) mission and a model of the major current and historical ground-based surveys, an estimate of the current NEA survey completeness as a function of size and absolute magnitude has been determined (termed the Known Object Model; KOM). This allows for understanding of the intersection of the known catalog of NEAs and the objects expected to be observed by NEOS. The current NEA population is found to be $\sim38\%$ complete for objects larger than 140m, consistent with estimates by Harris & Chodas (2021). NEOS is expected to catalog more than two thirds of the NEAs larger than 140m, resulting in $\sim76\%$ of NEAs cataloged at the end of its 5 year nominal survey (Mainzer et al, 2023}, making significant progress towards the US Congressional mandate. The KOM estimates that $\sim77\%$ of the currently cataloged objects will be detected by NEOS, with those not detected contributing $\sim9\%$ to the final completeness at the end its 5 year mission. This model allows for placing the NEO Surveyor mission in the context of current surveys to more completely assess the progress toward the goal of cataloging the population of hazardous asteroids.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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