Global human motion forecasting is important in many fields, which is the combination of global human trajectory prediction and local human pose prediction. Visual and social information are often used to boost model performance, however, they may consume too much computational resource. In this paper, we establish a simple but effective baseline for single human motion forecasting without visual and social information, equipped with useful training tricks. Our method "futuremotion_ICCV21" outperforms existing methods by a large margin on SoMoF benchmark. We hope our work provide new ideas for future research.
Traditional weather forecasting relies on domain expertise and computationally intensive numerical simulation systems. Recently, with the development of a data-driven approach, weather forecasting based on deep learning has been receiving attention. Deep learning-based weather forecasting has made stunning progress, from various backbone studies using CNN, RNN, and Transformer to training strategies using weather observations datasets with auxiliary inputs. All of this progress has contributed to the field of weather forecasting; however, many elements and complex structures of deep learning m…
Learning Cooperative Trajectory Representations for Motion Forecasting
Institute for AI Industry Research (AIR), Tsinghua University（清华大学人工智能产业研究院（AIR））；University of Chinese Academy of Science（中国科学院大学）；The University of Hong Kong（香港大学）
Robust motion forecasting of the dynamic scene is a critical component of an autonomous vehicle. It is a challenging problem due to the heterogeneity in the scene and the inherent uncertainties in the problem. To improve the accuracy of motion forecasting, in this work, we identify a new consistency constraint in this task, that is an agent's future trajectory should be coherent with its history observations and visa versa. To leverage this property, we propose a novel cycle consistency training scheme and define a novel cycle loss to encourage this consistency. In particular, we reverse the p…
Renault Software Factory（雷诺软件工厂）；CNRS-I3S（法国国家科学研究中心I3S实验室）；Côte d’Azur University（蔚蓝海岸大学）
This paper addresses the problem of end-to-end self-supervised forecasting of depth and ego motion. Given a sequence of raw images, the aim is to forecast both the geometry and ego-motion using a self supervised photometric loss. The architecture is designed using both convolution and transformer modules. This leverages the benefits of both modules: Inductive bias of CNN, and the multi-head attention of transformers, thus enabling a rich spatio-temporal representation that enables accurate depth forecasting. Prior work attempts to solve this problem using multi-modal input/output with supervis…
SurgGMF: Fully Causal Gaussian Motion Forecasting for Anticipatory Surgical Scene Rendering
Shanghai Research Institute for Intelligent Autonomous Systems, Tongji University（同济大学上海自主智能无人系统科学中心）；School of Mechanical Engineering, Tongji University（同济大学机械工程学院）；Shanghai Innovation Institute（上海创新研究院）
We propose a motion forecasting model that exploits a novel structured map representation as well as actor-map interactions. Instead of encoding vectorized maps as raster images, we construct a lane graph from raw map data to explicitly preserve the map structure. To capture the complex topology and long range dependencies of the lane graph, we propose LaneGCN which extends graph convolutions with multiple adjacency matrices and along-lane dilation. To capture the complex interactions between actors and maps, we exploit a fusion network consisting of four types of interactions, actor-to-lane, …
University of Zagreb, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computing（萨格勒布大学电气工程与计算学院）；Rimac Automobili（里马茨汽车公司）
Dense semantic forecasting anticipates future events in video by inferring pixel-level semantics of an unobserved future image. We present a novel approach that is applicable to various single-frame architectures and tasks. Our approach consists of two modules. Feature-to-motion (F2M) module forecasts a dense deformation field that warps past features into their future positions. Feature-to-feature (F2F) module regresses the future features directly and is therefore able to account for emergent scenery. The compound F2MF model decouples the effects of motion from the effects of novelty in a ta…
To safely navigate in various complex traffic scenarios, autonomous driving systems are generally equipped with a motion forecasting module to provide vital information for the downstream planning module. For the real-world onboard applications, both accuracy and latency of a motion forecasting model are essential. In this report, we present an effective and efficient solution, which ranks the 3rd place in the Argoverse 2 Motion Forecasting Challenge 2022.
