In this paper we propose a computationally efficient algorithm for on-line variable selection in multivariate regression problems involving high dimensional data streams. The algorithm recursively extracts all the latent factors of a partial least squares solution and selects the most important variables for each factor. This is achieved by means of only one sparse singular value decomposition which can be efficiently updated on-line and in an adaptive fashion. Simulation results based on artificial data streams demonstrate that the algorithm is able to select important variables in dynamic settings where the correlation structure among the observed streams is governed by a few hidden components and the importance of each variable changes over time. We also report on an application of our algorithm to a multivariate version of the "enhanced index tracking" problem using financial data streams. The application consists of performing on-line asset allocation with the objective of overperforming two benchmark indices simultaneously.
Multivariate regression model is a natural generalization of the classical univari- ate regression model for fitting multiple responses. In this paper, we propose a high- dimensional multivariate conditional regression model for constructing sparse estimates of the multivariate regression coefficient matrix that accounts for the dependency struc- ture among the multiple responses. The proposed method decomposes the multivariate regression problem into a series of penalized conditional log-likelihood of each response conditioned on the covariates and other responses. It allows simultaneous esti…
This work aims to give non-asymptotic results for estimating the first principal component of a multivariate random process. We first define the covariance function and the covariance operator in the multivariate case. We then define a projection operator. This operator can be seen as a reconstruction step from the raw data in the functional data analysis context. Next, we show that the eigenelements can be expressed as the solution to an optimization problem, and we introduce the LASSO variant of this optimization problem and the associated plugin estimator. Finally, we assess the estimator's…
Covariance estimation is essential yet underdeveloped for analyzing multivariate functional data. We propose a fast covariance estimation method for multivariate sparse functional data using bivariate penalized splines. The tensor-product B-spline formulation of the proposed method enables a simple spectral decomposition of the associated covariance operator and explicit expressions of the resulting eigenfunctions as linear combinations of B-spline bases, thereby dramatically facilitating subsequent principal component analysis. We derive a fast algorithm for selecting the smoothing parameters…
Modeling data with multivariate count responses is a challenging problem due to the discrete nature of the responses. Existing methods for univariate count responses cannot be easily extended to the multivariate case since the dependency among multiple responses needs to be properly accommodated. In this paper, we propose a multivariate Poisson log-normal regression model for multivariate data with count responses. By simultaneously estimating the regression coefficients and inverse covariance matrix over the latent variables with an efficient Monte Carlo EM algorithm, the proposed regression …
Ecole Normale Supérieure de Cachan（卡尚高等师范学院）；CNRS（法国国家科学研究中心）；Université Paris-Saclay（巴黎-萨克雷大学）；Université Paris 13（巴黎第十三大学）
This paper introduces a new multivariate convolutional sparse coding based on tensor algebra with a general model enforcing both element-wise sparsity and low-rankness of the activations tensors. By using the CP decomposition, this model achieves a significantly more efficient encoding of the multivariate signal-particularly in the high order/ dimension setting-resulting in better performance. We prove that our model is closely related to the Kruskal tensor regression problem, offering interesting theoretical guarantees to our setting. Furthermore, we provide an efficient optimization algorith…
We propose a novel and efficient iterative two-stage variable selection approach for multivariate sparse GLARMA models, which can be used for modelling multivariate discrete-valued time series. Our approach consists in iteratively combining two steps: the estimation of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) coefficients of multivariate GLARMA models and the variable selection in the coefficients of the Generalized Linear Model (GLM) part of the model performed by regularized methods. We explain how to implement our approach efficiently. Then we assess the performance of our methodology using…
In this paper, we propose methods for functional predictor selection and the estimation of smooth functional coefficients simultaneously in a scalar-on-function regression problem under high-dimensional multivariate functional data setting. In particular, we develop two methods for functional group-sparse regression under a generic Hilbert space of infinite dimension. We show the convergence of algorithms and the consistency of the estimation and the selection (oracle property) under infinite-dimensional Hilbert spaces. Simulation studies show the effectiveness of the methods in both the selec…
Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；University of Chicago（芝加哥大学）
We study the problem of multivariate regression where the data are naturally grouped, and a regression matrix is to be estimated for each group. We propose an approach in which a dictionary of low rank parameter matrices is estimated across groups, and a sparse linear combination of the dictionary elements is estimated to form a model within each group. We refer to the method as conditional sparse coding since it is a coding procedure for the response vectors Y conditioned on the covariate vectors X. This approach captures the shared information across the groups while adapting to the structur…
