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arXiv 2108.07340stat.ME
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通过随机矩阵理论检测协方差的变化

Detecting changes in covariance via random matrix theory

Sean Ryan, Rebecca Killick

摘要:

提出了一种新的中维时间序列协方差结构变化检测方法。此非线性检验统计量具有许多有用的属性。最重要的是,它独立于协方差阵的基本结构。我们讨论如何从随机矩阵理论的结果,可以用来研究我们的检验统计量在一个中等尺寸的设置(即变量的数量是可比的数据的长度)的行为。特别地,我们证明了在原假设下,检验统计量逐点收敛到正态分布。我们评估了所提出的方法在一系列模拟数据集上的性能,发现它优于一系列最近提出的替代方法。最后,我们使用我们的方法来研究土壤的一个地块的表面上的水量的变化,输入到模型开发的表面管道的退化。

英文摘要:

A novel method is proposed for detecting changes in the covariance structure of moderate dimensional time series. This non-linear test statistic has a number of useful properties. Most importantly, it is independent of the underlying structure of the covariance matrix. We discuss how results from Random Matrix Theory, can be used to study the behaviour of our test statistic in a moderate dimensional setting (i.e. the number of variables is comparable to the length of the data). In particular, we demonstrate that the test statistic converges point wise to a normal distribution under the null hypothesis. We evaluate the performance of the proposed approach on a range of simulated datasets and find that it outperforms a range of alternative recently proposed methods. Finally, we use our approach to study changes in the amount of water on the surface of a plot of soil which feeds into model development for degradation of surface piping.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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