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arXiv 1406.6957q-bio.PE
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监测对控制不断变化的种群的价值

The value of monitoring to control evolving populations

Andrej Fischer, Ignacio Vazquez-Garcia, Ville Mustonen

摘要:

人口可以进化以适应外部变化。进化和适应的能力使得成功治疗传染病和癌症变得困难。事实上,耐药性已迅速成为全球健康的一个关键挑战。因此,如何控制进化的种群以克服这种威胁的想法是有价值的。在这里,我们使用随机最优控制的数学概念来研究控制不断变化的种群所需要的东西。按照既定的路线来计算控制策略,我们首先研究了如何在有限的人口多态性可以保持自适应调整选择。然后,我们在随机进化的癌细胞群中引入了一个最小的耐药性模型,并计算了适应性疗法,其中的决策是基于监测肿瘤的反应,这可以优于现有的治疗范式。对于这两个案例研究,我们证明了目标人群的高分辨率监测,以实现一个给定的控制目标的重要性:控制一个必须监测。

英文摘要:

Populations can evolve in order to adapt to external changes. The capacity to evolve and adapt makes successful treatment of infectious diseases and cancer difficult. Indeed, therapy resistance has quickly become a key challenge for global health. Therefore, ideas of how to control evolving populations in order to overcome this threat are valuable. Here we use the mathematical concepts of stochastic optimal control to study what is needed to control evolving populations. Following established routes to calculate control strategies, we first study how a polymorphism can be maintained in a finite population by adaptively tuning selection. We then introduce a minimal model of drug resistance in a stochastically evolving cancer cell population and compute adaptive therapies, where decisions are based on monitoring the response of the tumor, which can outperform established therapy paradigms. For both case studies, we demonstrate the importance of high-resolution monitoring of the target population in order to achieve a given control objective: to control one must monitor.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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