arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2306.03367cs.ROcs.AI
收藏

通过自监督弥合多步与一次性轨迹预测之间的差距

Bridging the Gap Between Multi-Step and One-Shot Trajectory Prediction via Self-Supervision

Robert Bosch GmbH(罗伯特·博世有限公司)

Faris Janjoš, Max Keller, Maxim Dolgov, J. Marius Zöllner

AI总结:

本文提出 Multi-Branch Self-Supervised Predictor,通过链接多个轨迹段引入自监督,并结合潜在上下文想象、过去预测与树状多模态融合,在 INTERACTION 数据集上取得竞争力结果,同时揭示误差与不确定性指标的正相关。

摘要:

准确的车辆轨迹预测是自动驾驶中一个尚未解决的问题,存在多种开放研究问题。最先进的方法以一次性或逐步方式回归轨迹。尽管一次性方法通常因其简单性而受到青睐,但它们放弃了可通过链接多个时间步构建的强大自监督方案。我们通过提出一种将多个轨迹段链接在一起的折中方案来解决这个问题。我们提出的 Multi-Branch Self-Supervised Predictor(多分支自监督预测器)在从中间未来段开始的新预测上接受额外训练。此外,该模型“想象”潜在上下文并“预测过去”,同时以树状方式组合多模态轨迹。我们刻意保持交互和环境建模等方面的简单性,尽管如此仍在 INTERACTION 数据集上取得了具有竞争力的结果。此外,我们研究了确定性预测器中鲜有探索的不确定性估计。我们发现预测误差与所提出的两个指标之间存在正相关,这可能为确定预测置信度铺平道路。

英文摘要:

Accurate vehicle trajectory prediction is an unsolved problem in autonomous driving with various open research questions. State-of-the-art approaches regress trajectories either in a one-shot or step-wise manner. Although one-shot approaches are usually preferred for their simplicity, they relinquish powerful self-supervision schemes that can be constructed by chaining multiple time-steps. We address this issue by proposing a middle-ground where multiple trajectory segments are chained together. Our proposed Multi-Branch Self-Supervised Predictor receives additional training on new predictions starting at intermediate future segments. In addition, the model 'imagines' the latent context and 'predicts the past' while combining multi-modal trajectories in a tree-like manner. We deliberately keep aspects such as interaction and environment modeling simplistic and nevertheless achieve competitive results on the INTERACTION dataset. Furthermore, we investigate the sparsely explored uncertainty estimation of deterministic predictors. We find positive correlations between the prediction error and two proposed metrics, which might pave way for determining prediction confidence.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