Bayesian posterior distributions arising in modern applications, including inverse problems in partial differential equation models in tomography and subsurface flow, are often computationally intractable due to the large computational cost of evaluating the data likelihood. To alleviate this problem, we consider using Gaussian process regression to build a surrogate model for the likelihood, resulting in an approximate posterior distribution that is amenable to computations in practice. This work serves as an introduction to Gaussian process regression, in particular in the context of building surrogate models for inverse problems, and presents new insights into a suitable choice of training points. We show that the error between the true and approximate posterior distribution can be bounded by the error between the true and approximate likelihood, measured in the $L^2$-norm weighted by the true posterior, and that efficiently bounding the error between the true and approximate likelihood in this norm suggests choosing the training points in the Gaussian process surrogate model based on the true posterior.
The geographically weighted regression (GWR) is a well-known statistical approach to explore spatial non-stationarity of the regression relationship in spatial data analysis. In this paper, we discuss a Bayesian recourse of GWR. Bayesian variable selection based on spike-and-slab prior, bandwidth selection based on range prior, and model assessment using a modified deviance information criterion and a modified logarithm of pseudo-marginal likelihood are fully discussed in this paper. Usage of the graph distance in modeling areal data is also introduced. Extensive simulation studies are carried…
For many important problems the quantity of interest is an unknown function of the parameters, which is a random vector with known statistics. Since the dependence of the output on this random vector is unknown, the challenge is to identify its statistics, using the minimum number of function evaluations. This problem can been seen in the context of active learning or optimal experimental design. We employ Bayesian regression to represent the derived model uncertainty due to finite and small number of input-output pairs. In this context we evaluate existing methods for optimal sample selection…
Random binning features, introduced in the seminal paper of Rahimi and Recht (2007), are an efficient method for approximating a kernel matrix using locality sensitive hashing. Random binning features provide a very simple and efficient way of approximating the Laplace kernel but unfortunately do not apply to many important classes of kernels, notably ones that generate smooth Gaussian processes, such as the Gaussian kernel and Matern kernel. In this paper, we introduce a simple weighted version of random binning features and show that the corresponding kernel function generates Gaussian proce…
Aggregating multiple learners through an ensemble of models aim to make better predictions by capturing the underlying distribution of the data more accurately. Different ensembling methods, such as bagging, boosting, and stacking/blending, have been studied and adopted extensively in research and practice. While bagging and boosting focus more on reducing variance and bias, respectively, stacking approaches target both by finding the optimal way to combine base learners. In stacking with the weighted average, ensembles are created from weighted averages of multiple base learners. It is known …
These notes aim at clarifying different strategies to perform linear regression from given dataset. Methods like the weighted and ordinary least squares, ridge regression or LASSO are proposed in the literature. The present article is my understanding of these methods which are, according to me, better unified in the Bayesian framework. The formulas to address linear regression with these methods are derived. The KIC for model selection is also derived in the end of the document.
In the multiple linear regression setting, we propose a general framework, termed weighted orthogonal components regression (WOCR), which encompasses many known methods as special cases, including ridge regression and principal components regression. WOCR makes use of the monotonicity inherent in orthogonal components to parameterize the weight function. The formulation allows for efficient determination of tuning parameters and hence is computationally advantageous. Moreover, WOCR offers insights for deriving new better variants. Specifically, we advocate weighting components based on their c…
Compared to the conditional mean as a simple point estimator, the conditional density function is more informative to describe the distributions with multi-modality, asymmetry or heteroskedasticity. In this paper, we propose a novel parametric conditional density estimation method by showing the connection between the general density and the likelihood function of inhomogeneous Poisson process models. The maximum likelihood estimates can be obtained via weighted logistic regressions, and the computation can be significantly relaxed by combining a block-wise alternating maximization scheme and …
The main contribution of the paper is a new approach to subspace clustering that is significantly more computationally efficient and scalable than existing state-of-the-art methods. The central idea is to modify the regression technique in sparse subspace clustering (SSC) by replacing the $\ell_1$ minimization with a generalization called Ordered Weighted $\ell_1$ (OWL) minimization which performs simultaneous regression and clustering of correlated variables. Using random geometric graph theory, we prove that OWL regression selects more points within each subspace, resulting in better cluster…
