Let $X^{(n)}$ be an observation sampled from a distribution $P_θ^{(n)}$ with an unknown parameter $θ,$ $θ$ being a vector in a Banach space $E$ (most often, a high-dimensional space of dimension $d$). We study the problem of estimation of $f(θ)$ for a functional $f:E\mapsto {\mathbb R}$ of some smoothness $s>0$ based on an observation $X^{(n)}\sim P_θ^{(n)}.$ Assuming that there exists an estimator $\hat θ_n=\hat θ_n(X^{(n)})$ of parameter $θ$ such that $\sqrt{n}(\hat θ_n-θ)$ is sufficiently close in distribution to a mean zero Gaussian random vector in $E,$ we construct a functional $g:E\mapsto {\mathbb R}$ such that $g(\hat θ_n)$ is an asymptotically normal estimator of $f(θ)$ with $\sqrt{n}$ rate provided that $s>\frac{1}{1-α}$ and $d\leq n^α$ for some $α\in (0,1).$ We also derive general upper bounds on Orlicz norm error rates for estimator $g(\hat θ)$ depending on smoothness $s,$ dimension $d,$ sample size $n$ and the accuracy of normal approximation of $\sqrt{n}(\hat θ_n-θ).$ In particular, this approach yields asymptotically efficient estimators in some high-dimensional exponential models.
The main objective of this paper is to establish bootstrap uniform functional central limit theorem for Harris recurrent Markov chains over uniformly bounded classes of functions. We show that the result can be generalized also to the unbounded case. To avoid some complicated mixing conditions, we make use of the well-known regeneration properties of Markov chains. We show that in the atomic case the proof of the bootstrap uniform central limit theorem for Markov chains for functions dominated by a function in $L^{2}$ space proposed by Radulović (2004) can be significantly simplified. Finally,…
Functional times series have become an integral part of both functional data and time series analysis. This paper deals with the functional autoregressive model of order 1 and the autoregression bootstrap for smooth functions. The regression operator is estimated in the framework developed by Ferraty and Vieu [2004] and Ferraty et al. [2007] which is here extended to the double functional case under an assumption of stationary ergodic data which dates back to Laib and Louani [2010]. The main result of this article is the characterization of the asymptotic consistency of the bootstrapped regres…
In this paper we consider a location model of the form $Y = m(X) + \varepsilon$, where $m(\cdot)$ is the unknown regression function, the error $\varepsilon$ is independent of the $p$-dimensional covariate $X$ and $E(\varepsilon)=0$. Given i.i.d. data $(X_1,Y_1),\ldots,(X_n,Y_n)$ and given an estimator $\hat m(\cdot)$ of the function $m(\cdot)$ (which can be parametric or nonparametric of nature), we estimate the distribution of the error term $\varepsilon$ by the empirical distribution of the residuals $Y_i-\hat m(X_i)$, $i=1,\ldots,n$. To approximate the distribution of this estimator, Koul …
This paper highlights a tension between semiparametric efficiency and bootstrap consistency in the context of a canonical semiparametric estimation problem, namely the problem of estimating the average density. It is shown that although simple plug-in estimators suffer from bias problems preventing them from achieving semiparametric efficiency under minimal smoothness conditions, the nonparametric bootstrap automatically corrects for this bias and that, as a result, these seemingly inferior estimators achieve bootstrap consistency under minimal smoothness conditions. In contrast, several "debi…
Non-asymptotic bounds for Gaussian and bootstrap approximation have recently attracted significant interest in high-dimensional statistics. This paper studies Berry-Esseen bounds for such approximations with respect to the multivariate Kolmogorov distance, in the context of a sum of $n$ random vectors that are $p$-dimensional and i.i.d. Up to now, a growing line of work has established bounds with mild logarithmic dependence on $p$. However, the problem of developing corresponding bounds with near $n^{-1/2}$ dependence on $n$ has remained largely unresolved. Within the setting of random vector…
We provide a functional central limit theorem for a broad class of smooth functions for possibly noncausal multivariate linear processes with time-varying coefficients. Since the limiting processes depend on unknown quantities, we propose a local block bootstrap procedure to circumvent this inconvenience in practical applications. In particular, we prove bootstrap validity for a very broad class of processes. Our results are illustrated by some numerical examples.
Mack's distribution-free chain ladder reserving model belongs to the most popular approaches in non-life insurance mathematics. Proposed to determine the first two moments of the reserve, it does not allow to identify the whole distribution of the reserve. For this purpose, Mack's model is usually equipped with a tailor-made bootstrap procedure. Although widely used in practice to estimate the reserve risk, no theoretical bootstrap consistency results exist that justify this approach. To fill this gap in the literature, we adopt the framework proposed by Steinmetz and Jentsch (2022) to derive …
We establish a general theory of optimality for block bootstrap distribution estimation for sample quantiles under a mild strong mixing assumption. In contrast to existing results, we study the block bootstrap for varying numbers of blocks. This corresponds to a hybrid between the subsampling bootstrap and the moving block bootstrap (MBB), in which the number of blocks is somewhere between 1 and the ratio of sample size to block length. Our main theorem determines the optimal choice of the number of blocks and block length to achieve the best possible convergence rate for the block bootstrap d…
Accurate approximation of the sampling distribution of nonparametric kernel density estimators is crucial for many statistical inference problems. Since these estimators have complex asymptotic distributions, bootstrap methods are often used for this purpose. With i.i.d. observations, a large literature exists concerning optimal bootstrap methods which achieve the fastest possible convergence rate of the bootstrap estimator of the sampling distribution of the kernel density estimator. With dependent data, such an optimality theory is an important open problem. We establish a general theory of …
We study approximation theorems for the Euler characteristic of the Vietoris-Rips and Cech filtration. The filtration is obtained from a Poisson or binomial sampling scheme in the critical regime. We apply our results to the smooth bootstrap of the Euler characteristic and determine its rate of convergence in the Kantorovich-Wasserstein distance and in the Kolmogorov distance.