Flood disasters cause enormous social and economic losses. However, both traditional physical models and learning-based flood forecasting models require massive historical flood data to train the model parameters. When come to some new site that does not have sufficient historical data, the model performance will drop dramatically due to overfitting. This technical report presents a Flood Domain Adaptation Network (FloodDAN), a baseline of applying Unsupervised Domain Adaptation (UDA) to the flood forecasting problem. Specifically, training of FloodDAN includes two stages: in the first stage, …
Trajectory forecasting plays a pivotal role in the field of intelligent vehicles or social robots. Recent works focus on modeling spatial social impacts or temporal motion attentions, but neglect inherent properties of motions, i.e. moving trends and driving intentions. This paper proposes a context-free Hierarchical Motion Encoder-Decoder Network (HMNet) for vehicle trajectory prediction. HMNet first infers the hierarchical difference on motions to encode physically compliant patterns with high expressivity of moving trends and driving intentions. Then, a goal (endpoint)-embedded decoder hier…
InfraWorld: Motion-Aware World Modeling for Roadside 4D Occupancy Forecasting
College of Information Science and Electronic Engineering, Zhejiang University（浙江大学信息科学与电子工程学院）；School of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Nanyang Technological University（南洋理工大学机械与航天工程学院）
Xi’an Jiaotong University（西安交通大学）；Chang’an University（长安大学）；The University of Sydney（悉尼大学）
Trajectory forecasting is critical for autonomous platforms to make safe planning and actions. Currently, most trajectory forecasting methods assume that object trajectories have been extracted and directly develop trajectory predictors based on the ground truth trajectories. However, this assumption does not hold in practical situations. Trajectories obtained from object detection and tracking are inevitably noisy, which could cause serious forecasting errors to predictors built on ground truth trajectories. In this paper, we propose a trajectory predictor directly based on detection results …
Australian National University（澳大利亚国立大学）；EPFL（洛桑联邦理工学院）；ClearSpace
In this paper, we tackle the task of scene-aware 3D human motion forecasting, which consists of predicting future human poses given a 3D scene and a past human motion. A key challenge of this task is to ensure consistency between the human and the scene, accounting for human-scene interactions. Previous attempts to do so model such interactions only implicitly, and thus tend to produce artifacts such as "ghost motion" because of the lack of explicit constraints between the local poses and the global motion. Here, by contrast, we propose to explicitly model the human-scene contacts. To this end…
In this paper we propose a novel deep neural network that is able to jointly reason about 3D detection, tracking and motion forecasting given data captured by a 3D sensor. By jointly reasoning about these tasks, our holistic approach is more robust to occlusion as well as sparse data at range. Our approach performs 3D convolutions across space and time over a bird's eye view representation of the 3D world, which is very efficient in terms of both memory and computation. Our experiments on a new very large scale dataset captured in several north american cities, show that we can outperform the …
Ferdowsi University of Mashhad（马什哈德菲尔多西大学）；Stanford University（斯坦福大学）；University of Adelaide（阿德莱德大学）
Smooth and seamless robot navigation while interacting with humans depends on predicting human movements. Forecasting such human dynamics often involves modeling human trajectories (global motion) or detailed body joint movements (local motion). Prior work typically tackled local and global human movements separately. In this paper, we propose a novel framework to tackle both tasks of human motion (or trajectory) and body skeleton pose forecasting in a unified end-to-end pipeline. To deal with this real-world problem, we consider incorporating both scene and social contexts, as critical clues …
HUMOF: Human Motion Forecasting in Interactive Social Scenes
ShanghaiTech University（上海科技大学）；The University of Hong Kong（香港大学）；Digital Trust Centre, Nanyang Technological University（南洋理工大学数字信任中心）；Sun Yat-sen University（中山大学）；The Chinese University of Hong Kong（香港中文大学）
This paper introduces a joint learning architecture (JLA) for multiple object tracking (MOT) and trajectory forecasting in which the goal is to predict objects' current and future trajectories simultaneously. Motion prediction is widely used in several state of the art MOT methods to refine predictions in the form of bounding boxes. Typically, a Kalman Filter provides short-term estimations to help trackers correctly predict objects' locations in the current frame. However, the Kalman Filter-based approaches cannot predict non-linear trajectories. We propose to jointly train a tracking and tra…
