David Maher
We reprove a result concerning certain ruin in the classical problem of the probability of ruin with risky investments and several of it's generalisations. We also provide the combined transition density of the risk and investment processes in the diffusion case.
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We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company combines the life- and non-life insurance businesses and invests its reserve into a risky asset with stochastic volatility and drift driven by a two-state Markov process. Using the technique of the implicit renewal theory we obtain the rate of convergence to zero of the ruin probabilities.
In this paper we study the asymptotic decay of finite time ruin probabilities for an insurance company that faces heavy-tailed claims, uses predictable investment strategies and makes investments in risky assets whose prices evolve according to quite general semimartingales. We show that the ruin problem corresponds to determining hitting probabilities for the solution to a randomly perturbed stochastic integral equation. We derive a large deviation result for the hitting probabilities that holds uniformly over a family of semimartingales and show that this result gives the asymptotic decay of…
We investigate the asymptotic of ruin probabilities when the company invests its reserve in a risky asset with a switching regime price. We assume that the asset price is a conditional geometric Brownian motion with parameters modulated by a Markov process with a finite number of states. Using the technique of the implicit renewal theory we obtain the rate of convergence to zero of the ruin probabilities as the initial capital tends to infinity.
On the Application of Laplace Transform to the Ruin Problem with Random Insurance Payments and Investments in a Risky Asset
本文应用 Laplace 变换研究了具有随机保费和风险资产投资的破产问题，分析了大初始资本下破产概率的渐近行为。
In this paper, we study the ruin problem with investment in a general framework where the business part X is a L{é}vy process and the return on investment R is a semimartingale. We obtain upper bounds on the finite and infinite time ruin probabilities that decrease as a power function when the initial capital increases. When R is a L{é}vy process, we retrieve the well-known results. Then, we show that these bounds are asymptotically optimal in the finite time case, under some simple conditions on the characteristics of X. Finally, we obtain a condition for ruin with probability one when X is a…
We consider a generalization of the classical risk model when the premium intensity depends on the current surplus of an insurance company. All surplus is invested in the risky asset, the price of which follows a geometric Brownian motion. We get an exponential bound for the infinite-horizon ruin probability. To this end, we allow the surplus process to explode and investigate the question concerning the probability of explosion of the surplus process between claim arrivals.
We consider an insurance company in the case when the premium rate is a bounded non-negative random function $c_\zs{t}$ and the capital of the insurance company is invested in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion with mean return $a$ and volatility $σ>0$. If $β:=2a/σ^2-1>0$ we find exact the asymptotic upper and lower bounds for the ruin probability $Ψ(u)$ as the initial endowment $u$ tends to infinity, i.e. we show that $C_*u^{-β}\leΨ(u)\le C^*u^{-β}$ for sufficiently large $u$. Moreover if $c_\zs{t}=c^*e^{γt}$ with $γ\le 0$ we find the exact asymptotics of the ruin p…
This survey treats the problem of ruin in a risk model when assets earn investment income. In addition to a general presentation of the problem, topics covered are a presentation of the relevant integro-differential equations, exact and numerical solutions, asymptotic results, bounds on the ruin probability and also the possibility of minimizing the ruin probability by investment and possibly reinsurance control. The main emphasis is on continuous time models, but discrete time models are also covered. A fairly extensive list of references is provided, particularly of papers published after 19…
We study the asymptotic behavior of ruin probabilities, as the initial reserve goes to infinity, for a reserve process model where claims arrive according to a renewal process, while between the claim times the process has the dynamics of geometric Brownian motion-type Itô processes with time-dependent random coefficients. These coefficients are ``reset" after each claim time, switching to new values independent of the past history of the process. We use the implicit renewal theory to obtain power-function bounds for the eventual ruin probability. In the special case when the random drift and …
We investigate models of the life annuity insurance when the company invests its reserve into a risky asset with price following a geometric Brownian motion. Our main result is an exact asymptotic of the ruin probabilities for the case of exponentially distributed benefits. As in the case of non-life insurance with exponential claims, the ruin probabilities are either decreasing with a rate given by a power function (the case of small volatility) or equal to unit identically (the case of large volatility). The result allows us to quantify the share of reserve to invest into such a risky asset …
Exact solution of the ruin problem in the Cramér--Lundberg model with proportional investment
本文通过将生存概率的积分微分方程转化为双曲Heun方程，得到破产概率的显式解，并进行了投资比例的定性分析。
Distributional equations and the ruin problem for the Sparre Andersen model with investments
本文基于Sparre Andersen模型的投资问题，利用隐含再生理论方法补充了Eberlein等人关于破产概率渐进行为的研究结果。
Ruin probabilities with investments in random environment: smoothness
本文研究了保险公司在依赖Markov过程的随机经济环境下投资风险资产的破产问题，证明了破产概率关于初始资本的平滑性，并推导出相应的积分微分方程。
Ruin Probabilities for a Sparre Andersen Model with Investments: the Case of Annuity Payments
本文扩展了Eberlein等人关于Sparre Andersen非寿险模型破产概率渐近行为的研究，考虑年金支付和双侧跳跃模型。
Ruin problems with investments on a finite interval: PIDEs and their viscosity solutions
本文研究保险公司将储备投资于几何Lévy过程驱动的风险资产时的破产问题，将破产概率视为资本储备的函数，导出了在粘性意义下成立的偏积分微分方程，并证明了相应边值问题粘性解的唯一性。
We study a Sparre Andersen model in which the business activity of the company is described by a compound renewal process with drift assuming that the capital reserves are invested in a risky asset. The price of the latter is assumed to evolve according to a geometric Lévy process. We prove that the asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability depends to a large extent only on the properties of the price process.
