Shapley values have become a cornerstone of explainable AI, but they are computationally expensive to use, especially when features are dependent. Evaluating them requires approximating a large number of conditional expectations, either via Monte Carlo integration or regression. Until recently it has not been possible to fully exploit deep learning for the regression approach, because retraining for each conditional expectation takes too long. Tabular foundation models such as TabPFN overcome this computational hurdle by leveraging in-context learning, so each conditional expectation can be approximated without any re-training. In this paper, we compute Shapley values with multiple variants of TabPFN and compare their performance with state-of-the-art methods on both simulated and real datasets. In most cases, TabPFN yields the best performance; where it does not, it is only marginally worse than the best method, at a fraction of the runtime. We discuss further improvements and how tabular foundation models can be better adapted specifically for conditional Shapley value estimation.
RCC-GAN: Regularized Compound Conditional GAN for Large-Scale Tabular Data Synthesis
École de Technologie Supérieure (ÉTS), Université du Québec(魁北克大学高等技术学院);Fédération des Caisses Desjardins du Québec(魁北克德信联合会);University of Windsor(温莎大学)
Tabular Foundation Models Can Learn Association Rules
Amsterdam UMC, location VUmc, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, the Netherlands(阿姆斯特丹大学医学中心,位于VUmc,荷兰代尔夫特自由大学);University of Amsterdam, The Netherlands(阿姆斯特丹大学,荷兰);Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands(荷兰阿姆斯特丹自由大学)
Not All News Is Equal: Topic- and Event-Conditional Sentiment from Finetuned LLMs for Aluminum Price Forecasting
International Business School, Zhejiang University(浙江大学国际商学院);Center for Data Science, Zhejiang University(浙江大学数据科学中心);Centre for Human Genetics, Nuffield Department of Medicine, Oxford University(牛津大学纳菲尔德医学部人类遗传学中心);School of Medicine, Zhejiang University(浙江大学医学院);Bielefeld School of Business, Hochschule Bielefeld (HSBI) - University of Applied Sciences and Arts(比勒费尔德应用科学大学比勒费尔德商学院)
TabResFlow: A Normalizing Spline Flow Model for Probabilistic Univariate Tabular Regression
Information Systems and Machine Learning Lab (ISMLL), University of Hildesheim(信息系统与机器学习实验室(ISMLL)、希尔德斯海姆大学);VWFS Data Analytics Research Center(VWFS数据分析研究中心)