This work theoretically studies a ubiquitous reinforcement learning policy for controlling the canonical model of continuous-time stochastic linear-quadratic systems. We show that randomized certainty equivalent policy addresses the exploration-exploitation dilemma in linear control systems that evolve according to unknown stochastic differential equations and their operating cost is quadratic. More precisely, we establish square-root of time regret bounds, indicating that randomized certainty equivalent policy learns optimal control actions fast from a single state trajectory. Further, linear scaling of the regret with the number of parameters is shown. The presented analysis introduces novel and useful technical approaches, and sheds light on fundamental challenges of continuous-time reinforcement learning.
The purpose of this paper is to provide further understanding into the structure of the sequential allocation ("stochastic multi-armed bandit", or MAB) problem by establishing probability one finite horizon bounds and convergence rates for the sample (or "pseudo") regret associated with two simple classes of allocation policies $π$. For any slowly increasing function $g$, subject to mild regularity constraints, we construct two policies (the $g$-Forcing, and the $g$-Inflated Sample Mean) that achieve a measure of regret of order $ O(g(n))$ almost surely as $n \to \infty$, bound from above and …
We study the nonstationary stochastic Multi-Armed Bandit (MAB) problem in which the distribution of rewards associated with each arm are assumed to be time-varying and the total variation in the expected rewards is subject to a variation budget. The regret of a policy is defined by the difference in the expected cumulative rewards obtained using the policy and using an oracle that selects the arm with the maximum mean reward at each time. We characterize the performance of the proposed policies in terms of the worst-case regret, which is the supremum of the regret over the set of reward distri…
State-of-the-art efficient model-based Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms typically act by iteratively solving empirical models, i.e., by performing \emph{full-planning} on Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) built by the gathered experience. In this paper, we focus on model-based RL in the finite-state finite-horizon MDP setting and establish that exploring with \emph{greedy policies} -- act by \emph{1-step planning} -- can achieve tight minimax performance in terms of regret, $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{HSAT})$. Thus, full-planning in model-based RL can be avoided altogether without any perf…
School of Operations Research and Information Engineering, Cornell University(康奈尔大学运营研究与信息工程学院)
We develop a framework for designing simple and efficient policies for a family of online allocation and pricing problems, that includes online packing, budget-constrained probing, dynamic pricing, and online contextual bandits with knapsacks. In each case, we evaluate the performance of our policies in terms of their regret (i.e., additive gap) relative to an offline controller that is endowed with more information than the online controller. Our framework is based on Bellman Inequalities, which decompose the loss of an algorithm into two distinct sources of error: (1) arising from computatio…
N-discount optimality was introduced as a hierarchical form of policy- and value-function optimality, with Blackwell optimality lying at the top level of the hierarchy Veinott (1969); Blackwell (1962). We formalize notions of myopic discount factors, value functions and policies in terms of Blackwell optimality in MDPs, and we provide a novel concept of regret, called Blackwell regret, which measures the regret compared to a Blackwell optimal policy. Our main analysis focuses on long horizon MDPs with sparse rewards. We show that selecting the discount factor under which zero Blackwell regret …
We consider a stochastic inventory control problem under censored demands, lost sales, and positive lead times. This is a fundamental problem in inventory management, with significant literature establishing near-optimality of a simple class of policies called ``base-stock policies'' for the underlying Markov Decision Process (MDP), as well as convexity of long run average-cost under those policies. We consider the relatively less studied problem of designing a learning algorithm for this problem when the underlying demand distribution is unknown. The goal is to bound regret of the algorithm w…
Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学);INRIA Lille - Nord Europe(里尔-北欧法国国家信息与自动化研究所)
In some reinforcement learning problems an agent may be provided with a set of input policies, perhaps learned from prior experience or provided by advisors. We present a reinforcement learning with policy advice (RLPA) algorithm which leverages this input set and learns to use the best policy in the set for the reinforcement learning task at hand. We prove that RLPA has a sub-linear regret of \tilde O(\sqrt{T}) relative to the best input policy, and that both this regret and its computational complexity are independent of the size of the state and action space. Our empirical simulations suppo…
Texas A & M University(德克萨斯农工大学);Indian Institute of Science(印度科学学院)
