岩石圈孕震区是一个“开放的物理系统”。它在地震学方面的某些意义。零件- III。地震潜势
The seismogenic area in the lithosphere considered as an "Open Physical System". Its implications on some seismological aspects. Part - III. Seismic Potential
摘要:
任何区域孕震区的地震潜力都是根据“开放物理系统”流入-流出能量平衡模型(Thanassoulas,2008,第一部分)进行分析的。根据Thanassoulas(2008,第二部分)提出的震级确定方法,任何面积范围的任何区域都被假定为潜在的孕震区。因此,在希腊各地的某些时候,在每个虚拟孕震区的最大震级未来EQ的生成能力进行了调查。后者的结果被用来编译地图的地震潜力/最大预期EQ震级为希腊在5年的时间间隔,从1970年到2000年。将这些地震势图/最大预期EQ震级与每个相应5年周期的相应地震活动性(M> 6 R)进行比较,揭示了它们之间的紧密相关性。因此,计算的地震潜势/最大预期EQ震级,由于其在任何孕震区随时间的剧烈变化,是一个动态的时间参数,它表明了每个孕震区的地震能量充电状态。
英文摘要:
The seismic potential of any regional seismogenic area is analyzed in terms of the "open physical system" inflow - outflow energy balance model (Thanassoulas, 2008, Part - I). Following the magnitude determination method presented by Thanassoulas, (2008, Part - II) any region of any arbitrary area extent is assumed as being a potential seismogenic region. Consequently, the capability for the generation of a maximum magnitude future EQ at each virtual seismogenic region is investigated all over Greece at certain times. The later results are used to compile maps of the seismic potential / maximum expected EQ magnitude for Greece at 5 year's intervals ranging from 1970 to 2000. The comparison of these seismic potential maps / maximum expected EQ magnitude to the corresponding seismicity (M>6R) for each corresponding 5 years period reveals their tight interrelation. Therefore, the calculated seismic potential / maximum expected EQ magnitude, due to its drastic change in time in any seismogenic region, is a dynamic in time parameter which indicates the seismic energy charge status of each seismogenic area.
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