We study the multinomial logit (MNL) bandit problem, where at each time step, the seller offers an assortment of size at most $K$ from a pool of $N$ items, and the buyer purchases an item from the assortment according to a MNL choice model. The objective is to learn the model parameters and maximize the expected revenue. We present (i) an algorithm that identifies the optimal assortment $S^*$ within $\widetilde{O}(\sum_{i = 1}^N Δ_i^{-2})$ time steps with high probability, and (ii) an algorithm that incurs $O(\sum_{i \notin S^*} KΔ_i^{-1} \log T)$ regret in $T$ time steps. To our knowledge, our algorithms are the first to achieve gap-dependent bounds that fully depends on the suboptimality gaps of all items. Our technical contributions include an algorithmic framework that relates the MNL-bandit problem to a variant of the top-$K$ arm identification problem in multi-armed bandits, a generalized epoch-based offering procedure, and a layer-based adaptive estimation procedure.
Motivated by real-world applications such as fast fashion retailing and online advertising, the Multinomial Logit Bandit (MNL-bandit) is a popular model in online learning and operations research, and has attracted much attention in the past decade. However, it is a bit surprising that pure exploration, a basic problem in bandit theory, has not been well studied in MNL-bandit so far. In this paper we give efficient algorithms for pure exploration in MNL-bandit. Our algorithms achieve instance-sensitive pull complexities. We also complement the upper bounds by an almost matching lower bound.
Tsinghua University（清华大学）；Northwestern University（西北大学）；University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign（伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校）
We study multinomial logit bandit with limited adaptivity, where the algorithms change their exploration actions as infrequently as possible when achieving almost optimal minimax regret. We propose two measures of adaptivity: the assortment switching cost and the more fine-grained item switching cost. We present an anytime algorithm (AT-DUCB) with $O(N \log T)$ assortment switches, almost matching the lower bound $Ω(\frac{N \log T}{ \log \log T})$. In the fixed-horizon setting, our algorithm FH-DUCB incurs $O(N \log \log T)$ assortment switches, matching the asymptotic lower bound. We also pre…
University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）；IBM Research（IBM研究院）
Motivated by the phenomenon that companies introduce new products to keep abreast with customers' rapidly changing tastes, we consider a novel online learning setting where a profit-maximizing seller needs to learn customers' preferences through offering recommendations, which may contain existing products and new products that are launched in the middle of a selling period. We propose a sequential multinomial logit (SMNL) model to characterize customers' behavior when product recommendations are presented in tiers. For the offline version with known customers' preferences, we propose a polyno…
Multinomial logit bandit is a sequential subset selection problem which arises in many applications. In each round, the player selects a $K$-cardinality subset from $N$ candidate items, and receives a reward which is governed by a {\it multinomial logit} (MNL) choice model considering both item utility and substitution property among items. The player's objective is to dynamically learn the parameters of MNL model and maximize cumulative reward over a finite horizon $T$. This problem faces the exploration-exploitation dilemma, and the involved combinatorial nature makes it non-trivial. In rece…
Seoul National University（首尔大学）；Columbia University（哥伦比亚大学）
We consider a sequential assortment selection problem where the user choice is given by a multinomial logit (MNL) choice model whose parameters are unknown. In each period, the learning agent observes a $d$-dimensional contextual information about the user and the $N$ available items, and offers an assortment of size $K$ to the user, and observes the bandit feedback of the item chosen from the assortment. We propose upper confidence bound based algorithms for this MNL contextual bandit. The first algorithm is a simple and practical method which achieves an $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(d\sqrt{T})$ regr…
University of California, Los Angeles（加利福尼亚大学洛杉矶分校）；University of British Columbia（不列颠哥伦比亚大学）
Out of the rich family of generalized linear bandits, perhaps the most well studied ones are logisitc bandits that are used in problems with binary rewards: for instance, when the learner/agent tries to maximize the profit over a user that can select one of two possible outcomes (e.g., `click' vs `no-click'). Despite remarkable recent progress and improved algorithms for logistic bandits, existing works do not address practical situations where the number of outcomes that can be selected by the user is larger than two (e.g., `click', `show me later', `never show again', `no click'). In this pa…
Learning in Position-Aware Multinomial Logit Bandits: From Multiplicative to General Position Effects
Leonard N. Stern School of Business, New York University（纽约大学勒纳商学院）；Qiuzhen College, Tsinghua University（清华大学齐臻学院）；Department of Management Science, School of Management, Fudan University（复旦大学管理学院管理科学系）；Yau Mathematical Sciences Center & Department of Mathematical Sciences, Tsinghua University（清华大学尤数学科学中心及数学科学系）
