Anomalies (unusual patterns) in time-series data give essential, and often actionable information in critical situations. Examples can be found in such fields as healthcare, intrusion detection, finance, security and flight safety. In this paper we propose new conformalized density- and distance-based anomaly detection algorithms for a one-dimensional time-series data. The algorithms use a combination of a feature extraction method, an approach to assess a score whether a new observation differs significantly from a previously observed data, and a probabilistic interpretation of this score based on the conformal paradigm.
General predictive models do not provide a measure of confidence in predictions without Bayesian assumptions. A way to circumvent potential restrictions is to use conformal methods for constructing non-parametric confidence regions, that offer guarantees regarding validity. In this paper we provide a detailed description of a computationally efficient conformal procedure for Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR), and conduct a comparative numerical study to see how well conformal regions perform against the Bayesian confidence sets. The results suggest that conformalized KRR can yield predictive confi…
UiT The Arctic University of Norway（挪威北极大学）；Kongsberg Satellite Services（康斯伯格卫星服务公司）；NORCE Norwegian Research Centre（挪威NORCE研究中心）
This paper presents a novel probabilistic forecasting method called ensemble conformalized quantile regression (EnCQR). EnCQR constructs distribution-free and approximately marginally valid prediction intervals (PIs), which are suitable for nonstationary and heteroscedastic time series data. EnCQR can be applied on top of a generic forecasting model, including deep learning architectures. EnCQR exploits a bootstrap ensemble estimator, which enables the use of conformal predictors for time series by removing the requirement of data exchangeability. The ensemble learners are implemented as gener…
Pohang University of Science and Technology（浦项科技大学）
Anomaly detection in database management systems (DBMSs) is difficult because of increasing number of statistics (stat) and event metrics in big data system. In this paper, I propose an automatic DBMS diagnosis system that detects anomaly periods with abnormal DB stat metrics and finds causal events in the periods. Reconstruction error from deep autoencoder and statistical process control approach are applied to detect time period with anomalies. Related events are found using time series similarity measures between events and abnormal stat metrics. After training deep autoencoder with DBMS me…
The monitoring and management of numerous and diverse time series data at Alibaba Group calls for an effective and scalable time series anomaly detection service. In this paper, we propose RobustTAD, a Robust Time series Anomaly Detection framework by integrating robust seasonal-trend decomposition and convolutional neural network for time series data. The seasonal-trend decomposition can effectively handle complicated patterns in time series, and meanwhile significantly simplifies the architecture of the neural network, which is an encoder-decoder architecture with skip connections. This arch…
Anomaly detection for time-series data has been an important research field for a long time. Seminal work on anomaly detection methods has been focussing on statistical approaches. In recent years an increasing number of machine learning algorithms have been developed to detect anomalies on time-series. Subsequently, researchers tried to improve these techniques using (deep) neural networks. In the light of the increasing number of anomaly detection methods, the body of research lacks a broad comparative evaluation of statistical, machine learning and deep learning methods. This paper studies …
Anomaly detection in time series has been widely researched and has important practical applications. In recent years, anomaly detection algorithms are mostly based on deep-learning generative models and use the reconstruction error to detect anomalies. They try to capture the distribution of normal data by reconstructing normal data in the training phase, then calculate the reconstruction error of test data to do anomaly detection. However, most of them only use the normal data in the training phase and can not ensure the reconstruction process of anomaly data. So, anomaly data can also be we…
In recent studies, Lots of work has been done to solve time series anomaly detection by applying Variational Auto-Encoders (VAEs). Time series anomaly detection is a very common but challenging task in many industries, which plays an important role in network monitoring, facility maintenance, information security, and so on. However, it is very difficult to detect anomalies in time series with high accuracy, due to noisy data collected from real world, and complicated abnormal patterns. From recent studies, we are inspired by Nouveau VAE (NVAE) and propose our anomaly detection model: Time ser…
