Predictive process analytics often apply machine learning to predict the future states of a running business~process. However, the internal mechanisms of many existing predictive algorithms are opaque and a human decision-maker is unable to understand \emph{why} a certain activity was predicted. Recently, counterfactuals have been proposed in the literature to derive human-understandable explanations from predictive models. Current counterfactual approaches consist of finding the minimum feature change that can make a certain prediction flip its outcome. Although many algorithms have been proposed, their application to multi-dimensional sequence data like event logs has not been explored in the literature.
In this paper, we explore the use of a recent, popular model-agnostic counterfactual algorithm, DiCE, in the context of predictive process analytics. The analysis reveals that DiCE is unable to derive explanations for process predictions, due to (1) process domain knowledge not being taken into account, (2) long traces of process execution that often tend to be less understandable, and (3) difficulties in optimising the counterfactual search with categorical variables. We design an extension of DiCE, namely DiCE4EL (DiCE for Event Logs), that can generate counterfactual explanations for process prediction, and propose an approach that supports deriving milestone-aware counterfactual explanations at key intermediate stages along process execution to promote interpretability. We apply our approach to a publicly available real-life event log and the analysis results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
Unifying Image Counterfactuals and Feature Attributions with Latent-Space Adversarial Attacks
Department of Statistics, University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校统计学系）；Department of Statistics and Data Science, University of Pennsylvania（宾夕法尼亚大学统计学与数据科学系）
What Do They See? Interpreting Complex Road Scenarios Through the Eyes of Vision-Language-Action Models for Safe and Trustworthy Autonomous Vehicle Learning
Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani（贝拉理工科学学院皮拉尼分校）；University of California, Merced（加州大学默塞德分校）
LD-ViCE: Latent Diffusion Model for Video Counterfactual Explanations
Rheinland-Pfälzische Technische Universität Kaiserslautern-Landau（莱茵-瓦尔德大学凯泽斯劳滕-兰道分校）；German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence (DFKI)（德国人工智能研究中心）
Attri-Net: A Globally and Locally Inherently Interpretable Model for Multi-Label Classification Using Class-Specific Counterfactuals
Cluster of Excellence: Machine Learning - New Perspectives for Science, University of Tübingen（机器学习新视角科学卓越中心，图宾根大学）；Department of Computer Science, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg（计算机科学系，埃尔兰根-纽伦堡弗里德里希-亚历山大大学）；Hertie Institute for Artificial Intelligence in Brain Health, University of Tübingen（脑健康人工智能研究所，图宾根大学）；Department of Diabetes, Endocrinology, Nutritional Medicine and Metabolism, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern（糖尿病、内分泌学、营养医学和代谢学系，伯恩大学医院，伯恩大学）；Faculty of Health Sciences and Medicine, University of Lucerne（健康科学与医学学院，卢塞恩大学）
