We generalise the coarse Ricci curvature method of Ollivier by considering the coarse Ricci curvature of multiple steps in the Markov chain. This implies new spectral bounds and concentration inequalities. We also extend this approach to the bounds for MCMC empirical averages obtained by Joulin and Ollivier. We prove a recursive lower bound on the coarse Ricci curvature of multiple steps in the Markov chain, making our method broadly applicable. Applications include the split-merge random walk on partitions, Glauber dynamics with random scan and systemic scan for statistical physical spin models, and random walk on a binary cube with a forbidden region.
A nonnegative coarse Ricci curvature for a Markov chain and the existence of an attractive point implies the concentration of the invariant probability measure around this point. The mass outside balls centered at the attractive point, as a function of the radius, decreases at least as fast as the exponential of a double integral of the coarse Ricci curvature. This is exactly the behaviour of the density of the reversible measure for diffusion processes on the real line.
In this paper we study the coarse Ricci curvature on the space of probability measures on a metric space. The infimum of the $p$-coarse Ricci curvature on the $L^p$-Wasserstein space coincides with that with respect to the original random walk. Considering a random walk as a map, we investigate the relation between Gromov-Hausdorff convergence and the $p$-coarse Ricci curvature. We also study the concentration of measure phenomenon related to the coarse Ricci curvature.
We consider Markovian models on graphs with local dynamics. We show that, under suitable conditions, such Markov chains exhibit both rapid convergence to equilibrium and strong concentration of measure in the stationary distribution. We illustrate our results with applications to some known chains from computer science and statistical mechanics.
Matrix concentration inequalities provide information about the probability that a random matrix is close to its expectation with respect to the $l_2$ operator norm. This paper uses semigroup methods to derive sharp nonlinear matrix inequalities. In particular, it is shown that the classic Bakry-Émery curvature criterion implies subgaussian concentration for "matrix Lipschitz" functions. This argument circumvents the need to develop a matrix version of the log-Sobolev inequality, a technical obstacle that has blocked previous attempts to derive matrix concentration inequalities in this setting…
We provide explicit nonasymptotic estimates for the rate of convergence of empirical means of Markov chains, together with a Gaussian or exponential control on the deviations of empirical means. These estimates hold under a "positive curvature" assumption expressing a kind of metric ergodicity, which generalizes the Ricci curvature from differential geometry and, on finite graphs, amounts to contraction under path coupling.
We derive sufficient conditions for a family $(X^n,ρ_n,P_n)$ of metric probability spaces to have the measure concentration property. Specifically, if the sequence $\{P_n\}$ of probability measures satisfies a strong mixing condition (which we call $η$-mixing) and the sequence of metrics $\{ρ_n\}$ is what we call $Ψ$-dominated, we show that $(X^n,ρ_n,P_n)$ is a normal Levy family. We establish these properties for some metric probability spaces, including the possibly novel $X=[0,1]$, $ρ_n=\ell_1$ case.
We define the Ricci curvature of Markov chains on metric spaces as a local contraction coefficient of the random walk acting on the space of probability measures equipped with a Wasserstein transportation distance. For Brownian motion on a Riemannian manifold this gives back the value of Ricci curvature of a tangent vector. Examples of positively curved spaces for this definition include the discrete cube and discrete versions of the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process. Moreover this generalization is consistent with the Bakry--Émery Ricci curvature for Brownian motion with a drift on a Riemannian man…
Slow mixing is the central hurdle when working with Markov chains, especially those used for Monte Carlo approximations (MCMC). In many applications, it is only of interest to estimate the stationary expectations of a small set of functions, and so the usual definition of mixing based on total variation convergence may be too conservative. Accordingly, we introduce function-specific analogs of mixing times and spectral gaps, and use them to prove Hoeffding-like function-specific concentration inequalities. These results show that it is possible for empirical expectations of functions to concen…
We consider a finite mixture model with varying mixing probabilities. Linear regression models are assumed for observed variables with coefficients depending on the mixture component the observed subject belongs to. A modification of the least-squares estimator is proposed for estimation of the regression coefficients. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimates is demonstrated.