IIT Palakkad（帕拉克卡德印度理工学院）；Queen’s University Belfast（贝尔法斯特女王大学）
Time series data is ubiquitous in the real-world problems across various domains including healthcare, social media, and crime surveillance. Detecting anomalies, or irregular and rare events, in time series data, can enable us to find abnormal events in any natural phenomena, which may require special treatment. Moreover, labeled instances of anomaly are hard to get in time series data. On the other hand, time series data, due to its nature, often exhibits localized expansions and compressions in the time dimension which is called warping. These two challenges make it hard to detect anomalies …
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences（中国科学院大学）；Peking University（北京大学）；Microsoft（微软）
Large companies need to monitor various metrics (for example, Page Views and Revenue) of their applications and services in real time. At Microsoft, we develop a time-series anomaly detection service which helps customers to monitor the time-series continuously and alert for potential incidents on time. In this paper, we introduce the pipeline and algorithm of our anomaly detection service, which is designed to be accurate, efficient and general. The pipeline consists of three major modules, including data ingestion, experimentation platform and online compute. To tackle the problem of time-se…
Harbin Institute of Technology, Shenzhen（哈尔滨工业大学（深圳））
Anomaly detection is a classical but worthwhile problem, and many deep learning-based anomaly detection algorithms have been proposed, which can usually achieve better detection results than traditional methods. In view of reconstruct ability of the model and the calculation of anomaly score, this paper proposes a time series anomaly detection method based on Variational AutoEncoder model(VAE) with re-Encoder and Latent Constraint network(VELC). In order to modify reconstruct ability of the model to prevent it from reconstructing abnormal samples well, we add a constraint network in the latent…
University of Toronto（多伦多大学）；Vector Institute（向量研究所）；Zalando Research（Zalando研究院）；Morgan Stanley（摩根士丹利）；Technical University of Munich（慕尼黑工业大学）；Amazon Research（亚马逊研究院）
We introduce a novel, practically relevant variation of the anomaly detection problem in multi-variate time series: intrinsic anomaly detection. It appears in diverse practical scenarios ranging from DevOps to IoT, where we want to recognize failures of a system that operates under the influence of a surrounding environment. Intrinsic anomalies are changes in the functional dependency structure between time series that represent an environment and time series that represent the internal state of a system that is placed in said environment. We formalize this problem, provide under-studied publi…
Anomaly detection on multivariate time-series is of great importance in both data mining research and industrial applications. Recent approaches have achieved significant progress in this topic, but there is remaining limitations. One major limitation is that they do not capture the relationships between different time-series explicitly, resulting in inevitable false alarms. In this paper, we propose a novel self-supervised framework for multivariate time-series anomaly detection to address this issue. Our framework considers each univariate time-series as an individual feature and includes tw…
Pennsylvania State University（宾夕法尼亚州立大学）；MIT-IBM Watson AI Lab, IBM Research（IBM研究院MIT-IBM沃森人工智能实验室）
Anomaly detection is a widely studied task for a broad variety of data types; among them, multiple time series appear frequently in applications, including for example, power grids and traffic networks. Detecting anomalies for multiple time series, however, is a challenging subject, owing to the intricate interdependencies among the constituent series. We hypothesize that anomalies occur in low density regions of a distribution and explore the use of normalizing flows for unsupervised anomaly detection, because of their superior quality in density estimation. Moreover, we propose a novel flow …
Norwegian University of Science and Technology（挪威科技大学）；Simula Research Laboratory（西穆拉研究实验室）
Anomaly detection is an active research topic in many different fields such as intrusion detection, network monitoring, system health monitoring, IoT healthcare, etc. However, many existing anomaly detection approaches require either human intervention or domain knowledge, and may suffer from high computation complexity, consequently hindering their applicability in real-world scenarios. Therefore, a lightweight and ready-to-go approach that is able to detect anomalies in real-time is highly sought-after. Such an approach could be easily and immediately applied to perform time series anomaly d…
AWS AI Labs（AWS 人工智能实验室）；Technical University of Munich（慕尼黑工业大学）
