核能的未来：事实与虚构第II章：对次生铀资源有什么了解？
The Future of Nuclear Energy: Facts and Fiction Chapter II: What is known about Secondary Uranium Resources?
摘要：
在2009年期间，核电站的容量为370 GWe，将产生约14%的全球电能。运行这些反应堆需要大约65000吨天然铀当量。15年来，平均只有2/3的燃料来自铀矿，1/3来自二次资源。本文介绍了2009年年初的二次资源情况。所用数据来自原子能机构/核能机构2007年红皮书《铀资源、生产和需求》和世界核协会。我们的分析表明，这些民用储存将在今后五年内基本耗尽。这与2013年大致吻合，届时俄罗斯军用库存中的1万吨天然铀当量将停止向美国交付。由于大部分剩余的民用铀储备（约3万吨）被认为是在美国政府和美国公司的控制之下，美国似乎不太可能与其他大型核能用户分享自己的战略铀储备。所有数据表明，只有俄罗斯和美国向其他国家提供估计约50万吨的剩余军用铀库存，才能避免许多经合组织国家的铀供应短缺。
英文摘要：
During 2009 nuclear power plants, with a capacity of 370 GWe, will produce roughly 14% of the worldwide electric energy. About 65000 tons of natural uranium equivalent are required to operate these reactors. For 15 years on average only 2/3 of this fuel is provided by the uranium mines and 1/3 comes from secondary resources. In this paper the situation concerning the secondary resources at the beginning of the year 2009 is presented. The data used are from the IAEA/NEA 2007 Red Book, "Uranium Resources, Production and Demand", and from the World Nuclear Association (WNA). Our analysis shows that these civilian stocks will be essentially exhausted within the next 5 years. This coincides roughly with the year 2013, when the delivery of the 10000 tons of natural uranium equivalent from russian military stocks to the USA will end. As the majority of the remaining civilian stocks, about 30000 tons, are believed to be under the control of the US government and american companies, it seems rather unlikely that the USA will share their own strategic uranium reserves with other large nuclear energy users. All data indicate that a uranium supply shortage in many OECD countries can only be avoided if the remaining military uranium stocks from Russia and the USA, estimated to be roughly 500000 tons are made available to the other countries.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
