arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2005.01194cs.LG
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深度神经网络体系结构的经验比较,用于使用上下文丰富的过程事件日志进行下一个活动预测

An empirical comparison of deep-neural-network architectures for next activity prediction using context-enriched process event logs

Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg(弗里德里希-亚历山大大学埃尔兰根-纽伦堡分校);University of Münster(明斯特大学);Vienna University of Economics and Business(维也纳经济大学)

S. Weinzierl, S. Zilker, J. Brunk, K. Revoredo, A. Nguyen, M. Matzner, J. Becker, B. Eskofier

摘要:

研究人员已经提出了各种预测业务流程监控(PBPM)技术,旨在预测未来的过程中执行过程中的行为。特别是,下一个活动的预测技术预计在改善业务流程的运营潜力很大。为了获得更准确的预测,这些技术中有很多依赖于深度神经网络(DNN),并考虑有关进程运行的上下文的信息。然而,在PBPM文献中缺少对这些技术的深入比较,这使得研究人员和从业人员无法为给定的事件日志选择最佳解决方案。为了解决这个问题,我们根据经验评估了三种有前途的DNN架构的预测质量,结合了五种经过验证的编码技术,并基于五种上下文丰富的真实事件日志。我们提供了四个研究结果,可以支持研究人员和从业人员在设计新的PBPM技术预测下一个活动。

英文摘要:

Researchers have proposed a variety of predictive business process monitoring (PBPM) techniques aiming to predict future process behaviour during the process execution. Especially, techniques for the next activity prediction anticipate great potential in improving operational business processes. To gain more accurate predictions, a plethora of these techniques rely on deep neural networks (DNNs) and consider information about the context, in which the process is running. However, an in-depth comparison of such techniques is missing in the PBPM literature, which prevents researchers and practitioners from selecting the best solution for a given event log. To remedy this problem, we empirically evaluate the predictive quality of three promising DNN architectures, combined with five proven encoding techniques and based on five context-enriched real-life event logs. We provide four findings that can support researchers and practitioners in designing novel PBPM techniques for predicting the next activities.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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