University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；Vector Institute（向量研究所）；Columbia University（哥伦比亚大学）
We consider the linear model $\mathbf{y} = \mathbf{X} \mathbfβ_\star + \mathbfε$ with $\mathbf{X}\in \mathbb{R}^{n\times p}$ in the overparameterized regime $p>n$. We estimate $\mathbfβ_\star$ via generalized (weighted) ridge regression: $\hat{\mathbfβ}_λ= \left(\mathbf{X}^T\mathbf{X} + λ\mathbfΣ_w\right)^\dagger \mathbf{X}^T\mathbf{y}$, where $\mathbfΣ_w$ is the weighting matrix. Under a random design setting with general data covariance $\mathbfΣ_x$ and anisotropic prior on the true coefficients $\mathbb{E}\mathbfβ_\star\mathbfβ_\star^T = \mathbfΣ_β$, we provide an exact characterization of …
National Institute of Informatics（国立信息学研究所）；The Graduate University for Advanced Studies（综合研究大学院大学）
We present a method to extract a weighted finite automaton (WFA) from a recurrent neural network (RNN). Our algorithm is based on the WFA learning algorithm by Balle and Mohri, which is in turn an extension of Angluin's classic \lstar algorithm. Our technical novelty is in the use of \emph{regression} methods for the so-called equivalence queries, thus exploiting the internal state space of an RNN to prioritize counterexample candidates. This way we achieve a quantitative/weighted extension of the recent work by Weiss, Goldberg and Yahav that extracts DFAs. We experimentally evaluate the accur…
Many state-of-the-art machine learning models such as deep neural networks have recently shown to be vulnerable to adversarial perturbations, especially in classification tasks. Motivated by adversarial machine learning, in this paper we investigate the robustness of sparse regression models with strongly correlated covariates to adversarially designed measurement noises. Specifically, we consider the family of ordered weighted $\ell_1$ (OWL) regularized regression methods and study the case of OSCAR (octagonal shrinkage clustering algorithm for regression) in the adversarial setting. Under a …
The Regression Tsetlin Machine (RTM) addresses the lack of interpretability impeding state-of-the-art nonlinear regression models. It does this by using conjunctive clauses in propositional logic to capture the underlying non-linear frequent patterns in the data. These, in turn, are combined into a continuous output through summation, akin to a linear regression function, however, with non-linear components and unity weights. Although the RTM has solved non-linear regression problems with competitive accuracy, the resolution of the output is proportional to the number of clauses employed. This…
Distributed statistical learning problems arise commonly when dealing with large datasets. In this setup, datasets are partitioned over machines, which compute locally, and communicate short messages. Communication is often the bottleneck. In this paper, we study one-step and iterative weighted parameter averaging in statistical linear models under data parallelism. We do linear regression on each machine, send the results to a central server, and take a weighted average of the parameters. Optionally, we iterate, sending back the weighted average and doing local ridge regressions centered at i…
University of Science and Technology of China（中国科学技术大学）；Peking University（北京大学）；Central China Normal University（华中师范大学）
When we are interested in high-dimensional system and focus on classification performance, the $\ell_{1}$-penalized logistic regression is becoming important and popular. However, the Lasso estimates could be problematic when penalties of different coefficients are all the same and not related to the data. We proposed two types of weighted Lasso estimates depending on covariates by the McDiarmid inequality. Given sample size $n$ and dimension of covariates $p$, the finite sample behavior of our proposed methods with a diverging number of predictors is illustrated by non-asymptotic oracle inequ…
In recent years, stochastic gradient descent (SGD) methods and randomized linear algebra (RLA) algorithms have been applied to many large-scale problems in machine learning and data analysis. We aim to bridge the gap between these two methods in solving constrained overdetermined linear regression problems---e.g., $\ell_2$ and $\ell_1$ regression problems. We propose a hybrid algorithm named pwSGD that uses RLA techniques for preconditioning and constructing an importance sampling distribution, and then performs an SGD-like iterative process with weighted sampling on the preconditioned system.…
In this paper, we introduce the weighted-average quantile regression framework, $\int_0^1 q_{Y|X}(u)ψ(u)du = X'β$, where $Y$ is a dependent variable, $X$ is a vector of covariates, $q_{Y|X}$ is the quantile function of the conditional distribution of $Y$ given $X$, $ψ$ is a weighting function, and $β$ is a vector of parameters. We argue that this framework is of interest in many applied settings and develop an estimator of the vector of parameters $β$. We show that our estimator is $\sqrt T$-consistent and asymptotically normal with mean zero and easily estimable covariance matrix, where $T$ i…
NNAISENSE；King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST)（阿卜杜拉国王科技大学（KAUST））