In this paper we study random walks on dynamical random environments in $1 + 1$ dimensions. Assuming that the environment is invariant under space-time shifts and fulfills a mild mixing hypothesis, we establish a law of large numbers and a concentration inequality around the asymptotic speed. The mixing hypothesis imposes a polynomial decay rate of covariances on the environment with sufficiently high exponent but does not impose uniform mixing. Examples of environments for which our methods apply include the contact process and Markovian environments with a positive spectral gap, such as the …
In a companion article we have introduced a notion of multiscale functional inequalities for functions $X(A)$ of an ergodic stationary random field $A$ on the ambient space $\mathbb R^d$. These inequalities are multiscale weighted versions of standard Poincaré, covariance, and logarithmic Sobolev inequalities. They hold for all the examples of fields $A$ arising in the modelling of heterogeneous materials in the applied sciences whereas their standard versions are much more restrictive. In this contribution we first investigate the link between multiscale functional inequalities and more stand…
We show that the mixing times of random walks on compact groups can be used to obtain concentration inequalities for the respective Haar measures. As an application, we derive a concentration inequality for the empirical distribution of eigenvalues of sums of random hermitian matrices, with possible applications in free probability. The advantage over existing techniques is that the new method can deal with functions that are non-Lipschitz or even discontinuous with respect to the usual metrics.
The rate at which dependencies between future and past observations decay in a random process may be quantified in terms of mixing coefficients. The latter in turn appear in strong laws of large numbers and concentration of measure results for dependent random variables. Questions regarding what rates are possible for various notions of mixing have been posed since the 1960's, and have important implications for some open problems in the theory of strong mixing conditions. This paper deals with $η$-mixing, a notion defined in [Kontorovich and Ramanan], which is closely related to $ϕ$-mixing. W…
In this paper we show how to apply classical probabilistic tools for partial sums $\sum_{j=0}^{n-1}φ\circτ^j$ generated by a skew product $τ$, built over a sufficiently well mixing base map and a random expanding dynamical system. Under certain regularity assumptions on the observable $φ$, we obtain a central limit theorem (CLT) with rates, a functional CLT, an almost sure invariance principle (ASIP), a moderate deviations principle, several exponential concentration inequalities and Rosenthal type moment estimates for skew products with $α, ϕ$ or $ψ$ mixing base maps and expanding on the aver…
Various mixing properties of $β$-, $β'$- and Gaussian Delaunay tessellations in $\mathbb{R}^{d-1}$ are studied. It is shown that these tessellation models are absolutely regular, or $β$-mixing. In the $β$- and the Gaussian case exponential bounds for the absolute regularity coefficients are found. In the $β'$-case these coefficients show a polynomial decay only. In the background are new and strong concentration bounds on the radius of stabilization of the underlying construction. Using a general device for absolutely regular stationary random tessellations, central limit theorems for a number…
The martingale method is used to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the way, bounds are obtained on martingale differences associated with the random sequences, which may be of independent interest. As applications of the main result, concentration inequalities are also derived for inhomogeneous Markov chains and hidden Markov chains, and an extremal property associated with their martingale difference bounds is established. Thi…
The exponential random graph model (ERGM) is a central object in the study of clustering properties in social networks as well as canonical ensembles in statistical physics. Despite some breakthrough works in the mathematical understanding of ERGM, most notably in (Bhamidi, Bresler, Sly, 2011) through the analysis of a natural Heat-bath Glauber dynamics, and in (Chatterjee, Diaconis, 2013), (Eldan, Gross, 2018) via a large deviation theoretic perspective, several basic questions have remained unanswered owing to the lack of exact solvability unlike the much studied Curie-Weiss model (Ising mod…
We show that the Cheeger constant for $n$-dimensional isotropic logconcave measures is $O(n^{1/4})$, improving on the previous best bound of $O(n^{1/3}\sqrt{\log n}).$ As corollaries we obtain the same improved bound on the thin-shell estimate, Poincaré constant and Lipschitz concentration constant and an alternative proof of this bound for the isotropic (slicing) constant; it also follows that the ball walk for sampling from an isotropic logconcave density in ${\bf R}^{n}$ converges in $O^{*}(n^{2.5})$ steps from a warm start. The proof is based on gradually transforming any logconcave densit…
We prove a non-asymptotic concentration inequality for the spectral norm of sparse inhomogeneous random tensors with Bernoulli entries. For an order-$k$ inhomogeneous random tensor $T$ with sparsity $p_{\max}\geq \frac{c\log n}{n }$, we show that $\|T-\mathbb E T\|=O(\sqrt{n p_{\max}}\log^{k-2}(n))$ with high probability. The optimality of this bound up to polylog factors is provided by an information theoretic lower bound. By tensor unfolding, we extend the range of sparsity to $p_{\max}\geq \frac{c\log n}{n^{m}}$ with $1\leq m\leq k-1$ and obtain concentration inequalities for different spar…