We consider the problem of controlling an unknown stochastic linear system with quadratic costs - called the adaptive LQ control problem. We re-examine an approach called ''Reward Biased Maximum Likelihood Estimate'' (RBMLE) that was proposed more than forty years ago, and which predates the ''Upper Confidence Bound'' (UCB) method as well as the definition of ''regret'' for bandit problems. It simply added a term favoring parameters with larger rewards to the criterion for parameter estimation. We show how the RBMLE and UCB methods can be reconciled, and thereby propose an Augmented RBMLE-UCB …
We consider sequential decision making in a setting where regret is measured with respect to a set of stateful reference policies, and feedback is limited to observing the rewards of the actions performed (the so called "bandit" setting). If either the reference policies are stateless rather than stateful, or the feedback includes the rewards of all actions (the so called "expert" setting), previous work shows that the optimal regret grows like $Θ(\sqrt{T})$ in terms of the number of decision rounds $T$. The difficulty in our setting is that the decision maker unavoidably loses track of the in…
McGill University(麦吉尔大学);Mila Quebec AI Institute(米拉魁北克人工智能研究所)
The stochastic multi-armed bandit problem is a well-known model for studying the exploration-exploitation trade-off. It has significant possible applications in adaptive clinical trials, which allow for dynamic changes in the treatment allocation probabilities of patients. However, most bandit learning algorithms are designed with the goal of minimizing the expected regret. While this approach is useful in many areas, in clinical trials, it can be sensitive to outlier data, especially when the sample size is small. In this paper, we define and study a new robustness criterion for bandit proble…
University of Southern California(南加州大学);University of California, Berkeley(加州大学伯克利分校)
We consider the problem of learning in single-player and multiplayer multiarmed bandit models. Bandit problems are classes of online learning problems that capture exploration versus exploitation tradeoffs. In a multiarmed bandit model, players can pick among many arms, and each play of an arm generates an i.i.d. reward from an unknown distribution. The objective is to design a policy that maximizes the expected reward over a time horizon for a single player setting and the sum of expected rewards for the multiplayer setting. In the multiplayer setting, arms may give different rewards to diffe…
Johns Hopkins University(约翰斯·霍普金斯大学);University of Pittsburgh(匹兹堡大学)
This paper puts forward the concept that learning to take safe actions in unknown environments, even with probability one guarantees, can be achieved without the need for an unbounded number of exploratory trials. This is indeed possible, provided that one is willing to navigate trade-offs between optimality, level of exposure to unsafe events, and the maximum detection time of unsafe actions. We illustrate this concept in two complementary settings. We first focus on the canonical multi-armed bandit problem and study the intrinsic trade-offs of learning safety in the presence of uncertainty. …
Princeton University(普林斯顿大学);Università degli Studi di Milano(米兰大学);Microsoft Research New England(微软新英格兰研究院);Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania(宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院)
We address the online linear optimization problem with bandit feedback. Our contribution is twofold. First, we provide an algorithm (based on exponential weights) with a regret of order $\sqrt{d n \log N}$ for any finite action set with $N$ actions, under the assumption that the instantaneous loss is bounded by 1. This shaves off an extraneous $\sqrt{d}$ factor compared to previous works, and gives a regret bound of order $d \sqrt{n \log n}$ for any compact set of actions. Without further assumptions on the action set, this last bound is minimax optimal up to a logarithmic factor. Interestingl…
Lifelong reinforcement learning provides a promising framework for developing versatile agents that can accumulate knowledge over a lifetime of experience and rapidly learn new tasks by building upon prior knowledge. However, current lifelong learning methods exhibit non-vanishing regret as the amount of experience increases and include limitations that can lead to suboptimal or unsafe control policies. To address these issues, we develop a lifelong policy gradient learner that operates in an adversarial set- ting to learn multiple tasks online while enforcing safety constraints on the learned…
University of Texas at Austin(得克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校);University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign(伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校)
We consider a variant of the traditional multi-armed bandit problem in which each arm is only able to provide one-bit feedback during each pull based on its past history of rewards. Our main result is the following: given an upper confidence bound policy which uses full-reward feedback, there exists a coding scheme for generating one-bit feedback, and a corresponding decoding scheme and arm selection policy, such that the ratio of the regret achieved by our policy and the regret of the full-reward feedback policy asymptotically approaches one.
