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arXiv math/0609021math.STstat.TH
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竞争风险的当前状态数据:MLE的分布受限

Current status data with competing risks: Limiting distribution of the MLE

Piet Groeneboom, Marloes H. Maathuis, Jon A. Wellner

摘要:

研究了具有竞争风险的当前状态数据的非参数估计问题。我们的主要兴趣是在非参数的最大似然估计(MLE),为了比较,我们还考虑了一个更简单的``天真估计。Groeneboom,Maathuis和Wellner [Ann. Statistist.(2008)36 1031--1063]证明了这两种类型的估计量以速率$n^{1/3}$全局收敛和局部收敛。我们利用这些结果来推导估计量的局部极限分布。朴素估计的极限分布由带抛物漂移的相关布朗运动过程的凸次量的斜率给出。MLE的极限分布涉及一个新的自诱导极限过程。最后,我们提出了一个模拟研究表明,极大似然估计优于朴素估计的均方误差,无论是小样本量和渐近。

英文摘要:

We study nonparametric estimation for current status data with competing risks. Our main interest is in the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), and for comparison we also consider a simpler ``naive estimator.'' Groeneboom, Maathuis and Wellner [Ann. Statist. (2008) 36 1031--1063] proved that both types of estimators converge globally and locally at rate $n^{1/3}$. We use these results to derive the local limiting distributions of the estimators. The limiting distribution of the naive estimator is given by the slopes of the convex minorants of correlated Brownian motion processes with parabolic drifts. The limiting distribution of the MLE involves a new self-induced limiting process. Finally, we present a simulation study showing that the MLE is superior to the naive estimator in terms of mean squared error, both for small sample sizes and asymptotically.

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