arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2003.02807cs.NI
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基于循环神经网络的蜂窝网络流量预测

Cellular Traffic Prediction with Recurrent Neural Network

Shan Jaffry

摘要:

业务需求的自主预测将是未来蜂窝网络的关键功能。过去,研究人员使用自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)等统计方法来提供流量预测。然而,基于ARIMA的预测不能给出一个准确和准确的预测动态输入量,如蜂窝流量。最近,研究人员开始探索深度学习技术,如递归神经网络(RNN)和长短期记忆(LSTM),以自主预测未来的蜂窝流量。在这项研究中,我们设计了一个基于LSTM的蜂窝流量预测模型。我们将基于LSTM的预测与基线ARIMA模型和香草前馈神经网络(FFNN)进行了比较。结果表明,LSTM和FFNN准确地预测了未来的蜂窝流量。然而,发现LSTM训练预测模型的时间比FFNN短得多。因此,我们得出结论,LSTM模型可以有效地使用少量的训练数据,这将允许及时预测未来的蜂窝流量。

英文摘要:

Autonomous prediction of traffic demand will be a key function in future cellular networks. In the past, researchers have used statistical methods such as Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) to provide traffic predictions. However, ARIMA based predictions fail to give an exact and accurate forecast for dynamic input quantities such as cellular traffic. More recently, researchers have started to explore deep learning techniques, such as, recurrent neural networks (RNN) and long-short-term-memory (LSTM) to autonomously predict future cellular traffic. In this research, we have designed a LSTM based cellular traffic prediction model. We have compared the LSTM based prediction with the base line ARIMA model and vanilla feed-forward neural network (FFNN). The results show that LSTM and FFNN accurately predicted future cellular traffic. However, it was found that LSTM train the prediction model in much shorter time as compared to FFNN. Hence, we conclude that LSTM models can be effectively even used with small amount of training data which will allow to timely predict future cellular traffic.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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