When applying principal component analysis (PCA) for dimension reduction, the most varying projections are usually used in order to retain most of the information. For the purpose of anomaly and change detection, however, the least varying projections are often the most important ones. In this article, we present a novel method that automatically tailors the choice of projections to monitor for sparse changes in the mean and/or covariance matrix of high-dimensional data. A subset of the least varying projections is almost always selected based on a criteria of the projection's sensitivity to c…
Extreme value statistics provides accurate estimates for the small occurrence probabilities of rare events. While theory and statistical tools for univariate extremes are well-developed, methods for high-dimensional and complex data sets are still scarce. Appropriate notions of sparsity and connections to other fields such as machine learning, graphical models and high-dimensional statistics have only recently been established. This article reviews the new domain of research concerned with the detection and modeling of sparse patterns in rare events. We first describe the different forms of ex…
Sequential or online dimensional reduction is of interests due to the explosion of streaming data based applications and the requirement of adaptive statistical modeling, in many emerging fields, such as the modeling of energy end-use profile. Principal Component Analysis (PCA), is the classical way of dimensional reduction. However, traditional Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) based PCA fails to model data which largely deviates from Gaussian distribution. The Bregman Divergence was recently introduced to achieve a generalized PCA framework. If the random variable under dimensional reductio…
We provide finite sample properties of sparse multivariate ARCH processes, where the linear representation of ARCH models allows for an ordinary least squares estimation. Under the restricted strong convexity of the unpenalized loss function, regularity conditions on the penalty function, strict stationary and beta-mixing process, we prove non-asymptotic error bounds on the regularized ARCH estimator. Based on the primal-dual witness method of Loh and Wainwright (2017), we establish variable selection consistency, including the case when the penalty function is non-convex. These theoretical re…
National University of Singapore（新加坡国立大学）；Arizona State University（亚利桑那州立大学）；Samsung Electronics（三星电子）；Georgia Institute of Technology（佐治亚理工学院）
Multivariate functional data from a complex system are naturally high-dimensional and have complex cross-correlation structure. The complexity of data structure can be observed as that (1) some functions are strongly correlated with similar features, while some others may have almost no cross-correlations with quite diverse features; and (2) the cross-correlation structure may also change over time due to the system evolution. With this regard, this paper presents a dynamic subspace learning method for multivariate functional data modeling. In particular, we consider different functions come f…
Radiogenomics is an emerging field in cancer research that combines medical imaging data with genomic data to predict patients clinical outcomes. In this paper, we propose a multivariate sparse group lasso joint model to integrate imaging and genomic data for building prediction models. Specifically, we jointly consider two models, one regresses imaging features on genomic features, and the other regresses patients clinical outcomes on genomic features. The regularization penalties through sparse group lasso allow incorporation of intrinsic group information, e.g. biological pathway and imagin…
LTCI, Télécom ParisTech, Université Paris-Saclay（LTCI，巴黎高等电信学院，巴黎萨克雷大学）；INRIA, Université Paris Saclay（法国国家信息与自动化研究所，巴黎萨克雷大学）
Frequency-specific patterns of neural activity are traditionally interpreted as sustained rhythmic oscillations, and related to cognitive mechanisms such as attention, high level visual processing or motor control. While alpha waves (8-12 Hz) are known to closely resemble short sinusoids, and thus are revealed by Fourier analysis or wavelet transforms, there is an evolving debate that electromagnetic neural signals are composed of more complex waveforms that cannot be analyzed by linear filters and traditional signal representations. In this paper, we propose to learn dedicated representations…
We propose novel methods for predictive (sparse) PCA with spatially misaligned data. These methods identify principal component loading vectors that explain as much variability in the observed data as possible, while also ensuring the corresponding principal component scores can be predicted accurately by means of spatial statistics at locations where air pollution measurements are not available. This will make it possible to identify important mixtures of air pollutants and to quantify their health effects in cohort studies, where currently available methods cannot be used. We demonstrate the…
We present a sparse analogue to stochastic gradient descent that is guaranteed to perform well under similar conditions to the lasso. In the linear regression setup with irrepresentable noise features, our algorithm recovers the support set of the optimal parameter vector with high probability, and achieves a statistically quasi-optimal rate of convergence of Op(k log(d)/T), where k is the sparsity of the solution, d is the number of features, and T is the number of training examples. Meanwhile, our algorithm does not require any more computational resources than stochastic gradient descent. I…