We consider a collaborative online learning paradigm, wherein a group of agents connected through a social network are engaged in playing a stochastic multi-armed bandit game. Each time an agent takes an action, the corresponding reward is instantaneously observed by the agent, as well as its neighbours in the social network. We perform a regret analysis of various policies in this collaborative learning setting. A key finding of this paper is that natural extensions of widely-studied single agent learning policies to the network setting need not perform well in terms of regret. In particular,…
University of California, Berkeley(加州大学伯克利分校);University of Hong Kong(香港大学)
The exploration/exploitation trade-off is an inherent challenge in data-driven adaptive control. Though this trade-off has been studied for multi-armed bandits (MAB's) and reinforcement learning for linear systems; it is less well-studied for learning-based control of nonlinear systems. A significant theoretical challenge in the nonlinear setting is that there is no explicit characterization of an optimal controller for a given set of cost and system parameters. We propose the use of a finite-horizon oracle controller with full knowledge of parameters as a reasonable surrogate to optimal contr…
Göteborgs Universitet(哥德堡大学);Chalmers University of Technology(查尔姆斯理工大学)
Bayesian methods suffer from the problem of how to specify prior beliefs. One interesting idea is to consider worst-case priors. This requires solving a stochastic zero-sum game. In this paper, we extend well-known results from bandit theory in order to discover minimax-Bayes policies and discuss when they are practical.
We study algorithms for average-cost reinforcement learning problems with value function approximation. Our starting point is the recently proposed POLITEX algorithm, a version of policy iteration where the policy produced in each iteration is near-optimal in hindsight for the sum of all past value function estimates. POLITEX has sublinear regret guarantees in uniformly-mixing MDPs when the value estimation error can be controlled, which can be satisfied if all policies sufficiently explore the environment. Unfortunately, this assumption is often unrealistic. Motivated by the rapid growth of i…
On the Benefits of Free Exploration for Regret Minimization in Multi-Armed Bandits
Department of Mathematics, National University of Singapore(新加坡国立大学数学系);Department of Mathematics, Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, National University of Singapore(新加坡国立大学数学系、电子与计算机工程系)
High-Probability Nash Regret for Decentralized Learning in Markov $α$-Potential Games: Episodic and Fully Online Asynchronous Algorithms with Applications to Markov Congestion Games
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign(伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校)
We consider online sequential decision problems where an agent must balance exploration and exploitation. We derive a set of Bayesian `optimistic' policies which, in the stochastic multi-armed bandit case, includes the Thompson sampling policy. We provide a new analysis showing that any algorithm producing policies in the optimistic set enjoys $\tilde O(\sqrt{AT})$ Bayesian regret for a problem with $A$ actions after $T$ rounds. We extend the regret analysis for optimistic policies to bilinear saddle-point problems which include zero-sum matrix games and constrained bandits as special cases. I…
MIT Lincoln Laboratory(麻省理工学院林肯实验室);MIT Laboratory for Information and Decision Systems(麻省理工学院信息与决策系统实验室)
We consider a system consisting of a single transmitter/receiver pair and $N$ channels over which they may communicate. Packets randomly arrive to the transmitter's queue and wait to be successfully sent to the receiver. The transmitter may attempt a frame transmission on one channel at a time, where each frame includes a packet if one is in the queue. For each channel, an attempted transmission is successful with an unknown probability. The transmitter's objective is to quickly identify the best channel to minimize the number of packets in the queue over $T$ time slots. To analyze system perf…
Multi-Armed Bernoulli Bandits via Minimax Single-Arm Stopping
Shanghai Jiao Tong University(上海交通大学);The University of Sydney(悉尼大学);École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne(洛桑联邦理工学院);Imperial College Business School(帝国理工学院商学院)
University of California, Santa Barbara(加州大学圣巴巴拉分校)
