arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2007.15541cs.LGstat.ML

Anomaly Detection at Scale: The Case for Deep Distributional Time Series Models

Amazon Research(亚马逊研究院)

Fadhel Ayed, Lorenzo Stella, Tim Januschowski, Jan Gasthaus

英文摘要:

This paper introduces a new methodology for detecting anomalies in time series data, with a primary application to monitoring the health of (micro-) services and cloud resources. The main novelty in our approach is that instead of modeling time series consisting of real values or vectors of real values, we model time series of probability distributions over real values (or vectors). This extension to time series of probability distributions allows the technique to be applied to the common scenario where the data is generated by requests coming in to a service, which is then aggregated at a fixed temporal frequency. Our method is amenable to streaming anomaly detection and scales to monitoring for anomalies on millions of time series. We show the superior accuracy of our method on synthetic and public real-world data. On the Yahoo Webscope data set, we outperform the state of the art in 3 out of 4 data sets and we show that we outperform popular open-source anomaly detection tools by up to 17% average improvement for a real-world data set.

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