Time series data are often corrupted by outliers or other kinds of anomalies. Identifying the anomalous points can be a goal on its own (anomaly detection), or a means to improving performance of other time series tasks (e.g. forecasting). Recent deep-learning-based approaches to anomaly detection and forecasting commonly assume that the proportion of anomalies in the training data is small enough to ignore, and treat the unlabeled data as coming from the nominal data distribution. We present a simple yet effective technique for augmenting existing time series models so that they explicitly ac…
Norwegian University of Science and Technology（挪威科技大学）；Simula Research Laboratory（Simula研究实验室）
During the past decade, many anomaly detection approaches have been introduced in different fields such as network monitoring, fraud detection, and intrusion detection. However, they require understanding of data pattern and often need a long off-line period to build a model or network for the target data. Providing real-time and proactive anomaly detection for streaming time series without human intervention and domain knowledge is highly valuable since it greatly reduces human effort and enables appropriate countermeasures to be undertaken before a disastrous damage, failure, or other harmfu…
Time series anomaly detection plays a critical role in automated monitoring systems. Most previous deep learning efforts related to time series anomaly detection were based on recurrent neural networks (RNN). In this paper, we propose a time series segmentation approach based on convolutional neural networks (CNN) for anomaly detection. Moreover, we propose a transfer learning framework that pretrains a model on a large-scale synthetic univariate time series data set and then fine-tunes its weights on small-scale, univariate or multivariate data sets with previously unseen classes of anomalies…
This paper introduces a new methodology for detecting anomalies in time series data, with a primary application to monitoring the health of (micro-) services and cloud resources. The main novelty in our approach is that instead of modeling time series consisting of real values or vectors of real values, we model time series of probability distributions over real values (or vectors). This extension to time series of probability distributions allows the technique to be applied to the common scenario where the data is generated by requests coming in to a service, which is then aggregated at a fix…
Quantmetry（Quantmetry公司）；ENSIIE（法国国立高等工业工程学校）；Université Paris Saclay（巴黎萨克雷大学）
We propose a robust principal component analysis (RPCA) framework to recover low-rank and sparse matrices from temporal observations. We develop an online version of the batch temporal algorithm in order to process larger datasets or streaming data. We empirically compare the proposed approaches with different RPCA frameworks and show their effectiveness in practical situations.
The anomaly detection of time series is a hotspot of time series data mining. The own characteristics of different anomaly detectors determine the abnormal data that they are good at. There is no detector can be optimizing in all types of anomalies. Moreover, it still has difficulties in industrial production due to problems such as a single detector can't be optimized at different time windows of the same time series. This paper proposes an adaptive model based on time series characteristics and selecting appropriate detector and run-time parameters for anomaly detection, which is called ATSD…
North Carolina State University（北卡罗来纳州立大学）；Intuit Inc.（财捷公司）
Robust anomaly detection is a requirement for monitoring complex modern systems with applications such as cyber-security, fraud prevention, and maintenance. These systems generate multiple correlated time series that are highly seasonal and noisy. This paper presents a novel unsupervised deep learning architecture for multivariate time series anomaly detection, called Robust Seasonal Multivariate Generative Adversarial Network (RSM-GAN). It extends recent advancements in GANs with adoption of convolutional-LSTM layers and an attention mechanism to produce state-of-the-art performance. We condu…
Low Rank Transformer for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection and Localization
KIOS Research and Innovation Center of Excellence（KIOS研究与创新中心卓越研究所）；Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Cyprus（电子与计算机工程系，塞浦路斯大学）；Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Cyprus（数学与统计学系，塞浦路斯大学）
Technische Universität München（慕尼黑工业大学）；fortiss（福蒂斯研究所）
Approximate variational inference has shown to be a powerful tool for modeling unknown complex probability distributions. Recent advances in the field allow us to learn probabilistic models of sequences that actively exploit spatial and temporal structure. We apply a Stochastic Recurrent Network (STORN) to learn robot time series data. Our evaluation demonstrates that we can robustly detect anomalies both off- and on-line.
