岩石圈孕震区是一个“开放的物理系统”。它在地震学方面的某些意义。第一部分。加速变形
The seismogenic area in the lithosphere considered as an "Open Physical System". Its implications on some seismological aspects. Part - I. Accelerated deformation
摘要:
岩石圈孕震区是一个开放的物理系统。通过对其入流-出流能量平衡的数学分析,揭示了特定能流物理模型的存在.后者符合地震学家观察到的“加速变形”和“地震平静”。这些物理模型由低阶累积地震能量释放时间解析多项式函数表示。分析计算的这些函数的时间导数为未来大EQ的发生时间提供了更清晰的指示。从希腊领土上真正的大EQ的应用这种方法的例子。此外,该方法还可用于确定特定地震活跃孕震区未来大EQ的最大预期震级和编制地震潜势区域图。后者将在随后的文章中详细介绍。
英文摘要:
The seismogenic area in the lithosphere is considered as an open physical system. The mathematical analysis of its inflow - outflow energy balance reveals the presence of specific energy flow physical models. The later comply with what has been observed by seismologists as "accelerated deformation" and "seismic quiescence". These physical models are represented by low-order cumulative seismic energy release analytical polynomial functions in time. The time derivatives of these functions, analytically calculated, provide a more sharp indication for the time of occurrence of a future large EQ. Examples from the application of this approach on real large EQs from the Greek territory are presented. Moreover, this methodology can be used for the determination of: the maximum expected magnitude of a future large EQ of a specific seismically activated seismogenic area and the compilation of seismic potential regional maps. The later will be presented in details in articles to follow soon.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。