In this paper, we discuss the Cramér-Lundberg model with investments, where the price of the invested risk asset follows a geometric Brownian motion with drift $a$ and volatility $σ> 0.$ By assuming there is a cap on the claim sizes, we prove that the probability of ruin has at least an algebraic decay rate if $2a/σ^2 > 1$. More importantly, without this assumption, we show that the probability of ruin is certain for all initial capital $u$, if $2a/σ^2 \le 1$.
The study deals with the ruin problem when an insurance company having two business branches, life insurance and non-life insurance, invests its reserve into a risky asset with the price dynamics given by a geometric Brownian motion. We prove a result on smoothness of the ruin probability as a function of the initial capital and obtain for it an integro-differential equation understood in the classical sense. For the case of exponentially distributed jumps we show that the survival probability is a solution of an ordinary differential equation of the 4th order. Asymptotic analysis of the latte…
We determine the optimal investment strategy of an individual who targets a given rate of consumption and who seeks to minimize the probability of going bankrupt before she dies, also known as {\it lifetime ruin}. We impose two types of borrowing constraints: First, we do not allow the individual to borrow money to invest in the risky asset nor to sell the risky asset short. However, the latter is not a real restriction because in the unconstrained case, the individual does not sell the risky asset short. Second, we allow the individual to borrow money but only at a rate that is higher than th…
On the integro-differential equation arising in the ruin problem for annuity payment models
本文研究了年金支付模型中破产问题，通过二阶积分微分方程分析破产概率的衰减特性。
We find the minimum probability of lifetime ruin of an investor who can invest in a market with a risky and a riskless asset and can purchase a deferred annuity. Although we let the admissible set of strategies of annuity purchasing process to be increasing adapted processes, we find that the individual will not buy a deferred life annuity unless she can cover all her consumption via the annuity and have enough wealth left over to sustain her until the end of the deferral period.
Minimizing the Probability of Lifetime Ruin under Stochastic Volatility
针对随机波动市场，采用随机最优控制方法，求解最小化破产概率的最优投资策略。
We study the asymptotic of the ruin probability for a process which is the solution of linear SDE defined by a pair of independent Lévy processes. Our main interest is the model describing the evolution of the capital reserve of an insurance company selling annuities and investing in a risky asset. Let $β>0$ be the root of the cumulant-generating function $H$ of the increment of the log price process $V$. We show that the ruin probability admits the exact asymptotic $Cu^{-β}$ as the initial capital $u\to\infty$ assuming only that the law of $V_T$ is non-arithmetic without any further assumptio…
We show that the mutual fund theorems of Merton (1971) extend to the problem of optimal investment to minimize the probability of lifetime ruin. We obtain two such theorems by considering a financial market both with and without a riskless asset for random consumption. The striking result is that we obtain two-fund theorems despite the additional source of randomness from consumption.
We study a risk sensitive control version of the lifetime ruin probability problem. We consider a sequence of investments problems in Black-Scholes market that includes a risky asset and a riskless asset. We present a differential game that governs the limit behavior. We solve it explicitly and use it in order to find an asymptotically optimal policy.
We apply stochastic Perron's method to a singular control problem where an individual targets at a given consumption rate, invests in a risky financial market in which trading is subject to proportional transaction costs, and seeks to minimize her probability of lifetime ruin. Without relying on the dynamic programming principle (DPP), we characterize the value function as the unique viscosity solution of an associated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) variational inequality. We also provide a complete proof of the comparison principle which is the main assumption of stochastic Perron's method.
We find the optimal investment strategy to minimize the expected time that an individual's wealth stays below zero, the so-called {\it occupation time}. The individual consumes at a constant rate and invests in a Black-Scholes financial market consisting of one riskless and one risky asset, with the risky asset's price process following a geometric Brownian motion. We also consider an extension of this problem by penalizing the occupation time for the degree to which wealth is negative.