Enjoying Non-linearity in Multinomial Logistic Bandits: A Minimax-Optimal Algorithm
INRIA（法国国家信息与自动化研究所）；École Normale Supérieure（巴黎高等师范学院）；PSL Research University（巴黎文理研究大学）；Univ. Grenoble Alpes（格勒诺布尔阿尔卑斯大学）；CNRS（法国国家科学研究中心）；Grenoble INP（格勒诺布尔国立高等物理、数学与信息学院）；SDA Bocconi School of Management（博科尼管理学院）
Efficient Multinomial Logistic Bandit via Frequent Directions
State Key Laboratory of Novel Software Technology, Nanjing University（南京大学计算机软件新技术国家重点实验室）；School of Artificial Intelligence, Nanjing University（南京大学人工智能学院）；Paul G. Allen School of Computer Science & Engineering, University of Washington（华盛顿大学保罗·G·艾伦计算机科学与工程学院）
Columbia University（哥伦比亚大学）；Columbia Business School（哥伦比亚商学院）
We consider a sequential subset selection problem under parameter uncertainty, where at each time step, the decision maker selects a subset of cardinality $K$ from $N$ possible items (arms), and observes a (bandit) feedback in the form of the index of one of the items in said subset, or none. Each item in the index set is ascribed a certain value (reward), and the feedback is governed by a Multinomial Logit (MNL) choice model whose parameters are a priori unknown. The objective of the decision maker is to maximize the expected cumulative rewards over a finite horizon $T$, or alternatively, min…
Leonard N. Stern School of Business, New York University（纽约大学伦纳德·N·斯特恩商学院）；School of Computer Science, Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学计算机学院）
In this short note we consider a dynamic assortment planning problem under the capacitated multinomial logit (MNL) bandit model. We prove a tight lower bound on the accumulated regret that matches existing regret upper bounds for all parameters (time horizon $T$, number of items $N$ and maximum assortment capacity $K$) up to logarithmic factors. Our results close an $O(\sqrt{K})$ gap between upper and lower regret bounds from existing works.
Motivated by e-commerce, we study the online assortment optimization problem. The seller offers an assortment, i.e. a subset of products, to each arriving customer, who then purchases one or no product from her offered assortment. A customer's purchase decision is governed by the underlying MultiNomial Logit (MNL) choice model. The seller aims to maximize the total revenue in a finite sales horizon, subject to resource constraints and uncertainty in the MNL choice model. We first propose an efficient online policy which incurs a regret $\tilde{O}(T^{2/3})$, where $T$ is the number of customers…
Univ. Lille（里尔大学）；CNRS（法国国家科学研究中心）；Inria（法国国家信息与自动化研究所）；Centrale Lille（里尔中央理工学院）；CIRAD（法国农业国际合作研究发展中心）；Alliance of CIAT and Bioversity International（国际热带农业中心与国际生物多样性中心联盟）
In this paper we study a multi-arm bandit problem in which the quality of each arm is measured by the Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) at some level alpha of the reward distribution. While existing works in this setting mainly focus on Upper Confidence Bound algorithms, we introduce a new Thompson Sampling approach for CVaR bandits on bounded rewards that is flexible enough to solve a variety of problems grounded on physical resources. Building on a recent work by Riou & Honda (2020), we introduce B-CVTS for continuous bounded rewards and M-CVTS for multinomial distributions. On the theoretica…
We study the Bayesian regret of the renowned Thompson Sampling algorithm in contextual bandits with binary losses and adversarially-selected contexts. We adapt the information-theoretic perspective of \cite{RvR16} to the contextual setting by considering a lifted version of the information ratio defined in terms of the unknown model parameter instead of the optimal action or optimal policy as done in previous works on the same setting. This allows us to bound the regret in terms of the entropy of the prior distribution through a remarkably simple proof, and with no structural assumptions on th…
The multi-armed bandit problem is a classical decision-making problem where an agent has to learn an optimal action balancing exploration and exploitation. Properly managing this trade-off requires a correct assessment of uncertainty; in multi-armed bandits, as in other machine learning applications, it is important to distinguish between stochasticity that is inherent to the system (aleatoric uncertainty) and stochasticity that derives from the limited knowledge of the agent (epistemic uncertainty). In this paper we consider the formalism of subjective logic, a concise and expressive framewor…
Columbia University（哥伦比亚大学）；Columbia Business School（哥伦比亚商学院）
We consider a dynamic assortment selection problem, where in every round the retailer offers a subset (assortment) of $N$ substitutable products to a consumer, who selects one of these products according to a multinomial logit (MNL) choice model. The retailer observes this choice and the objective is to dynamically learn the model parameters, while optimizing cumulative revenues over a selling horizon of length $T$. We refer to this exploration-exploitation formulation as the MNL-Bandit problem. Existing methods for this problem follow an "explore-then-exploit" approach, which estimate paramet…
