We consider a large family of branching-selection particle systems. The branching rate of each particle depends on its rank and is given by a function $b$ defined on the unit interval. There is also a killing measure $D$ supported on the unit interval as well. At branching times, a particle is chosen among all particles to the left of the branching one by sampling its rank according to $D$. The measure $D$ is allowed to have total mass less than one, which corresponds to a positive probability of no killing. Between branching times, particles perform independent Brownian Motions in the real line. This setting includes several well known models like Branching Brownian Motion (BBM), $N$-BBM, rank dependent BBM, and many others. We conjecture a scaling limit for this class of processes and prove such a limit for a related class of branching-selection particle system. This family is rich enough to allow us to use the behavior of solutions of the limiting equation to prove the asymptotic velocity of the rightmost particle under minimal conditions on $b$ and $D$. The behavior turns out to be universal and depends only on $b(1)$ and the total mass of $D$. If the total mass is one, the number of particles in the system $N$ is conserved and the velocities $v_N$ converge to $\sqrt{2 b(1)}$. When the total mass of $D$ is less than one, the number of particles in the system grows up in time exponentially fast and the asymptotic velocity of the rightmost one is $\sqrt{2 b(1)}$ independently of the number of initial particles.
We present an approximation to the Brunet--Derrida model of supercritical branching Brownian motion on the real line with selection of the $N$ right-most particles, valid when the population size $N$ is large. It consists of introducing a random space-time barrier at which particles are instantaneously killed in such a way that the population size stays almost constant over time. We prove that the suitably recentered position of this barrier converges at the $\log^3 N$ timescale to a Lévy process, which we identify. This validates the physicists' predictions about the fluctuations in the Brune…
We obtain the asymptotics for the speed of a particular case of a particle system with branching and selection introduced by Bérard and Gouéré (2010). The proof is based on a connection with a supercritical Galton-Watson process censored at a certain level.
In this note, we investigate fundamental relations between exploration processes in random graphs, and branching processes. We formulate a class of models that we call {\em rank-$k$ random graphs}, and that are special in that their neighborhood explorations can be obtained by a {\em thinning} of multi-type branching processes. We show that any rank-2 random graph can be described in terms of thinning of a 2-type branching process, while for higher rank, it is not clear how many types are needed.
We consider a branching-selection particle system on the real line. In this model the total size of the population at time $n$ is limited by $\exp\left(a n^{1/3}\right)$. At each step $n$, every individual dies while reproducing independently, making children around their current position according to i.i.d. point processes. Only the $\exp\left(a(n+1)^{1/3}\right)$ rightmost children survive to form the $(n+1)^\mathrm{th}$ generation. This process can be seen as a generalisation of the branching random walk with selection of the $N$ rightmost individuals, introduced by Brunet and Derrida. We o…
In this thesis, branching Brownian motion (BBM) is a random particle system where the particles diffuse on the real line according to Brownian motions and branch at constant rate into a random number of particles with expectation greater than 1. We study two models of BBM with selection: BBM with absorption at a space-time line and the N-BBM, where, as soon as the number of particles exceeds a given number N, only the N right-most particles are kept, the others being removed from the system. For the first model, we study the law of the number of absorbed particles in the case where the process…
We consider a branching-selection particle system on $\Z$ with $N \geq 1$ particles. During a branching step, each particle is replaced by two new particles, whose positions are shifted from that of the original particle by independently performing two random walk steps according to the distribution $p δ_{1} + (1-p) δ_{0}$, from the location of the original particle. During the selection step that follows, only the N rightmost particles are kept among the 2N particles obtained at the branching step, to form a new population of $N$ particles. After a large number of iterated branching-selection…
We consider an exactly solvable model of branching random walk with random selection, which describes the evolution of a population with $N$ individuals on the real line. At each time step, every individual reproduces independently, and its offspring are positioned around its current locations. Among all children, $N$ individuals are sampled at random without replacement to form the next generation, such that an individual at position $x$ is chosen with probability proportional to $\mathrm{e}^{βx}$. We compute the asymptotic speed and the genealogical behavior of the system.