This paper addresses inference in large panel data models in the presence of both cross-sectional and temporal dependence of unknown form. We are interested in making inferences that do not rely on the choice of any smoothing parameter as is the case with the often employed "HAC" estimator for the covariance matrix. To that end, we propose a cluster estimator for the asymptotic covariance of the estimators and valid bootstrap schemes that do not require the selection of a bandwidth or smoothing parameter and accommodate the nonparametric nature of both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. …
A key tool to carry out inference on the unknown copula when modeling a continuous multivariate distribution is a nonparametric estimator known as the empirical copula. One popular way of approximating its sampling distribution consists of using the multiplier bootstrap. The latter is however characterized by a high implementation cost. Given the rank-based nature of the empirical copula, the classical empirical bootstrap of Efron does not appear to be a natural alternative, as it relies on resamples which contain ties. The aim of this work is to investigate the use of subsampling in the afore…
The functional delta-method provides a convenient tool for deriving bootstrap consistency of a sequence of plug-in estimators w.r.t. a given functional from bootstrap consistency of the underlying sequence of estimators. It has recently been shown in Beutner and Zähle (2016) that the range of applications of the functional delta-method for establishing bootstrap consistency in probability of the sequence of plug-in estimators can be considerably enlarged by replacing the usual condition of Hadamard differentiability of the given functional by the weaker condition of quasi-Hadamard differentiab…
We study accuracy of bootstrap procedures for estimation of quantiles of a smooth function of a sum of independent sub-Gaussian random vectors. We establish higher-order approximation bounds with error terms depending on a sample size and a dimension explicitly. These results lead to improvements of accuracy of a weighted bootstrap procedure for general log-likelihood ratio statistics. The key element of our proofs of the bootstrap accuracy is a multivariate higher-order Berry-Esseen inequality. We consider a problem of approximation of distributions of two sums of zero mean independent random…
In this paper, we develop uniform inference methods for the conditional mode based on quantile regression. Specifically, we propose to estimate the conditional mode by minimizing the derivative of the estimated conditional quantile function defined by smoothing the linear quantile regression estimator, and develop two bootstrap methods, a novel pivotal bootstrap and the nonparametric bootstrap, for our conditional mode estimator. Building on high-dimensional Gaussian approximation techniques, we establish the validity of simultaneous confidence rectangles constructed from the two bootstrap met…
Residual-based analysis is generally considered a cornerstone of statistical methodology. For a special case of indirect regression, we investigate the residual-based empirical distribution function and provide a uniform expansion of this estimator, which is also shown to be asymptotically most precise. This investigation naturally leads to a completely data-driven technique for selecting a regularization parameter used in our indirect regression function estimator. The resulting methodology is based on a smooth bootstrap of the model residuals. A simulation study demonstrates the effectivenes…
This paper considers the problem of testing the equality of two unspecified distributions. The classical omnibus tests such as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramèr-von Mises are known to suffer from low power against essentially all but location-scale alternatives. We propose a new two-sample test that modifies the Neyman's smooth test and extend it to the multivariate case based on the idea of projection pursue. The asymptotic null property of the test and its power against local alternatives are studied. The multiplier bootstrap method is employed to compute the critical value of the multivaria…
A general approach to selective inference is considered for hypothesis testing of the null hypothesis represented as an arbitrary shaped region in the parameter space of multivariate normal model. This approach is useful for hierarchical clustering where confidence levels of clusters are calculated only for those appeared in the dendrogram, thus subject to heavy selection bias. Our computation is based on a raw confidence measure, called bootstrap probability, which is easily obtained by counting how many times the same cluster appears in bootstrap replicates of the dendrogram. We adjust the b…
Sufficient conditions are provided under which the log-likelihood ratio test statistic fails to have a limiting chi-squared distribution under the null hypothesis when testing between one and two components under a general two-component mixture model, but rather tends to infinity in probability. These conditions are verified when the component densities describe continuous-time, discrete-statespace Markov chains and the results are illustrated via a parametric bootstrap simulation on an analysis of the migrations over time of a set of corporate bonds ratings. The precise limiting distribution …
In this paper, we derive new, nearly optimal bounds for the Gaussian approximation to scaled averages of $n$ independent high-dimensional centered random vectors $X_1,\dots,X_n$ over the class of rectangles in the case when the covariance matrix of the scaled average is non-degenerate. In the case of bounded $X_i$'s, the implied bound for the Kolmogorov distance between the distribution of the scaled average and the Gaussian vector takes the form $$C (B^2_n \log^3 d/n)^{1/2} \log n,$$ where $d$ is the dimension of the vectors and $B_n$ is a uniform envelope constant on components of $X_i$'s. T…
We establish a central limit theorem for (a sequence of) multivariate martingales which dimension potentially grows with the length $n$ of the martingale. A consequence of the results are Gaussian couplings and a multiplier bootstrap for the maximum of a multivariate martingale whose dimensionality $d$ can be as large as $e^{n^c}$ for some $c>0$. We also develop new anti-concentration bounds for the maximum component of a high-dimensional Gaussian vector, which we believe is of independent interest. The results are applicable to a variety of settings. We fully develop its use to the estimation…