Anomaly detection on time series data is increasingly common across various industrial domains that monitor metrics in order to prevent potential accidents and economic losses. However, a scarcity of labeled data and ambiguous definitions of anomalies can complicate these efforts. Recent unsupervised machine learning methods have made remarkable progress in tackling this problem using either single-timestamp predictions or time series reconstructions. While traditionally considered separately, these methods are not mutually exclusive and can offer complementary perspectives on anomaly detectio…
Time series anomaly detection has been a perennially important topic in data science, with papers dating back to the 1950s. However, in recent years there has been an explosion of interest in this topic, much of it driven by the success of deep learning in other domains and for other time series tasks. Most of these papers test on one or more of a handful of popular benchmark datasets, created by Yahoo, Numenta, NASA, etc. In this work we make a surprising claim. The majority of the individual exemplars in these datasets suffer from one or more of four flaws. Because of these four flaws, we be…
Anomaly detection in time series data is a significant problem faced in many application areas such as manufacturing, medical imaging and cyber-security. Recently, Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) have gained attention for generation and anomaly detection in image domain. In this paper, we propose a novel GAN-based unsupervised method called TAnoGan for detecting anomalies in time series when a small number of data points are available. We evaluate TAnoGan with 46 real-world time series datasets that cover a variety of domains. Extensive experimental results show that TAnoGan performs bet…
Tencent Company（腾讯公司）；National University of Singapore（新加坡国立大学）
Time series anomaly detection is usually formulated as finding outlier data points relative to some usual data, which is also an important problem in industry and academia. To ensure systems working stably, internet companies, banks and other companies need to monitor time series, which is called KPI (Key Performance Indicators), such as CPU used, number of orders, number of online users and so on. However, millions of time series have several shapes (e.g. seasonal KPIs, KPIs of timed tasks and KPIs of CPU used), so that it is very difficult to use a simple statistical model to detect anomaly …
MIT（麻省理工学院）；Universidad Rey Juan Carlos（胡安·卡洛斯国王大学）
Time series anomalies can offer information relevant to critical situations facing various fields, from finance and aerospace to the IT, security, and medical domains. However, detecting anomalies in time series data is particularly challenging due to the vague definition of anomalies and said data's frequent lack of labels and highly complex temporal correlations. Current state-of-the-art unsupervised machine learning methods for anomaly detection suffer from scalability and portability issues, and may have high false positive rates. In this paper, we propose TadGAN, an unsupervised anomaly d…
Dive into Time-Series Anomaly Detection: A Decade Review
Inria（法国国家信息与自动化研究所）；DI ENS（巴黎高等师范学院数字研究所）；PSL（巴黎文理研究大学）；CNRS（法国国家科学研究中心）；The Ohio State University（俄亥俄州立大学）；Université Paris Cité（巴黎西岱大学）；IUF（法国大学研究院）
Anomaly detection of time series plays an important role in reliability systems engineering. However, in practical application, there is no precisely defined boundary between normal and anomalous behaviors in different application scenarios. Therefore, different anomaly detection algorithms and processes ought to be adopted for time series in different situation. Although such strategy improve the accuracy of anomaly detection, it takes a lot of time for practitioners to configure various algorithms to millions of series, which greatly increases the development and maintenance cost of anomaly …
Several techniques for multivariate time series anomaly detection have been proposed recently, but a systematic comparison on a common set of datasets and metrics is lacking. This paper presents a systematic and comprehensive evaluation of unsupervised and semi-supervised deep-learning based methods for anomaly detection and diagnosis on multivariate time series data from cyberphysical systems. Unlike previous works, we vary the model and post-processing of model errors, i.e. the scoring functions independently of each other, through a grid of 10 models and 4 scoring functions, comparing these…
While anomaly detection in time series has been an active area of research for several years, most recent approaches employ an inadequate evaluation criterion leading to an inflated F1 score. We show that a rudimentary Random Guess method can outperform state-of-the-art detectors in terms of this popular but faulty evaluation criterion. In this work, we propose a proper evaluation metric that measures the timeliness and precision of detecting sequential anomalies. Moreover, most existing approaches are unable to capture temporal features from long sequences. Self-attention based approaches, su…