In feature-based dynamic pricing, a seller sets appropriate prices for a sequence of products (described by feature vectors) on the fly by learning from the binary outcomes of previous sales sessions ("Sold" if valuation $\geq$ price, and "Not Sold" otherwise). Existing works either assume noiseless linear valuation or precisely-known noise distribution, which limits the applicability of those algorithms in practice when these assumptions are hard to verify. In this work, we study two more agnostic models: (a) a "linear policy" problem where we aim at competing with the best linear pricing pol…
Boston University(波士顿大学);IIT-Bombay(印度理工学院孟买分校);Zhejiang University(浙江大学)
We consider the problem of learning a policy for a Markov decision process consistent with data captured on the state-actions pairs followed by the policy. We assume that the policy belongs to a class of parameterized policies which are defined using features associated with the state-action pairs. The features are known a priori, however, only an unknown subset of them could be relevant. The policy parameters that correspond to an observed target policy are recovered using $\ell_1$-regularized logistic regression that best fits the observed state-action samples. We establish bounds on the dif…
Regret Distribution in Stochastic Bandits: Optimal Trade-off between Expectation and Tail Risk
Institute for Data, Systems, and Society(数据、系统与社会研究所);Massachusetts Institute of Technology(麻省理工学院);Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research(工业工程与运营管理系)
Tsinghua University(清华大学);University of California, Davis(加利福尼亚大学戴维斯分校);Shanghai Jiao Tong University(上海交通大学);Ohio State University(俄亥俄州立大学)
The demand for seamless Internet access under extreme user mobility, such as on high-speed trains and vehicles, has become a norm rather than an exception. However, the 4G/5G mobile network is not always reliable to meet this demand, with non-negligible failures during the handover between base stations. A fundamental challenge of reliability is to balance the exploration of more measurements for satisfactory handover, and exploitation for timely handover (before the fast-moving user leaves the serving base station's radio coverage). This paper formulates this trade-off in extreme mobility as …
Tsinghua University(清华大学);University of Washington(华盛顿大学)
This paper gives the first polynomial-time algorithm for tabular Markov Decision Processes (MDP) that enjoys a regret bound \emph{independent on the planning horizon}. Specifically, we consider tabular MDP with $S$ states, $A$ actions, a planning horizon $H$, total reward bounded by $1$, and the agent plays for $K$ episodes. We design an algorithm that achieves an $O\left(\mathrm{poly}(S,A,\log K)\sqrt{K}\right)$ regret in contrast to existing bounds which either has an additional $\mathrm{polylog}(H)$ dependency~\citep{zhang2020reinforcement} or has an exponential dependency on $S$~\citep{li2…
Google Research(谷歌研究院);DeepMind(深度思维);University of Alberta(阿尔伯塔大学)
Most bandit policies are designed to either minimize regret in any problem instance, making very few assumptions about the underlying environment, or in a Bayesian sense, assuming a prior distribution over environment parameters. The former are often too conservative in practical settings, while the latter require assumptions that are hard to verify in practice. We study bandit problems that fall between these two extremes, where the learning agent has access to sampled bandit instances from an unknown prior distribution $\mathcal{P}$ and aims to achieve high reward on average over the bandit …
Regret minimization has played a key role in online learning, equilibrium computation in games, and reinforcement learning (RL). In this paper, we describe a general model-free RL method for no-regret learning based on repeated reconsideration of past behavior. We propose a model-free RL algorithm, the AdvantageRegret-Matching Actor-Critic (ARMAC): rather than saving past state-action data, ARMAC saves a buffer of past policies, replaying through them to reconstruct hindsight assessments of past behavior. These retrospective value estimates are used to predict conditional advantages which, com…
Facebook AI Research(Facebook 人工智能研究院);Inria Lille - Nord Europe(法国国家信息与自动化研究所里尔-北欧中心)
Many popular reinforcement learning problems (e.g., navigation in a maze, some Atari games, mountain car) are instances of the episodic setting under its stochastic shortest path (SSP) formulation, where an agent has to achieve a goal state while minimizing the cumulative cost. Despite the popularity of this setting, the exploration-exploitation dilemma has been sparsely studied in general SSP problems, with most of the theoretical literature focusing on different problems (i.e., fixed-horizon and infinite-horizon) or making the restrictive loop-free SSP assumption (i.e., no state can be visit…
