arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2001.02114cs.AIcs.HC
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人工智能辅助决策中置信度和解释对准确度的影响及置信度校准

Effect of Confidence and Explanation on Accuracy and Trust Calibration in AI-Assisted Decision Making

IBM Research AI(IBM研究院人工智能部门)

Yunfeng Zhang, Q. Vera Liao, Rachel K. E. Bellamy

摘要:

如今,人工智能正越来越多地用于帮助人类专家在高风险场景中做出决策。在这些场景中,完全自动化通常是不可取的,这不仅是因为结果的重要性,还因为人类专家可以利用他们的领域知识补充模型,以确保任务成功。我们将这些场景称为人工智能辅助决策,其中人类和人工智能的个体优势结合在一起,以优化联合决策结果。他们成功的关键是在个案基础上适当地\textit{calibrate}人类对AI的信任;知道何时信任或不信任AI允许人类专家适当地应用他们的知识,在模型可能表现不佳的情况下改善决策结果。本研究对人工智能辅助决策进行了案例研究,其中人类和人工智能单独具有可比的性能,并探讨了揭示特定案例模型信息的功能是否可以校准信任并提高人类和人工智能的联合性能。具体来说,我们研究的效果,显示的信心分数和当地的解释一个特定的预测。通过两个人类实验,我们表明,置信度可以帮助校准人们对AI模型的信任,但信任校准本身并不足以改善AI辅助决策,这可能还取决于人类是否能够带来足够的独特知识来补充AI的错误。我们还强调了在人工智能辅助决策场景中使用本地解释的问题,并邀请研究界探索新的方法来校准人类对人工智能的信任。

英文摘要:

Today, AI is being increasingly used to help human experts make decisions in high-stakes scenarios. In these scenarios, full automation is often undesirable, not only due to the significance of the outcome, but also because human experts can draw on their domain knowledge complementary to the model's to ensure task success. We refer to these scenarios as AI-assisted decision making, where the individual strengths of the human and the AI come together to optimize the joint decision outcome. A key to their success is to appropriately \textit{calibrate} human trust in the AI on a case-by-case basis; knowing when to trust or distrust the AI allows the human expert to appropriately apply their knowledge, improving decision outcomes in cases where the model is likely to perform poorly. This research conducts a case study of AI-assisted decision making in which humans and AI have comparable performance alone, and explores whether features that reveal case-specific model information can calibrate trust and improve the joint performance of the human and AI. Specifically, we study the effect of showing confidence score and local explanation for a particular prediction. Through two human experiments, we show that confidence score can help calibrate people's trust in an AI model, but trust calibration alone is not sufficient to improve AI-assisted decision making, which may also depend on whether the human can bring in enough unique knowledge to complement the AI's errors. We also highlight the problems in using local explanation for AI-assisted decision making scenarios and invite the research community to explore new approaches to explainability for calibrating human trust in AI.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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