Motion forecasting for autonomous driving is a challenging task because complex driving scenarios result in a heterogeneous mix of static and dynamic inputs. It is an open problem how best to represent and fuse information about road geometry, lane connectivity, time-varying traffic light state, and history of a dynamic set of agents and their interactions into an effective encoding. To model this diverse set of input features, many approaches proposed to design an equally complex system with a diverse set of modality specific modules. This results in systems that are difficult to scale, exten…
Institute of Medical Technology, Hamburg University of Technology（汉堡工业大学医学技术研究所）
Forecasting motion of a specific target object is a common problem for surgical interventions, e.g. for localization of a target region, guidance for surgical interventions, or motion compensation. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) is an imaging modality with a high spatial and temporal resolution. Recently, deep learning methods have shown promising performance for OCT-based motion estimation based on two volumetric images. We extend this approach and investigate whether using a time series of volumes enables motion forecasting. We propose 4D spatio-temporal deep learning for end-to-end moti…
Peking University（北京大学）；The Chinese University of Hong Kong（香港中文大学）；Meituan（美团）；Inceptio（嬴彻科技）；ShanghaiTech University（上海科技大学）；National University of Defense Technology（国防科技大学）；Academy of Military Sciences（军事科学院）；Fudan University（复旦大学）
Predicting the future motion of road participants is crucial for autonomous driving but is extremely challenging due to staggering motion uncertainty. Recently, most motion forecasting methods resort to the goal-based strategy, i.e., predicting endpoints of motion trajectories as conditions to regress the entire trajectories, so that the search space of solution can be reduced. However, accurate goal coordinates are hard to predict and evaluate. In addition, the point representation of the destination limits the utilization of a rich road context, leading to inaccurate prediction results in ma…
University of Stuttgart（斯图加特大学）；Heidelberg University（海德堡大学）；University of Tuebingen（蒂宾根大学）；Center for Bionic Intelligence Tuebingen Stuttgart (BITS)（蒂宾根-斯图加特仿生智能中心（BITS））
Human pose forecasting is a challenging problem involving complex human body motion and posture dynamics. In cases that there are multiple people in the environment, one's motion may also be influenced by the motion and dynamic movements of others. Although there are several previous works targeting the problem of multi-person dynamic pose forecasting, they often model the entire pose sequence as time series (ignoring the underlying relationship between joints) or only output the future pose sequence of one person at a time. In this paper, we present a new method, called Social Motion Transfor…
Deep motion forecasting models have achieved great success when trained on a massive amount of data. Yet, they often perform poorly when training data is limited. To address this challenge, we propose a transfer learning approach for efficiently adapting pre-trained forecasting models to new domains, such as unseen agent types and scene contexts. Unlike the conventional fine-tuning approach that updates the whole encoder, our main idea is to reduce the amount of tunable parameters that can precisely account for the target domain-specific motion style. To this end, we introduce two components t…
HOIMotion: Forecasting Human Motion During Human-Object Interactions Using Egocentric 3D Object Bounding Boxes
University of Stuttgart（斯图加特大学）；Heidelberg University（海德堡大学）；University of Tuebingen（蒂宾根大学）；Center for Bionic Intelligence Tuebingen Stuttgart (BITS)（蒂宾根-斯图加特仿生智能中心（BITS））
OPPO Research Institute（OPPO研究院）；Waseda University（早稻田大学）
We propose a motion forecasting model called BANet, which means Boundary-Aware Network, and it is a variant of LaneGCN. We believe that it is not enough to use only the lane centerline as input to obtain the embedding features of the vector map nodes. The lane centerline can only provide the topology of the lanes, and other elements of the vector map also contain rich information. For example, the lane boundary can provide traffic rule constraint information such as whether it is possible to change lanes which is very important. Therefore, we achieved better performance by encoding more vector…
Self-supervised learning (SSL) is an emerging technique that has been successfully employed to train convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and graph neural networks (GNNs) for more transferable, generalizable, and robust representation learning. However its potential in motion forecasting for autonomous driving has rarely been explored. In this study, we report the first systematic exploration and assessment of incorporating self-supervision into motion forecasting. We first propose to investigate four novel self-supervised learning tasks for motion forecasting with theoretical rationale and qu…