Gene expression levels in a population vary extensively across tissues. Such heterogeneity is caused by genetic variability and environmental factors, and is expected to be linked to disease development. The abundance of experimental data now enables the identification of features of gene expression profiles that are shared across tissues, and those that are tissue-specific. While most current research is concerned with characterising differential expression by comparing mean expression profiles across tissues, it is also believed that a significant difference in a gene expression's variance a…
LLmFPCA-detect: LLM-powered Multivariate Functional PCA for Anomaly Detection in Sparse Longitudinal Texts
H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology（乔治亚理工学院H.Milton Stewart工业与系统工程学院）；AT&T Chief Data Office（AT&T首席数据办公室）；Department of Data Sciences and Operations, Marshall School of Business, University of Southern California（南加州大学马歇尔商学院数据科学与运营学院）
Most of the existing methods for sparse signal recovery assume a static system: the unknown signal is a finite-length vector for which a fixed set of linear measurements and a sparse representation basis are available and an L1-norm minimization program is solved for the reconstruction. However, the same representation and reconstruction framework is not readily applicable in a streaming system: the unknown signal changes over time, and it is measured and reconstructed sequentially over small time intervals. In this paper, we discuss two such streaming systems and a homotopy-based algorithm fo…
Contingency table analysis routinely relies on log linear models, with latent structure analysis providing a common alternative. Latent structure models lead to a low rank tensor factorization of the probability mass function for multivariate categorical data, while log linear models achieve dimensionality reduction through sparsity. Little is known about the relationship between these notions of dimensionality reduction in the two paradigms. We derive several results relating the support of a log-linear model to the nonnegative rank of the associated probability tensor. Motivated by these fin…
We present a new method for estimating multivariate, second-order stationary Gaussian Random Field (GRF) models based on the Sparse Precision matrix Selection (SPS) algorithm, proposed by Davanloo et al. (2015) for estimating scalar GRF models. Theoretical convergence rates for the estimated between-response covariance matrix and for the estimated parameters of the underlying spatial correlation function are established. Numerical tests using simulated and real datasets validate our theoretical findings. Data segmentation is used to handle large data sets.
We propose a nonparametric method for detecting nonlinear causal relationship within a set of multidimensional discrete time series, by using sparse additive models (SpAMs). We show that, when the input to the SpAM is a $β$-mixing time series, the model can be fitted by first approximating each unknown function with a linear combination of a set of B-spline bases, and then solving a group-lasso-type optimization problem with nonconvex regularization. Theoretically, we characterize the oracle statistical properties of the proposed sparse estimator in function estimation and model selection. Num…
In this paper we consider sparse and identifiable linear latent variable (factor) and linear Bayesian network models for parsimonious analysis of multivariate data. We propose a computationally efficient method for joint parameter and model inference, and model comparison. It consists of a fully Bayesian hierarchy for sparse models using slab and spike priors (two-component delta-function and continuous mixtures), non-Gaussian latent factors and a stochastic search over the ordering of the variables. The framework, which we call SLIM (Sparse Linear Identifiable Multivariate modeling), is valid…
We address the problem of prediction of multivariate data process using an underlying graph model. We develop a method that learns a sparse partial correlation graph in a tuning-free and computationally efficient manner. Specifically, the graph structure is learned recursively without the need for cross-validation or parameter tuning by building upon a hyperparameter-free framework. Our approach does not require the graph to be undirected and also accommodates varying noise levels across different nodes.Experiments using real-world datasets show that the proposed method offers significant perf…
Extremes play a special role in Anomaly Detection. Beyond inference and simulation purposes, probabilistic tools borrowed from Extreme Value Theory (EVT), such as the angular measure, can also be used to design novel statistical learning methods for Anomaly Detection/ranking. This paper proposes a new algorithm based on multivariate EVT to learn how to rank observations in a high dimensional space with respect to their degree of 'abnormality'. The procedure relies on an original dimension-reduction technique in the extreme domain that possibly produces a sparse representation of multivariate e…
National Technical University of Athens（雅典国家技术大学）；University of Pennsylvania（宾夕法尼亚大学）
In this work, we study the problem of finding approximate, with minimum support set, solutions to matrix max-plus equations, which we call sparse approximate solutions. We show how one can obtain such solutions efficiently and in polynomial time for any $\ell_p$ approximation error. Based on these results, we propose a novel method for piecewise-linear fitting of convex multivariate functions, with optimality guarantees for the model parameters and an approximately minimum number of affine regions.