We study the genealogy of a solvable population model with $N$ particles on the real line which evolves according to a discrete-time branching process with selection. At each time step, every particle gives birth to children around $a$ times its current position, where $a>0$ is a parameter of the model. Then, the $N$ rightmost new-born children are selected to form the next generation. We show that the genealogical trees of the process converge to those of a Beta coalescent as $N \to \infty$. The process we consider can be seen as a toy-model version of a continuous-time branching process with…
We consider branching Brownian motion on the real line with the following selection mechanism: Every time the number of particles exceeds a (large) given number $N$, only the $N$ right-most particles are kept and the others killed. After rescaling time by $\log^3N$, we show that the properly recentred position of the $\lceil αN\rceil$-th particle from the right, $α\in(0,1)$, converges in law to an explicitly given spectrally positive Lévy process. This behaviour has been predicted to hold for a large class of models falling into the universality class of the FKPP equation with weak multiplicat…
We consider a particle system studied by E. Brunet and B. Derrida, which evolves according to a branching mechanism with selection of the fittest keeping the population size fixed and equal to $N$. The particles remain grouped and move like a travelling front driven by a random noise with a deterministic speed. Because of its mean-field structure, the model can be further analysed as $N \to \infty$. We focus on the case where the noise lies in the max-domain of attraction of the Weibull extreme value distribution and show that under mild conditions the correction to the speed has universal fea…
We study a free boundary problem for a parabolic partial differential equation in which the solution is coupled to the moving boundary through an integral constraint. The problem arises as the hydrodynamic limit of an interacting particle system involving branching Brownian motion with selection, the so-called Brownian bees model which is studied in a companion paper. In this paper we prove existence and uniqueness of the solution to the free boundary problem, and we characterise the behaviour of the solution in the large time limit.
We ask the question "when will natural selection on a gene in a spatially structured population cause a detectable trace in the patterns of genetic variation observed in the contemporary population?". We focus on the situation in which 'neighbourhood size', that is the effective local population density, is small. The genealogy relating individuals in a sample from the population is embedded in a spatial version of the ancestral selection graph and through applying a diffusive scaling to this object we show that whereas in dimensions at least three, selection is barely impeded by the spatial s…
We present a model for growth in a multi-species population. We consider two types evolving as a logistic branching process with mutation, where one of the types has a selective advantage, and are interested in the regime in which the carrying capacity of the system goes to $\infty$. We first study the genealogy of the population up until it almost reaches carrying capacity through a coupling with an independent branching process. We then focus on the phase in which the population has reached carrying capacity. After recovering a Gillespie--Wright--Fisher SDE in the infinite carrying capacity …
We consider a class of branching-selection particle systems on $\R$ similar to the one considered by E. Brunet and B. Derrida in their 1997 paper "Shift in the velocity of a front due to a cutoff". Based on numerical simulations and heuristic arguments, Brunet and Derrida showed that, as the population size $N$ of the particle system goes to infinity, the asymptotic velocity of the system converges to a limiting value at the unexpectedly slow rate $(\log N)^{-2}$. In this paper, we give a rigorous mathematical proof of this fact, for the class of particle systems we consider. The proof makes u…
We consider two versions of stochastic population models with mutation and selection. The first approach relies on a multitype branching process; here, individuals reproduce and change type (i.e., mutate) independently of each other, without restriction on population size. We analyze the equilibrium behaviour of this model, both in the forward and in the backward direction of time; the backward point of view emerges if the ancestry of individuals chosen randomly from the present population is traced back into the past. The second approach is the Moran model with selection. Here, the population…
We consider diffusion processes x_{t} on the unit interval. Doob-transformation techniques consist of a selection of x_{t}-paths procedure. The law of the transformed process is the one of a branching diffusion system of particles, each diffusing like a new process tilde{x}_{t}, superposing an additional drift to the one of x_{t}. Killing and/or branching of tilde{x}_{t}-particles occur at some space-dependent rate lambda. For this transformed process, so in the class of branching diffusions, the question arises as to whether the particle system is sub-critical, critical or super-critical. In …
We provide a probabilistic proof of a well known connection between a special case of the Allen-Cahn equation and mean curvature flow. We then prove a corresponding result for scaling limits of the spatial $Λ$-Fleming-Viot process with selection, in which the selection mechanism is chosen to model what are known in population genetics as hybrid zones. Our proofs will exploit a duality with a system of branching (and coalescing) random walkers which is of some interest in its own right.