Sapienza University of Rome（罗马第一大学）；University of Verona（维罗纳大学）；Inception Institute of Artificial Intelligence（起源人工智能研究院）
Transformer Networks have established themselves as the de-facto state-of-the-art for trajectory forecasting but there is currently no systematic study on their capability to model the motion patterns of people, without interactions with other individuals nor the social context. This paper proposes the first in-depth study of Transformer Networks (TF) and Bidirectional Transformers (BERT) for the forecasting of the individual motion of people, without bells and whistles. We conduct an exhaustive evaluation of input/output representations, problem formulations and sequence modeling, including a…
University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；Uber Advanced Technologies Group（优步先进技术集团）
Forecasting the future behaviors of dynamic actors is an important task in many robotics applications such as self-driving. It is extremely challenging as actors have latent intentions and their trajectories are governed by complex interactions between the other actors, themselves, and the maps. In this paper, we propose LaneRCNN, a graph-centric motion forecasting model. Importantly, relying on a specially designed graph encoder, we learn a local lane graph representation per actor (LaneRoI) to encode its past motions and the local map topology. We further develop an interaction module which …
In Argoverse motion forecasting competition, the task is to predict the probabilistic future trajectory distribution for the interested targets in the traffic scene. We use vectorized lane map and 2 s targets' history trajectories as input. Then the model outputs 6 forecasted trajectories with probability for each target.
Inspired by recent developments regarding the application of self-supervised learning (SSL), we devise an auxiliary task for trajectory prediction that takes advantage of map-only information such as graph connectivity with the intent of improving map comprehension and generalization. We apply this auxiliary task through two frameworks - multitasking and pretraining. In either framework we observe significant improvement of our baseline in metrics such as $\mathrm{minFDE}_6$ (as much as 20.3%) and $\mathrm{MissRate}_6$ (as much as 33.3%), as well as a richer comprehension of map features demon…
Expressive Forecasting of 3D Whole-body Human Motions
MiLAB, Westlake University（西湖大学 MiLAB）；Zhejiang University（浙江大学）；Nanjing University of Science and Technology（南京理工大学）；Shenzhen Graduate School, Peking University（北京大学深圳研究生院）；Xiaohongshu Inc.（小红书公司）
Uncertainty-aware Probabilistic 3D Human Motion Forecasting via Invertible Networks
The State Key Laboratory of Virtual Reality Technology and Systems, Beihang University, Beijing, China（虚拟现实技术与系统国家重点实验室，北京航空航天大学）；Department of Computer Science, Durham University（计算机科学系，杜伦大学）；Zhongguancun Laboratory, Beijing, China（中关村实验室，北京）
We address the problem of action-conditioned generation of human motion sequences. Existing work falls into two categories: forecast models conditioned on observed past motions, or generative models conditioned on action labels and duration only. In contrast, we generate motion conditioned on observations of arbitrary length, including none. To solve this generalized problem, we propose PoseGPT, an auto-regressive transformer-based approach which internally compresses human motion into quantized latent sequences. An auto-encoder first maps human motion to latent index sequences in a discrete s…
Uber ATG（优步先进技术集团）；University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；Cornell University（康奈尔大学）
In this paper, we address the important problem in self-driving of forecasting multi-pedestrian motion and their shared scene occupancy map, critical for safe navigation. Our contributions are two-fold. First, we advocate for predicting both the individual motions as well as the scene occupancy map in order to effectively deal with missing detections caused by postprocessing, e.g., confidence thresholding and non-maximum suppression. Second, we propose a Scene-Actor Graph Neural Network (SA-GNN) which preserves the relative spatial information of pedestrians via 2D convolution, and captures th…
The Pennsylvania State University（宾夕法尼亚州立大学）；Amazon Lab126（亚马逊Lab126）；Accuweather Inc.（Accuweather公司）；University of Almería（阿尔梅里亚大学）
Meteorologists use shapes and movements of clouds in satellite images as indicators of several major types of severe storms. Satellite imaginary data are in increasingly higher resolution, both spatially and temporally, making it impossible for humans to fully leverage the data in their forecast. Automatic satellite imagery analysis methods that can find storm-related cloud patterns as soon as they are detectable are in demand. We propose a machine learning and pattern recognition based approach to detect "comma-shaped" clouds in satellite images, which are specific cloud distribution patterns…
