体育竞赛中的不平等、机会和成功：模拟与经验数据
Inequalities, chance and success in sport competitions: simulations vs empirical data
摘要：
我们提出了一种新的方式估计的机会在实现成功的作用，通过比较的经验数据从100米短跑比赛（最严格的控制外部随机性的体育学科之一），与基于代理的计算机模型的结果，该模型假设，成功取决于共同的内在人才的代理和不可预测的运气。我们发现一个小的，但非零贡献的随机运气的表现最好的短跑运动员，这可能会作为一个下界的随机性的作用，在其他不太严格控制的竞争领域。此外，我们还讨论了顶级参与者之间的收益差异的看法，以及随机运气在由此产生的不平等中的作用。
英文摘要：
We present a new way of estimation of the role of chance in achieving success, by comparing the empirical data from 100-meter dash competitions (one of the sports disciplines with the most stringent controls of external randomness), with the results of an agent-based computer model, which assumes that success depends jointly on the intrinsic talent of the agent and on unpredictable luck. We find a small, but non-zero contribution of random luck to the performance of the best sprinters, which may serve as a lower bound for the randomness role in other, less stringently controlled competitive domains. Additionally we discuss the perception of the payoff differences among the top participants, and the role of random luck in the resulting inequality.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
