多元化投票:巴西民主的统计规律
Plurality Voting: the statistical laws of democracy in Brazil
摘要:
本文通过对2004年巴西市长选举结果的调查,探讨了多数票制背后的统计规律。我们的分析表明,同一城市的市长候选人之间的选票分配往往是“两极分化”的两个候选人之间,这一现象可以通过一个简单的碎片化模型密切描述。像“政府连续性”和“有用的选票”这样的复杂概念可以通过我们的方法识别,甚至可以在统计上量化。
英文摘要:
We explore the statistical laws behind the plurality voting system by investigating the election results for mayor held in Brazil in 2004. Our analysis indicate that the vote partition among mayor candidates of the same city tends to be "polarized" between two candidates, a phenomenon that can be closely described by means of a simple fragmentation model. Complex concepts like "government continuity" and "useful vote" can be identified and even statistically quantified through our approach.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。