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arXiv 2102.09287q-fin.PM
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均值-方差投资组合优化中的集成预测

Integrating prediction in mean-variance portfolio optimization

Andrew Butler, Roy H. Kwon

摘要:

传统上,预测模型的优化与其在资产配置决策过程中的使用无关。我们解决这个缺点,并提出了一个框架,集成回归预测模型的均值方差优化(MVO)设置。封闭形式的解析解提供了无约束和等式约束的MVO的情况下。对于一般的不等式约束的情况下,我们利用神经网络架构的最新进展,有效地优化批处理二次规划。据我们所知,这是第一个严格的研究整合预测的均值-方差投资组合优化设置。我们提出了几个历史模拟使用合成和全球期货数据来证明综合方法的好处。

英文摘要:

Prediction models are traditionally optimized independently from their use in the asset allocation decision-making process. We address this shortcoming and present a framework for integrating regression prediction models in a mean-variance optimization (MVO) setting. Closed-form analytical solutions are provided for the unconstrained and equality constrained MVO case. For the general inequality constrained case, we make use of recent advances in neural-network architecture for efficient optimization of batch quadratic-programs. To our knowledge, this is the first rigorous study of integrating prediction in a mean-variance portfolio optimization setting. We present several historical simulations using both synthetic and global futures data to demonstrate the benefits of the integrated approach.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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