Bandits with Knapsacks (BwK) is a general model for multi-armed bandits under supply/budget constraints. While worst-case regret bounds for BwK are well-understood, we present three results that go beyond the worst-case perspective. First, we provide upper and lower bounds which amount to a full characterization for logarithmic, instance-dependent regret rates. Second, we consider "simple regret" in BwK, which tracks algorithm's performance in a given round, and prove that it is small in all but a few rounds. Third, we provide a general "reduction" from BwK to bandits which takes advantage of …
The mixed multinomial logit model assumes constant preference parameters of a decision-maker throughout different choice situations, which may be considered too strong for certain choice modelling applications. This paper proposes an effective approach to model context-dependent intra-respondent heterogeneity, thereby introducing the concept of the Context-aware Bayesian mixed multinomial logit model, where a neural network maps contextual information to interpretable shifts in the preference parameters of each individual in each choice occasion. The proposed model offers several key advantage…
We consider combinatorial online learning with subset choices when only relative feedback information from subsets is available, instead of bandit or semi-bandit feedback which is absolute. Specifically, we study two regret minimisation problems over subsets of a finite ground set $[n]$, with subset-wise relative preference information feedback according to the Multinomial logit choice model. In the first setting, the learner can play subsets of size bounded by a maximum size and receives top-$m$ rank-ordered feedback, while in the second setting the learner can play subsets of a fixed size $k…
Optimizing the assortment of products to display to customers is a key to increasing revenue for both offline and online retailers. To trade-off between exploring customers' preference and exploiting customers' choices learned from data, in this paper, by adopting the Multi-Nomial Logit (MNL) choice model to capture customers' choices over products, we study the problem of optimizing assortments over a planning horizon $T$ for maximizing the profit of the retailer. To make the problem setting more practical, we consider both the inventory constraint and the limited switches constraint, where t…
Cornell University（康奈尔大学）；UNSW Australia（新南威尔士大学）；Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne（洛桑联邦理工学院）
The standard Gibbs sampler of Mixed Multinomial Logit (MMNL) models involves sampling from conditional densities of utility parameters using Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm due to unavailability of conjugate prior for logit kernel. To address this non-conjugacy concern, we propose the application of Pólygamma data augmentation (PG-DA) technique for the MMNL estimation. The posterior estimates of the augmented and the default Gibbs sampler are similar for two-alternative scenario (binary choice), but we encounter empirical identification issues in the case of more alternatives ($J \geq 3$).
This paper unifies the design and the analysis of risk-averse Thompson sampling algorithms for the multi-armed bandit problem for a class of risk functionals $ρ$ that are continuous and dominant. We prove generalised concentration bounds for these continuous and dominant risk functionals and show that a wide class of popular risk functionals belong to this class. Using our newly developed analytical toolkits, we analyse the algorithm $ρ$-MTS (for multinomial distributions) and prove that they admit asymptotically optimal regret bounds of risk-averse algorithms under CVaR, proportional hazard, …
Variational inference methods have been shown to lead to significant improvements in the computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian inference in mixed multinomial logit models when compared to standard Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods without compromising accuracy. However, despite their demonstrated efficiency gains, existing methods still suffer from important limitations that prevent them to scale to very large datasets, while providing the flexibility to allow for rich prior distributions and to capture complex posterior distributions. In this paper, we propose an Amortized Va…
We consider dynamic multi-product pricing and assortment problems under an unknown demand over T periods, where in each period, the seller decides on the price for each product or the assortment of products to offer to a customer who chooses according to an unknown Multinomial Logit Model (MNL). Such problems arise in many applications, including online retail and advertising. We propose a randomized dynamic pricing policy based on a variant of the Online Newton Step algorithm (ONS) that achieves a $O(d\sqrt{T}\log(T))$ regret guarantee under an adversarial arrival model. We also present a new…
On Pareto Optimality for Parametric Choice Bandits
Department of Management Science and Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China（清华大学管理科学与工程系，北京，中国）；Department of Industrial Systems Engineering and Management, National University of Singapore, Singapore（新加坡国立大学工业系统工程与管理系，新加坡）
In this paper, we consider mixtures of multinomial logistic models (MNL), which are known to $ε$-approximate any random utility model. Despite its long history and broad use, rigorous results are only available for learning a uniform mixture of two MNLs. Continuing this line of research, we study the problem of learning an arbitrary mixture of two MNLs. We show that the identifiability of the mixture models may only fail on an algebraic variety of a negligible measure. This is done by reducing the problem of learning a mixture of two MNLs to the problem of solving a system of univariate quarti…
