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arXiv 2109.11642cs.SIcs.NI
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具有迹可行性保证的社会图贝叶斯推理

Bayesian Inference of a Social Graph with Trace Feasibility Guarantees

Effrosyni Papanastasiou, Anastasios Giovanidis

摘要:

网络推理是决定什么是节点之间的一组交互的真正未知图的过程。关于这个主题有大量的文献,但大多数已知的方法都有一个重要的缺点:推断图不能保证解释来自输入轨迹的每个交互。我们认为这是一个重要的问题,因为这样的推断图不能作为输入的应用程序,需要一个可靠的估计的真实图。另一方面,具有跟踪可行性保证的图可以帮助我们更好地理解感兴趣的节点之间可能发生的真实(隐藏)交互。这类图的推理是本文的目标。首先,给定来自社交网络的活动日志,我们引入一组约束,考虑到轨迹节点之间可能的所有隐藏路径,给定它们的交互时间戳。然后,我们开发了Newman [1]的期望最大化算法的非平凡修改,我们称之为约束EM,它将约束和一组辅助变量纳入推理过程,以引导其实现迹的可行性。来自Twitter的真实数据的实验结果证实,约束EM生成了一个后验分布图,解释了跟踪中观察到的所有事件,同时呈现了无标度小世界图的所需属性。我们的方法也优于建立的方法的可行性和质量的推断图。

英文摘要:

Network inference is the process of deciding what is the true unknown graph underlying a set of interactions between nodes. There is a vast literature on the subject, but most known methods have an important drawback: the inferred graph is not guaranteed to explain every interaction from the input trace. We consider this an important issue since such inferred graph cannot be used as input for applications that require a reliable estimate of the true graph. On the other hand, a graph having trace feasibility guarantees can help us better understand the true (hidden) interactions that may have taken place between nodes of interest. The inference of such graph is the goal of this paper. Firstly, given an activity log from a social network, we introduce a set of constraints that take into consideration all the hidden paths that are possible between the nodes of the trace, given their timestamps of interaction. Then, we develop a nontrivial modification of the Expectation-Maximization algorithm by Newman [1], that we call Constrained-EM, which incorporates the constraints and a set of auxiliary variables into the inference process to guide it towards the feasibility of the trace. Experimental results on real-world data from Twitter confirm that Constrained-EM generates a posterior distribution of graphs that explains all the events observed in the trace while presenting the desired properties of a scale-free, small-world graph. Our method also outperforms established methods in terms of feasibility and quality of the inferred graph.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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