基于日本INTERMAGNET台站、NEIC、NOAA和潮汐码数据分析的地震预报
Imminent earthquake forecasting on the basis of Japan INTERMAGNET stations, NEIC, NOAA and Tide code data analysis
摘要：
本研究提出了一种可能的方法，通过解决反问题，使用数据采集网络系统的监测，存档和复杂的分析地球物理变量的前兆地震震级，深度和震中坐标的临震预测。在许多可能的前兆中，最可靠的是地球电磁场、钻孔水位、氡表面浓度、局部热流、电离层变量、低频大气和地核波。在这项研究中，只使用地磁数据。在地磁地震方法的框架内，利用一个新的具有维面能量密度的变量Schtm，在对地磁资料进行简单分析的基础上，进行区域性地震活动性的临震预报是可能的。这样的分析Memambetsu，Kakioka，Kanoya（日本，INTERMAGNET）台站和NEIC地震数据，假设预测的地震是具有最大值的变量Schtm允许制定一个反问题（超定代数系统）的前兆信号，如地震震级，深度和距离监测点的函数。因此，在数据采集网络系统存在的情况下，其中包括监测一个以上的可靠的前兆变量，在至少四个点分布在半径达700公里的区域内，将有足够的代数方程计算临震震级，深度和距离，解决超定代数系统。
英文摘要：
This research presents one possible way for imminent prediction of earthquake magnitude, depth and epicenter coordinates by solving the inverse problem using a data acquisition network system for monitoring, archiving and complex analysis of geophysical variables precursors. Among many possible precursors the most reliable are the geoelectromagnetic field, the boreholes water level, the radon surface concentration, the local heat flow, the ionosphere variables, the low frequency atmosphere and Earth core waves. In this study only geomagnetic data are used. Within the framework of geomagnetic quake approach it is possible to perform an imminent regional seismic activity forecasting on the basis of simple analysis of geomagnetic data which use a new variable Schtm with dimension surface density of energy. Such analysis of Memambetsu, Kakioka, Kanoya (Japan, INTERMAGNET) stations and NEIC earthquakes data, the hypothesis that the predicted earthquake is this with bigest value of the variable Schtm permit to formulate an inverse problem (overdetermined algebraic system) for precursors signals like a functions of earthquake magnitude, depth and distance from a monitoring point. Thus, in the case of data acquisition network system existence, which includes monitoring of more than one reliable precursor variables in at least four points distributed within the area with a radius of up to 700 km, there will be enough algebraic equations for calculation of impending earthquake magnitude, depth and distance, solving the overdetermined algebraic system.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
