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arXiv 1908.00279physics.geo-phcond-mat.stat-mech
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识别即将发生的主震发生时间：一个非常近期的案例

Identifying the occurrence time of an impending mainshock: A very recent case

National and Kapodistrian University of Athens（雅典国立卡波蒂斯坦大学）

P. A. Varotsos, N. V. Sarlis, E. S. Skordas, M. S. Lazaridou-Varotsos

备注：
An early version of this paper appeared in Earthq. Sci. 28 (2015) 215-222 [doi:10.1007/s11589-015-0122-3], whereas in the present version new data collected during the period 2019-2026 have been added. 16 pages, 20 figures
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AI总结：

通过分析候选区域在自然时间中地震活动，识别主震发生时间的方法被回顾，本文报告了该方法应用于2014年11月17日希腊发生的Mw5.4主震，并展示了近期记录的SES活动。

摘要：

通过分析候选区域在自然时间中地震活动，识别主震发生时间的方法被回顾，本文报告了该方法应用于2014年11月17日希腊发生的Mw5.4主震，并展示了近期记录的SES活动。此外，我们在注释中讨论了2019年7月19日也在雅典感受到强烈震动的Mw5.3地震（帕尼萨断层）案例。

英文摘要：

The procedure by means of which the occurrence time of an impending mainshock can be identified by analyzing in natural time the seismicity in the candidate area subsequent to the recording of a precursory Seismic Electric Signals (SES) activity is reviewed. Here, we report the application of this procedure to an Mw5.4 mainshock that occurred in Greece on 17 November 2014 and was strongly felt in Athens. This mainshock (which is pretty rare since it is the strongest in that area for more than half a century) was preceded by an SES activity recorded on 27 July 2014 and the results of the natural time analysis reveal that the system approached the critical point (mainshock occurrence) early in the morning on 15 November 2014. SES activities that have been recently recorded are also presented. Furthermore, in a Note we discuss the case of the Mw5.3 earthquake that was also strongly felt in Athens on 19 July 2019 (Parnitha fault).

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。

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