传染病传播的形状定理
A shape theorem for the spread of an infection
摘要:
我们考虑以下相互作用粒子系统:有一个“气体”的粒子,其中每个执行一个连续的时间简单的随机游动的d维晶格。这些粒子被称为A粒子,它们相互独立地运动。我们假设系统开始时每个格点x上有一个泊松数的粒子,不同x的i.i.d.上的粒子数。此外,还有有限个B粒子,它们可以像A粒子一样进行连续时间的简单随机游动。A粒子和B粒子分别被解释为健康或受感染的个体。B粒子彼此独立运动。唯一的相互作用是,当B粒子和A粒子重合时,后者瞬间变成B粒子。设B(t)是B粒子在[0,t]期间访问的站点的集合。我们证明了B(t)随时间线性增长并具有渐近形状;更确切地说,存在一个非随机凸紧集B_0,使得几乎必然地,对所有0 < a <1,(1-a)tB_0包含在B(t)中,并且B(t)最终包含在(1+a)tB_0中。
英文摘要:
We consider the following interacting particle system: There is a ``gas'' of particles, each of which performs a continuous time simple random walk on the d-dimensional lattice. These particles are called A-particles and move independently of each other. We assume that we start the system with a Poisson number of particles at each lattice site x, with the number of particles at different x's i.i.d. In addition, there are a finite number of B-particles which perform the same continuous time simple random walks as the A-particles. A- and B-particles are interpreted as individuals who are healthy or infected, respectively. The B-particles move independently of each other. The only interaction is that when a B-particle and an A-particle coincide, the latter instantaneously turns into a B-particle. Let B(t) be the set of sites visited by a B-particle during [0,t]. We show that B(t) grows linearly in time and has an asymptotic shape; more precisely, there exists a non-random convex, compact set B_0 such that almost surely, for all 0 < a <1, (1-a)tB_0 is contained in B(t) and B(t) is contained in (1+a)tB_0 eventually.
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