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arXiv 1408.2668astro-ph.SR
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理解星际冰的形成和演化:贝叶斯方法

Understanding the Formation and Evolution of Interstellar Ices: A Bayesian Approach

Antonios Makrymallis, Serena Viti

摘要:

了解暗分子云和恒星形成区域的物理条件是一个逆问题,受到复杂的化学反应的影响,这些化学反应随时间和物理环境呈非线性变化。在本文中,我们应用贝叶斯方法的基础上的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)方法解决天体化学建模中遇到的非线性逆问题。我们使用观测冰和气体物种在黑暗的分子云和时间依赖性,气体颗粒化学模型来推断的物理和化学参数的值,表征静止区域的分子云。我们的证据表明,在高维问题中,MCMC算法提供了一个更有效和完整的解决方案比更经典的策略。我们的MCMC方法的结果,使我们能够获得统计估计和不确定性的物理参数的利益作为贝叶斯处理的结果。

英文摘要:

Understanding the physical conditions of dark molecular clouds and star forming regions is an inverse problem subject to complicated chemistry that varies non-linearly with time and the physical environment. In this paper we apply a Bayesian approach based on a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for solving the non-linear inverse problems encountered in astrochemical modelling. We use observations for ice and gas species in dark molecular clouds and a time dependent, gas grain chemical model to infer the values of the physical and chemical parameters that characterize quiescent regions of molecular clouds. We show evidence that in high dimensional problems, MCMC algorithms provide a more efficient and complete solution than more classical strategies. The results of our MCMC method enable us to derive statistical estimates and uncertainties for the physical parameters of interest as a result of the Bayesian treatment.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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