Our goal is to estimate causal interactions in multivariate time series. Using vector autoregressive (VAR) models, these can be defined based on non-vanishing coefficients belonging to respective time-lagged instances. As in most cases a parsimonious causality structure is assumed, a promising approach to causal discovery consists in fitting VAR models with an additional sparsity-promoting regularization. Along this line we here propose that sparsity should be enforced for the subgroups of coefficients that belong to each pair of time series, as the absence of a causal relation requires the co…
We consider the problem of unveiling the implicit network structure of node interactions (such as user interactions in a social network), based only on high-frequency timestamps. Our inference is based on the minimization of the least-squares loss associated with a multivariate Hawkes model, penalized by $\ell_1$ and trace norm of the interaction tensor. We provide a first theoretical analysis for this problem, that includes sparsity and low-rank inducing penalizations. This result involves a new data-driven concentration inequality for matrix martingales in continuous time with observable var…
We consider the problem of multivariate regression in a setting where the relevant predictors could be shared among different responses. We propose an algorithm which decomposes the coefficient matrix into the product of a long matrix and a wide matrix, with an elastic net penalty on the former and an $\ell_1$ penalty on the latter. The first matrix linearly transforms the predictors to a set of latent factors, and the second one regresses the responses on these factors. Our algorithm simultaneously performs dimension reduction and coefficient estimation and automatically estimates the number …
Linear Dynamical System (LDS) is an elegant mathematical framework for modeling and learning multivariate time series. However, in general, it is difficult to set the dimension of its hidden state space. A small number of hidden states may not be able to model the complexities of a time series, while a large number of hidden states can lead to overfitting. In this paper, we study methods that impose an $\ell_1$ regularization on the transition matrix of an LDS model to alleviate the problem of choosing the optimal number of hidden states. We incorporate a generalized gradient descent method in…
In recent years, there has been a growing interest in identifying anomalous structure within multivariate data streams. We consider the problem of detecting collective anomalies, corresponding to intervals where one or more of the data streams behaves anomalously. We first develop a test for a single collective anomaly that has power to simultaneously detect anomalies that are either rare, that is affecting few data streams, or common. We then show how to detect multiple anomalies in a way that is computationally efficient but avoids the approximations inherent in binary segmentation-like appr…
A least-squares method for sparse low rank approximation of multivariate functions
Ecole Centrale Nantes, Université de Nantes, GeM UMR CNRS 6183（南特中央理工学院，南特大学，GeM UMR CNRS 6183）；Department of Applied Mathematics and Modeling, Airbus Group（空中客车集团应用数学与建模系）
Forecasting on sparse multivariate time series (MTS) aims to model the predictors of future values of time series given their incomplete past, which is important for many emerging applications. However, most existing methods process MTS's individually, and do not leverage the dynamic distributions underlying the MTS's, leading to sub-optimal results when the sparsity is high. To address this challenge, we propose a novel generative model, which tracks the transition of latent clusters, instead of isolated feature representations, to achieve robust modeling. It is characterized by a newly desig…
Sparse pseudo-point approximations for Gaussian process (GP) models provide a suite of methods that support deployment of GPs in the large data regime and enable analytic intractabilities to be sidestepped. However, the field lacks a principled method to handle streaming data in which both the posterior distribution over function values and the hyperparameter estimates are updated in an online fashion. The small number of existing approaches either use suboptimal hand-crafted heuristics for hyperparameter learning, or suffer from catastrophic forgetting or slow updating when new data arrive. T…
Datasets with hundreds of variables and many missing values are commonplace. In this setting, it is both statistically and computationally challenging to detect true predictive relationships between variables and also to suppress false positives. This paper proposes an approach that combines probabilistic programming, information theory, and non-parametric Bayes. It shows how to use Bayesian non-parametric modeling to (i) build an ensemble of joint probability models for all the variables; (ii) efficiently detect marginal independencies; and (iii) estimate the conditional mutual information be…
