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arXiv physics/0402112physics.geo-phphysics.ao-ph
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2002、2003年索非亚地区地磁地震作为短期地震前兆的可靠性

On the Reliability of the Geomagnetic Quake as Short Time Earthquake Precursor for Sofia Region- 2002, 2003

S. Cht. Mavrodiev

摘要:

当地何时发生地震预测是基于地磁地震与下一个即将到来的潮汐重力位最小值或最大值之间的联系。预测地震的概率时间窗口为潮汐最小值约+/-1天,最大值为- +/-2天。根据索非亚地区2002- 2003年发震与预报地震时差的分布,给出了初步的统计估计。建立一个当地地震研究和预测网络的可能性是基于对地球表面之下、之上和之上具有特殊空间和时间尺度的电磁场的准确监测。定期更新来自地震危险图和其他标准大地测量信息以及其他测绘信息的信息至关重要。

英文摘要:

The local when earthquake prediction is based on the connection between geomagnetic quakes and the next incoming minimum or maximum of tidal gravitational potential. The probability time window for the predicted earthquake is for the tidal minimum approximately +/-1 day and for the maximum- +/-2 days. The preliminary statistic estimation on the basis of distribution of the time difference between occurred and predicted earthquakes for the period 2002- 2003 for Sofia region is given. The possibility for creating a local when, where earthquake research and prediction NETWORK is based on the accurate monitoring of the electromagnetic field with special space and time scales under, on and over the Earth surface. The periodically upgraded information from seismic hazard maps and other standard geodetic information as well as other precursory information is essential.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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