Provably Efficient Risk-Sensitive Offline Reinforcement Learning via Optimized Certainty Equivalents
City University of Hong Kong(香港城市大学);University of Chicago(芝加哥大学);The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen(香港中文大学(深圳));Shanghai Jiao Tong University(上海交通大学)
The University of Sydney Business School(悉尼大学商学院);University of Southampton(南安普顿大学)
In budget-limited multi-armed bandit (MAB) problems, the learner's actions are costly and constrained by a fixed budget. Consequently, an optimal exploitation policy may not be to pull the optimal arm repeatedly, as is the case in other variants of MAB, but rather to pull the sequence of different arms that maximises the agent's total reward within the budget. This difference from existing MABs means that new approaches to maximising the total reward are required. Given this, we develop two pulling policies, namely: (i) KUBE; and (ii) fractional KUBE. Whereas the former provides better perform…
We investigate online Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with adversarially changing loss functions and known transitions. We choose dynamic regret as the performance measure, defined as the performance difference between the learner and any sequence of feasible changing policies. The measure is strictly stronger than the standard static regret that benchmarks the learner's performance with a fixed compared policy. We consider three foundational models of online MDPs, including episodic loop-free Stochastic Shortest Path (SSP), episodic SSP, and infinite-horizon MDPs. For these three models, we …
We use surrogate losses to obtain several new regret bounds and new algorithms for contextual bandit learning. Using the ramp loss, we derive new margin-based regret bounds in terms of standard sequential complexity measures of a benchmark class of real-valued regression functions. Using the hinge loss, we derive an efficient algorithm with a $\sqrt{dT}$-type mistake bound against benchmark policies induced by $d$-dimensional regressors. Under realizability assumptions, our results also yield classical regret bounds.
The theory of reinforcement learning has focused on two fundamental problems: achieving low regret, and identifying $ε$-optimal policies. While a simple reduction allows one to apply a low-regret algorithm to obtain an $ε$-optimal policy and achieve the worst-case optimal rate, it is unknown whether low-regret algorithms can obtain the instance-optimal rate for policy identification. We show this is not possible -- there exists a fundamental tradeoff between achieving low regret and identifying an $ε$-optimal policy at the instance-optimal rate. Motivated by our negative finding, we propose a …
University of Minnesota(明尼苏达大学);DeepMind;Microsoft Research(微软研究院);Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学)
Motivated by high-stakes decision-making domains like personalized medicine where user information is inherently sensitive, we design privacy preserving exploration policies for episodic reinforcement learning (RL). We first provide a meaningful privacy formulation using the notion of joint differential privacy (JDP)--a strong variant of differential privacy for settings where each user receives their own sets of output (e.g., policy recommendations). We then develop a private optimism-based learning algorithm that simultaneously achieves strong PAC and regret bounds, and enjoys a JDP guarante…
Google Research(谷歌研究院);National Technical University of Athens(雅典国立技术大学);Yale University(耶鲁大学);ETH Zurich(苏黎世联邦理工学院)
In this paper, we introduce the notion of replicable policies in the context of stochastic bandits, one of the canonical problems in interactive learning. A policy in the bandit environment is called replicable if it pulls, with high probability, the exact same sequence of arms in two different and independent executions (i.e., under independent reward realizations). We show that not only do replicable policies exist, but also they achieve almost the same optimal (non-replicable) regret bounds in terms of the time horizon. More specifically, in the stochastic multi-armed bandits setting, we de…
We study the stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem in the presence of side-observations across actions that occur as a result of an underlying network structure. In our model, a bipartite graph captures the relationship between actions and a common set of unknowns such that choosing an action reveals observations for the unknowns that it is connected to. This models a common scenario in online social networks where users respond to their friends' activity, thus providing side information about each other's preferences. Our contributions are as follows: 1) We derive an asymptotic lower bo…