Reward-Weighted Regression (RWR) belongs to a family of widely known iterative Reinforcement Learning algorithms based on the Expectation-Maximization framework. In this family, learning at each iteration consists of sampling a batch of trajectories using the current policy and fitting a new policy to maximize a return-weighted log-likelihood of actions. Although RWR is known to yield monotonic improvement of the policy under certain circumstances, whether and under which conditions RWR converges to the optimal policy have remained open questions. In this paper, we provide for the first time a…
Prior-weighted logistic regression has become a standard tool for calibration in speaker recognition. Logistic regression is the optimization of the expected value of the logarithmic scoring rule. We generalize this via a parametric family of proper scoring rules. Our theoretical analysis shows how different members of this family induce different relative weightings over a spectrum of applications of which the decision thresholds range from low to high. Special attention is given to the interaction between prior weighting and proper scoring rule parameters. Experiments on NIST SRE'12 suggest …
Image interpolation is a special case of image super-resolution, where the low-resolution image is directly down-sampled from its high-resolution counterpart without blurring and noise. Therefore, assumptions adopted in super-resolution models are not valid for image interpolation. To address this problem, we propose a novel image interpolation model based on sparse representation. Two widely used priors including sparsity and nonlocal self-similarity are used as the regularization terms to enhance the stability of interpolation model. Meanwhile, we incorporate the nonlocal linear regression i…
In this paper, we aim to develop a simple and scalable reinforcement learning algorithm that uses standard supervised learning methods as subroutines. Our goal is an algorithm that utilizes only simple and convergent maximum likelihood loss functions, while also being able to leverage off-policy data. Our proposed approach, which we refer to as advantage-weighted regression (AWR), consists of two standard supervised learning steps: one to regress onto target values for a value function, and another to regress onto weighted target actions for the policy. The method is simple and general, can ac…
In this paper, a new classifier based on the intrinsic properties of the data is proposed. Classification is an essential task in data mining-based applications. The classification problem will be challenging when the size of the training set is not sufficient to compare to the dimension of the problem. This paper proposes a new classification method that exploits the intrinsic structure of each class through the corresponding Eigen components. Each component contributes to the learned span of each class by specific weight. The weight is determined by the associated eigenvalue. This approach r…
Regularization and Variance-Weighted Regression Achieves Minimax Optimality in Linear MDPs: Theory and Practice
The University of Tokyo（东京大学）；OMRON SINIC X（欧姆龙 SINIC X 研究院）；DeepMind（深度思维）；Google Research（谷歌研究院）；Peking University（北京大学）；Otto von Guericke University Magdeburg（马格德堡奥托·冯·格里克大学）；University of Alberta（阿尔伯塔大学）
The geographically weighted regression (GWR) is an essential tool for estimating the spatial variation of relationships between dependent and independent variables in geographical contexts. However, GWR suffers from the problem that classical linear regressions, which compose the GWR model, are more prone to be underfitting, especially for significant volume and complex nonlinear data, causing inferior comparative performance. Nevertheless, some advanced models, such as the decision tree and the support vector machine, can learn features from complex data more effectively while they cannot pro…
We consider a stochastic linear bandit model in which the available actions correspond to arbitrary context vectors whose associated rewards follow a non-stationary linear regression model. In this setting, the unknown regression parameter is allowed to vary in time. To address this problem, we propose D-LinUCB, a novel optimistic algorithm based on discounted linear regression, where exponential weights are used to smoothly forget the past. This involves studying the deviations of the sequential weighted least-squares estimator under generic assumptions. As a by-product, we obtain novel devia…
We propose a tree-based algorithm for classification and regression problems in the context of functional data analysis, which allows to leverage representation learning and multiple splitting rules at the node level, reducing generalization error while retaining the interpretability of a tree. This is achieved by learning a weighted functional $L^{2}$ space by means of constrained convex optimization, which is then used to extract multiple weighted integral features from the input functions, in order to determine the binary split for each internal node of the tree. The approach is designed to…
IIT Kanpur（印度理工学院坎普尔分校）；Microsoft Research India（微软印度研究院）
We provide the first global model recovery results for the IRLS (iteratively reweighted least squares) heuristic for robust regression problems. IRLS is known to offer excellent performance, despite bad initializations and data corruption, for several parameter estimation problems. Existing analyses of IRLS frequently require careful initialization, thus offering only local convergence guarantees. We remedy this by proposing augmentations to the basic IRLS routine that not only offer guaranteed global recovery, but in practice also outperform state-of-the-art algorithms for robust regression. …