This article proposes novel rules for false discovery rate control (FDRC) geared towards online anomaly detection in time series. Online FDRC rules allow to control the properties of a sequence of statistical tests. In the context of anomaly detection, the null hypothesis is that an observation is normal and the alternative is that it is anomalous. FDRC rules allow users to target a lower bound on precision in unsupervised settings. The methods proposed in this article overcome short-comings of previous FDRC rules in the context of anomaly detection, in particular ensuring that power remains h…
We proposed a multivariate time series anomaly detection frame-work Ymir, which leverages ensemble learning and supervisedlearning technology to efficiently learn and adapt to anomaliesin real-world system applications. Ymir integrates several currentlywidely used unsupervised anomaly detection models through anensemble learning method, and thus can provide robust frontalanomaly detection results in unsupervised scenarios. In a super-vised setting, domain experts and system users discuss and providelabels (anomalous or not) for the training data, which reflects theiranomaly detection criteria …
Unsupervised detection of anomaly points in time series is a challenging problem, which requires the model to derive a distinguishable criterion. Previous methods tackle the problem mainly through learning pointwise representation or pairwise association, however, neither is sufficient to reason about the intricate dynamics. Recently, Transformers have shown great power in unified modeling of pointwise representation and pairwise association, and we find that the self-attention weight distribution of each time point can embody rich association with the whole series. Our key observation is that…
We consider the problem of automated anomaly detection for building level heat load time series. An anomaly detection model must be applicable to a diverse group of buildings and provide robust results on heat load time series with low signal-to-noise ratios, several seasonalities, and significant exogenous effects. We propose to employ a probabilistic forecast combination approach based on an ensemble of deterministic forecasts in an anomaly detection scheme that classifies observed values based on their probability under a predictive distribution. We show empirically that forecast based anom…
In this paper, we use variational recurrent neural network to investigate the anomaly detection problem on graph time series. The temporal correlation is modeled by the combination of recurrent neural network (RNN) and variational inference (VI), while the spatial information is captured by the graph convolutional network. In order to incorporate external factors, we use feature extractor to augment the transition of latent variables, which can learn the influence of external factors. With the target function as accumulative ELBO, it is easy to extend this model to on-line method. The experime…
Sichuan University（四川大学）；University of Electronic Science and Technology of China（电子科技大学）
Time series anomaly detection strives to uncover potential abnormal behaviors and patterns from temporal data, and has fundamental significance in diverse application scenarios. Constructing an effective detection model usually requires adequate training data stored in a centralized manner, however, this requirement sometimes could not be satisfied in realistic scenarios. As a prevailing approach to address the above problem, federated learning has demonstrated its power to cooperate with the distributed data available while protecting the privacy of data providers. However, it is still unclea…
MSAD: A Deep Dive into Model Selection for Time series Anomaly Detection
DI ENS, ENS, PSL University, CNRS, Inria, Paris, France（巴黎大学）；The Ohio State University（俄亥俄州立大学）；Aristotle University Thessaloniki（塞萨洛尼基亚里士多德大学）；Université Paris Cité, IUF Paris, France（巴黎大学）
Høgskulen på Vestlandet (HVL)（西挪威应用科学大学）；Norwegian University of Science and Technology（挪威科技大学）
An open-ended time series refers to a series of data points indexed in time order without an end. Such a time series can be found everywhere due to the prevalence of Internet of Things. Providing lightweight and real-time anomaly detection for open-ended time series is highly desirable to industry and organizations since it allows immediate response and avoids potential financial loss. In the last few years, several real-time time series anomaly detection approaches have been introduced. However, they might exhaust system resources when they are applied to open-ended time series for a long tim…
EDF R&D（法国电力集团研发中心）；Université de Paris（巴黎大学）；French University Institute (IUF)（法国大学研究院）
Subsequence anomaly detection in long sequences is an important problem with applications in a wide range of domains. However, the approaches proposed so far in the literature have severe limitations: they either require prior domain knowledge used to design the anomaly discovery algorithms, or become cumbersome and expensive to use in situations with recurrent anomalies of the same type. In this work, we address these problems, and propose an unsupervised method suitable for domain agnostic subsequence anomaly detection. Our method, Series2Graph, is based on a graph representation of a novel …
