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arXiv 1201.0552eess.SYcs.SY
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基于面向对象混合建模方法的电力系统可靠性分析

Reliability Analysis of Electric Power Systems Using an Object-oriented Hybrid Modeling Approach

Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich(苏黎世联邦理工学院)

Markus Schläpfer, Tom Kessler, Wolfgang Kröger

AI总结:

提出一种结合基于代理的建模与蒙特卡洛模拟的面向对象混合方法,用于评估电力系统概率可靠性并考虑时间相关效应。

摘要:

电力系统的持续演进带来了应对技术组件和相关参与者日益复杂交互的需求。为了将更全面的不同方面整合到概率可靠性评估中并包含时间相关效应,本文提出了一种面向对象的混合方法,将基于代理的建模技术与蒙特卡洛模拟等经典方法相结合。对象既代表发电机和输电线路等技术组件,也代表电网运营商等非技术组件。该方法允许计算传统可靠性指标并估计停电频率。此外,可以评估消除线路过载所需时间对系统整体可靠性的影响。通过在IEEE 1996年可靠性测试系统和瑞士高压电网模型上进行仿真,证明了该方法的适用性。

英文摘要:

The ongoing evolution of the electric power systems brings about the need to cope with increasingly complex interactions of technical components and relevant actors. In order to integrate a more comprehensive spectrum of different aspects into a probabilistic reliability assessment and to include time-dependent effects, this paper proposes an object-oriented hybrid approach combining agent-based modeling techniques with classical methods such as Monte Carlo simulation. Objects represent both technical components such as generators and transmission lines and non-technical components such as grid operators. The approach allows the calculation of conventional reliability indices and the estimation of blackout frequencies. Furthermore, the influence of the time needed to remove line overloads on the overall system reliability can be assessed. The applicability of the approach is demonstrated by performing simulations on the IEEE Reliability Test System 1996 and on a model of the Swiss high-voltage grid.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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