经济学中违反期望效用的量子概念解释
A Quantum-Conceptual Explanation of Violations of Expected Utility in Economics
摘要:
期望效用假设是古典经济理论的基石之一,建立在萨维奇的确定性原则之上。它已经提出,例如,由情况下,如阿莱和埃尔斯伯格悖论,现实生活中的情况下,可以违反萨维奇的确定的事情原则,因此也预期效用。我们分析了这种违反是如何连接到决策理论的“析取效应”的存在,并使用我们早期的研究,这种效应在概念理论提出了违反萨维奇的确定性原则的解释,即存在的“量子概念思维”旁边的“经典逻辑思维”在人类思维的双层结构在决策过程中。量子概念思想可以通过量子力学形式主义进行数学建模,我们通过建模夏威夷问题的情况,一个著名的例子的析取效应,我们展示了如何在夏威夷问题的情况下产生的动态的整个概念景观周围的决策情况。
英文摘要:
The expected utility hypothesis is one of the building blocks of classical economic theory and founded on Savage's Sure-Thing Principle. It has been put forward, e.g. by situations such as the Allais and Ellsberg paradoxes, that real-life situations can violate Savage's Sure-Thing Principle and hence also expected utility. We analyze how this violation is connected to the presence of the 'disjunction effect' of decision theory and use our earlier study of this effect in concept theory to put forward an explanation of the violation of Savage's Sure-Thing Principle, namely the presence of 'quantum conceptual thought' next to 'classical logical thought' within a double layer structure of human thought during the decision process. Quantum conceptual thought can be modeled mathematically by the quantum mechanical formalism, which we illustrate by modeling the Hawaii problem situation, a well-known example of the disjunction effect, and we show how the dynamics in the Hawaii problem situation is generated by the whole conceptual landscape surrounding the decision situation.
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