Combinatorial Inference on the Optimal Assortment in Multinomial Logit Models
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health（哈佛陈曾熙公共卫生学院）；Leonard N. Stern School of Business, New York University（纽约大学伦纳德·N·斯特恩商学院）；Duke University（杜克大学）
Leonard N. Stern School of Business, New York University（纽约大学伦纳德·N·斯特恩商学院）；Machine Learning Department, Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学机器学习系）；Computer Science Department, Indiana University at Bloomington（印第安纳大学伯明顿分校计算机科学系）
We study the dynamic assortment planning problem, where for each arriving customer, the seller offers an assortment of substitutable products and customer makes the purchase among offered products according to an uncapacitated multinomial logit (MNL) model. Since all the utility parameters of MNL are unknown, the seller needs to simultaneously learn customers' choice behavior and make dynamic decisions on assortments based on the current knowledge. The goal of the seller is to maximize the expected revenue, or equivalently, to minimize the expected regret. Although dynamic assortment planning …
Cornell University（康奈尔大学）；UNSW Australia（澳大利亚新南威尔士大学）；Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne（洛桑联邦理工学院）
Variational Bayes (VB) methods have emerged as a fast and computationally-efficient alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for scalable Bayesian estimation of mixed multinomial logit (MMNL) models. It has been established that VB is substantially faster than MCMC at practically no compromises in predictive accuracy. In this paper, we address two critical gaps concerning the usage and understanding of VB for MMNL. First, extant VB methods are limited to utility specifications involving only individual-specific taste parameters. Second, the finite-sample properties of VB estimato…
Embedding Foundation Model Predictions in Discrete-Choice Models with Structural Guarantees
University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）；Duke University（杜克大学）；Northeastern University（东北大学）；University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign（伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校）；Southern Methodist University（南卫理公会大学）
Nanjing University（南京大学）；the University of Iowa（爱荷华大学）；Michigan State University（密歇根州立大学）
In this paper, we study a special bandit setting of online stochastic linear optimization, where only one-bit of information is revealed to the learner at each round. This problem has found many applications including online advertisement and online recommendation. We assume the binary feedback is a random variable generated from the logit model, and aim to minimize the regret defined by the unknown linear function. Although the existing method for generalized linear bandit can be applied to our problem, the high computational cost makes it impractical for real-world problems. To address this …
Amsterdam Business School, University of Amsterdam（阿姆斯特丹大学阿姆斯特丹商学院）；Korteweg-de Vries Institute for Mathematics, University of Amsterdam（阿姆斯特丹大学科特韦赫-德弗里斯数学研究所）
We consider assortment optimization over a continuous spectrum of products represented by the unit interval, where the seller's problem consists of determining the optimal subset of products to offer to potential customers. To describe the relation between assortment and customer choice, we propose a probabilistic choice model that forms the continuous counterpart of the widely studied discrete multinomial logit model. We consider the seller's problem under incomplete information, propose a stochastic-approximation type of policy, and show that its regret -- its performance loss compared to th…
Naveen Jindal School of Management, The University of Texas at Dallas（德克萨斯大学达拉斯分校纳文·金达尔管理学院）；Department of Computer Science, The University of Texas at Dallas（德克萨斯大学达拉斯分校计算机科学系）
In this paper, we study the assortment optimization problem faced by many online retailers such as Amazon. We develop a \emph{cascade multinomial logit model}, based on the classic multinomial logit model, to capture the consumers' purchasing behavior across multiple stages. Different from existing studies, our model allows for repeated exposures of a product, i.e., the same product can be displayed multiple times across different stages. In addition, each consumer has a \emph{patience budget} that is sampled from a known distribution and each product is associated with a \emph{patience cost},…
New York University（纽约大学）；Microsoft Research（微软研究院）；University of Florida（佛罗里达大学）
We consider the dynamic assortment optimization problem under the multinomial logit model (MNL) with unknown utility parameters. The main question investigated in this paper is model mis-specification under the $\varepsilon$-contamination model, which is a fundamental model in robust statistics and machine learning. In particular, throughout a selling horizon of length $T$, we assume that customers make purchases according to a well specified underlying multinomial logit choice model in a $(1-\varepsilon)$-fraction of the time periods, and make arbitrary purchasing decisions instead in the rem…