George Mason University（乔治梅森大学）；Baidu Research（百度研究院）；U.S. Census Bureau（美国人口普查局）
A tacit assumption in linear regression is that (response, predictor)-pairs correspond to identical observational units. A series of recent works have studied scenarios in which this assumption is violated under terms such as ``Unlabeled Sensing and ``Regression with Unknown Permutation''. In this paper, we study the setup of multiple response variables and a notion of mismatches that generalizes permutations in order to allow for missing matches as well as for one-to-many matches. A two-stage method is proposed under the assumption that most pairs are correctly matched. In the first stage, th…
Batteryless or so called passive wearables are providing new and innovative methods for human activity recognition (HAR), especially in healthcare applications for older people. Passive sensors are low cost, lightweight, unobtrusive and desirably disposable; attractive attributes for healthcare applications in hospitals and nursing homes. Despite the compelling propositions for sensing applications, the data streams from these sensors are characterised by high sparsity---the time intervals between sensor readings are irregular while the number of readings per unit time are often limited. In th…
We consider the problem of modeling multivariate time series with parsimonious dynamical models which can be represented as sparse dynamic Bayesian networks with few latent nodes. This structure translates into a sparse plus low rank model. In this paper, we propose a Gaussian regression approach to identify such a model.
Many events occur in the world. Some event types are stochastically excited or inhibited---in the sense of having their probabilities elevated or decreased---by patterns in the sequence of previous events. Discovering such patterns can help us predict which type of event will happen next and when. We model streams of discrete events in continuous time, by constructing a neurally self-modulating multivariate point process in which the intensities of multiple event types evolve according to a novel continuous-time LSTM. This generative model allows past events to influence the future in complex …
High-dimensional streaming data are becoming increasingly ubiquitous in many fields. They often lie in multiple low-dimensional subspaces, and the manifold structures may change abruptly on the time scale due to pattern shift or occurrence of anomalies. However, the problem of detecting the structural changes in a real-time manner has not been well studied. To fill this gap, we propose a dynamic sparse subspace learning approach for online structural change-point detection of high-dimensional streaming data. A novel multiple structural change-point model is proposed and the asymptotic properti…
We consider a decomposition method for compressive streaming data in the context of online compressive Robust Principle Component Analysis (RPCA). The proposed decomposition solves an $n$-$\ell_1$ cluster-weighted minimization to decompose a sequence of frames (or vectors), into sparse and low-rank components, from compressive measurements. Our method processes a data vector of the stream per time instance from a small number of measurements in contrast to conventional batch RPCA, which needs to access full data. The $n$-$\ell_1$ cluster-weighted minimization leverages the sparse components al…
This paper describes a hierarchical learning strategy for generating sparse representations of multivariate datasets. The hierarchy arises from approximation spaces considered at successively finer scales. A detailed analysis of stability, convergence and behavior of error functionals associated with the approximations are presented, along with a well chosen set of applications. Results show the performance of the approach as a data reduction mechanism for both synthetic (univariate and multivariate) and real datasets (geospatial and numerical model outcomes). The sparse representation generat…
Creating maps is an essential task in robotics and provides the basis for effective planning and navigation. In this paper, we learn a compact and continuous implicit surface map of an environment from a stream of range data with known poses. For this, we create and incrementally adjust an ensemble of approximate Gaussian process (GP) experts which are each responsible for a different part of the map. Instead of inserting all arriving data into the GP models, we greedily trade-off between model complexity and prediction error. Our algorithm therefore uses less resources on areas with few geome…