We study a class of coalescents derived from a sampling procedure out of N i.i.d. Pareto(alpha) random variables, normalized by their sum, including beta-size-biasing on total length effects (beta < alpha). Depending on the range of alpha, we derive the large N limit coalescents structure, leading either to a discrete-time Poisson-Dirichlet(alpha,-beta) Xi-coalescent (alpha in [0,1)), or to a family of continuous-time Beta(2-alpha,alpha-beta) Lambda-coalescents (alpha in [1,2)), or to the Kingman coalescent (alpha geq 2). We indicate that this class of coalescent processes (and their scaling l…
We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated genealogical tree is viewed both in the forward and the backward direction of time. The stationary type distribution of the reversed process, the so-called ancestral distribution, turns out as a key for the study of mutation-selection balance. This balance can be expressed in the form of a variational principle that quantifies the respective roles of reproduction and m…
We consider a branching-selection system of particles on the real line that evolves according to the following rules: each particle moves according to a Brownian motion during an exponential lifetime and then splits into two new particles and, when a particle is at a distance $L$ of the highest particle, it dies without splitting. This model has been introduced by Brunet, Derrida, Mueller and Munier in the physics literature and is called the $L$-branching Brownian motion. We show that the position of the system grows linearly at a velocity $v_L$ almost surely and we compute the asymptotic beh…
For a continuous state branching process with two types of individuals which are subject to selection and density dependent competition, we characterize the joint evolution of population size, type configurations and genealogies as the unique strong solution of a system of SDE's. Our construction is achieved in the lookdown framework and provides a synthesis as well as a generalization of cases considered separately in two seminal papers by Donnelly and Kurtz (1999), namely fluctuating population sizes under neutrality, and selection with constant population size. As a conceptual core in our a…
We study two types of stochastic processes, a mean-field spatial system of interacting Fisher-Wright diffusions with an inferior and an advantageous type with rare mutation (inferior to advantageous) and a (mean-field) spatial system of supercritical branching random walks with an additional deathrate which is quadratic in the local number of particles. The former describes a standard two-type population under selection, mutation, the latter models describe a population under scarce resources causing additional death at high local population intensity. Geographic space is modelled by $\{1, \cd…
This paper studies variations of the usual voter model that favor types that are locally less common. Such models are dual to certain systems of branching annihilating random walks that are parity preserving. For both the voter models and their dual branching annihilating systems we determine all homogeneous invariant laws, and we study convergence to these laws started from other initial laws.
Motivated by the goal of understanding the evolution of populations undergoing selection, we consider branching Brownian motion in which particles independently move according to one-dimensional Brownian motion with drift, each particle may either split into two or die, and the difference between the birth and death rates is a linear function of the position of the particle. We show that, under certain assumptions, after a sufficiently long time, the empirical distribution of the positions of the particles is approximately Gaussian. This provides mathematically rigorous justification for resul…
Aiming to understand the distribution of fitness levels of individuals in a large population undergoing selection, we study the particle configurations of branching Brownian motion where each particle independently moves as Brownian motion with negative drift, particles can die or undergo dyadic fission, and the difference between the birth rate and the death rate is proportional to the particle's location. Under some assumptions, we obtain the limit in probability of the number of particles in any given interval and an explicit formula for the asymptotic empirical density of the fitness distr…
A two-types, discrete-time population model with finite, constant size is constructed, allowing for a general form of frequency-dependent selection and skewed offspring distribution. Selection is defined based on the idea that individuals first choose a (random) number of $\textit{potential}$ parents from the previous generation and then, from the selected pool, they inherit the type of the fittest parent. The probability distribution function of the number of potential parents per individual thus parametrises entirely the selection mechanism. Using sampling- and moment-duality, weak convergen…
We prove local existence for classical solutions of a free boundary problem which arises in one of the biological selection models proposed by Brunet and Derrida, [3]. The problem we consider describes the limit evolution of branching brownian particles on the line with death of the leftmost particle at each creation time as studied in [7]. We use extensively results in [1] and [2].
A version of the secretary problem is considered. The ranks of items, whose values are independent, identically distributed random variables $X_1,X_2,...,X_n$ from a uniform distribution on $[0; 1]$, are observed sequentially by the grader. He has to select exactly one item, when it appears, and receives a payoff which is a function of the unobserved realization of random variable assigned to the item diminished by some cost. The methods of analysis are based on the existence of an embedded Markov chain and use the technique of backward induction. The result is a generalization of the selectio…