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arXiv 1208.4444astro-ph.EP
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2002年VE68的动力学演变

On the dynamical evolution of 2002 VE68

C. de la Fuente Marcos, R. de la Fuente Marcos

摘要:

小行星2002 VE 68在发现后不久就被确认为金星的类卫星。当时它的数据弧跨度只有24天,现在是2,947天。在这里,我们重新审视这个显着的对象的动态状态的主题,以及期待其动态的过去,并探讨其未来的轨道演变,这是由近距离接触与地月系统和水星。在我们的计算中,我们使用Hermite积分方案,最新的星历,包括八大行星,月球和三个最大的小行星的扰动。我们确认2002 VE 68目前是金星的准卫星,并且在与地球近距离飞行后至少保持了7,000年。在那次相遇之前,该物体可能已经与金星共轨或在经典的非共振近地物体轨道上移动。该物体从L4特洛伊状态漂移到准卫星阶段。我们还确认,在远日点,与地球危险的近距离接触(0.002 AU以下,在希尔球内)是可能的。我们发现2002 VE 68将作为金星的准卫星存在约500年以上,其动力学演化不仅受地球控制,月球的贡献不可忽略,而且还受水星的影响。2002 VE 68与水星、金星和地球呈现共振(或接近共振)行为。我们的计算表明,在未来10,000年内与地球发生实际碰撞的可能性很小,但以8年的周期发生0.04 AU的碰撞。

英文摘要:

Minor planet 2002 VE68 was identified as a quasi-satellite of Venus shortly after its discovery. At that time its data-arc span was only 24 days, now it is 2,947 days. Here we revisit the topic of the dynamical status of this remarkable object as well as look into its dynamical past and explore its future orbital evolution which is driven by close encounters with both the Earth-Moon system and Mercury. In our calculations we use a Hermite integration scheme, the most updated ephemerides and include the perturbations by the eight major planets, the Moon and the three largest asteroids. We confirm that 2002 VE68 currently is a quasi-satellite of Venus and it has remained as such for at least 7,000 yr after a close fly-by with the Earth. Prior to that encounter the object may have already been co-orbital with Venus or moving in a classical, non-resonant Near-Earth Object (NEO) orbit. The object drifted into the quasi-satellite phase from an L4 Trojan state. We also confirm that, at aphelion, dangerously close encounters with the Earth (under 0.002 AU, well inside the Hill sphere) are possible. We find that 2002 VE68 will remain as a quasi-satellite of Venus for about 500 yr more and its dynamical evolution is controlled not only by the Earth, with a non-negligible contribution from the Moon, but by Mercury as well. 2002 VE68 exhibits resonant (or near resonant) behavior with Mercury, Venus and the Earth. Our calculations indicate that an actual collision with the Earth during the next 10,000 yr is highly unlikely but encounters as close as 0.04 AU occur with a periodicity of 8 years.

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