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arXiv 2012.12310cs.LGq-bio.QM

Mixture Model Framework for Traumatic Brain Injury Prognosis Using Heterogeneous Clinical and Outcome Data

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory(劳伦斯利弗莫尔国家实验室);Medical College of Wisconsin(威斯康星医学院);University of California, San Diego(加州大学圣地亚哥分校);Baylor College of Medicine(贝勒医学院);Massachusetts General Hospital(麻省总医院);Harvard Medical School(哈佛医学院);University of California, San Francisco(加州大学旧金山分校)
Alan D. Kaplan, Qi Cheng, K. Aditya Mohan, Lindsay D. Nelson, Sonia Jain, Harvey Levin, Abel Torres-Espin, Austin Chou, J. Russell Huie, Adam R. Ferguson, Micha… 展开作者

Alan D. Kaplan, Qi Cheng, K. Aditya Mohan, Lindsay D. Nelson, Sonia Jain, Harvey Levin, Abel Torres-Espin, Austin Chou, J. Russell Huie, Adam R. Ferguson, Michael McCrea, Joseph Giacino, Shivshankar Sundaram, Amy J. Markowitz, Geoffrey T. Manley

英文摘要:

Prognoses of Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI) outcomes are neither easily nor accurately determined from clinical indicators. This is due in part to the heterogeneity of damage inflicted to the brain, ultimately resulting in diverse and complex outcomes. Using a data-driven approach on many distinct data elements may be necessary to describe this large set of outcomes and thereby robustly depict the nuanced differences among TBI patients' recovery. In this work, we develop a method for modeling large heterogeneous data types relevant to TBI. Our approach is geared toward the probabilistic representation of mixed continuous and discrete variables with missing values. The model is trained on a dataset encompassing a variety of data types, including demographics, blood-based biomarkers, and imaging findings. In addition, it includes a set of clinical outcome assessments at 3, 6, and 12 months post-injury. The model is used to stratify patients into distinct groups in an unsupervised learning setting. We use the model to infer outcomes using input data, and show that the collection of input data reduces uncertainty of outcomes over a baseline approach. In addition, we quantify the performance of a likelihood scoring technique that can be used to self-evaluate the extrapolation risk of prognosis on unseen patients.

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