We consider an insurance company whose surplus is represented by the classical Cramer-Lundberg process. The company can invest its surplus in a risk free asset and in a risky asset, governed by the Black-Scholes equation. There is a constraint that the insurance company can only invest in the risky asset at a limited leveraging level; more precisely, when purchasing, the ratio of the investment amount in the risky asset to the surplus level is no more than a; and when shortselling, the proportion of the proceeds from the short-selling to the surplus level is no more than b. The objective is to…
We study optimal investment problem for a diffusion market consisting of a finite number of risky assets (for example, bonds, stocks and options). Risky assets evolution is described by Ito's equation, and the number of risky assets can be larger than the number of driving Brownian motions. We assume that the risk-free rate, the appreciation rates and the volatility of the stocks are all random; they are not necessary adapted to the driving Brownian motion, and their distributions are unknown, but they are supposed to be currently observable. Admissible strategies are based on current observat…
We determine the optimal robust investment strategy of an individual who targets at a given rate of consumption and seeks to minimize the probability of lifetime ruin when she does not have perfect confidence in the drift of the risky asset. Using stochastic control, we characterize the value function as the unique classical solution of an associated Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation, obtain feedback forms for the optimal investment and drift distortion, and discuss their dependence on various model parameters. In analyzing the HJB equation, we establish the existence and uniqueness of vi…
Exact asymptotics of the ruin probability in the Sparre Andersen model
针对任意Lévy过程投资的Sparre Andersen非寿险模型，证明了破产概率的精确幂律渐近性Ψ(u)∼C^* u^{-β}，其中指数β为描述风险资产价格对数的Lévy过程Laplace指数的Cramér根。
In this paper, we build on the techniques developed in Albrecher et al. (2013), to generate initial-boundary value problems for ruin probabilities of surplus-dependent premium risk processes, under a renewal case scenario, Erlang (2) claim arrivals, and an exponential claims scenario, Erlang (2) claim sizes. Applying the approximation theory of solutions of linear ordinary differential equations developed in Fedoryuk (1993), we derive the asymptotics of the ruin probabilities when the initial reserve tends to infinity. When considering premiums that are {\it linearly} dependent on reserves, re…
We provide investment advice for an individual who wishes to minimize her lifetime poverty, with a penalty for bankruptcy or ruin. We measure poverty via a non-negative, non-increasing function of (running) wealth. Thus, the lower wealth falls and the longer wealth stays low, the greater the penalty. This paper generalizes the problems of minimizing the probability of lifetime ruin and minimizing expected lifetime occupation, with the poverty function serving as a bridge between the two. To illustrate our model, we compute the optimal investment strategies for a specific poverty function and t…
Viscosity solutions of the integro-differential equation for the Cramér--Lundberg model with annuity payments and investments
本文研究Cramér-Lundberg模型中粘度解的存在性与正则性，证明其为经典解。
Smoothness of the Value Function for Optimal Consumption Model with Consumption-Wealth Utility and Borrowing Constraint
针对含消费-财富效用与一般借贷约束的最优消费-投资问题，证明价值函数二阶光滑、给出反馈型最优策略，并确定固定上限情形下约束生效的内生财富阈值。
In this paper we consider a pairs trading financial market with the spread of risky assets defined by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process. We implement an optimal strategy for power utility functions for investment/consumption problem. Through the Feynman-Kac (FK) method, we study the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation for this problem. Moreover, the existence and uniqueness has been shown for classical solution for the HJB equation. In addition, the numeric approximation for the solution of the HJB equation has been studied and the convergence rate has been established and it is been foun…
Motivated by optimal investment problems in mathematical finance, we consider a variational problem of Neyman-Pearson type for law-invariant robust utility functionals and convex risk measures. Explicit solutions are found for quantile-based coherent risk measures and related utility functionals. Typically, these solutions exhibit a critical phenomenon: If the capital constraint is below some critical value, then the solution will coincide with a classical solution; above this critical value, the solution is a superposition of a classical solution and a less risky or even risk-free investment.…
In these notes, we present some methods and applications of large deviations to finance and insurance. We begin with the classical ruin problem related to the Cramer's theorem and give en extension to an insurance model with investment in stock market. We then describe how large deviation approximation and importance sampling are used in rare event simulation for option pricing. We finally focus on large deviations methods in risk management for the estimation of large portfolio losses in credit risk and portfolio performance in market investment.
Optimal Selling of Defaultable Assets using the Distribution Builder
该研究针对带破产风险的违约资产出售问题，基于分布构建器方法，通过扩展Skorokhod嵌入问题的结果，构建两类优化问题求解最优出售策略并验证解的性质。
We consider an illiquid financial market with different regimes modeled by a continuous-time finite-state Markov chain. The investor can trade a stock only at the discrete arrival times of a Cox process with intensity depending on the market regime. Moreover, the risky asset price is subject to liquidity shocks, which change its rate of return and volatility, and induce jumps on its dynamics. In this setting, we study the problem of an economic agent optimizing her expected utility from consumption under a non-bankruptcy constraint. By using the dynamic programming method, we provide the chara…
We consider a utility-maximization problem in a general semimartingale financial model, subject to constraints on the number of shares held in each risky asset. These constraints are modeled by predictable convex-set-valued processes whose values do not necessarily contain the origin; that is, it may be inadmissible for an investor to hold no risky investment at all. Such a setup subsumes the classical constrained utility-maximization problem, as well as the problem where illiquid assets or a random endowment are present. Our main result establishes the existence of optimal trading strategies …
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