arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2001.02804econ.GNq-fin.EC
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制度与中国的比较发展

Institutions and China's comparative development

Paul Minard

摘要:

对比较发展的制度主义解释的有力评估受到了遗漏变量偏误和反向因果关系问题的阻碍,因为制度质量不是根据地理和人力资本禀赋随机分配的。最近的一系列论文应用空间断点回归设计来估计制度对国际边界收入的影响,从边界治理的突然不连续性中得出推论,而收入的其他决定因素在国界之间变化平稳。我通过评估中国省级边界制度质量的次国家差异的重要性来扩展这一文献。使用夜间灯光排放作为收入的代理,在多个规格中,我发现没有证据支持中国各省比较发展的制度主义解释。

英文摘要:

Robust assessment of the institutionalist account of comparative development is hampered by problems of omitted variable bias and reverse causation, since institutional quality is not randomly assigned with respect to geographic and human capital endowments. A recent series of papers has applied spatial regression discontinuity designs to estimate the impact of institutions on incomes at international borders, drawing inference from the abrupt discontinuity in governance at borders, whereas other determinants of income vary smoothly across borders. I extend this literature by assessing the importance of sub-national variation in institutional quality at provincial borders in China. Employing nighttime lights emissions as a proxy for income, across multiple specifications I find no evidence in favour of an institutionalist account of the comparative development of Chinese provinces.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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