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arXiv 2602.07500math.PR
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关于带有灾难的时变出生-死亡过程

On Time-Changed Birth-Death Processes with Catastrophes

Indian Institute of Technology Bhilai(印度理工学院比莱分校)

Kuldeep Kumar Kataria, Rohini Bhagwanrao Pote

AI总结:

本文研究了带有灾难的时变出生-死亡过程,推导了状态概率的分数微分方程,并探讨了灾难发生时间及驻留时间的分布特性。

摘要:

我们研究了两种带有灾难的出生-死亡过程的时变变体,其中时间变化的组件是稳定子ordinator的第一击中时间以及温度稳定子ordinator。对于这两种过程,我们推导出其状态概率的控制分数微分方程系统。这些状态概率的拉普拉斯变换以不带灾难的相应时变出生-死亡过程的拉普拉斯变换的形式获得。我们获得了灾难发生时间的分布以及非零状态内的驻留时间的分布。我们研究了特定情况下首次访问状态零的时间的分布性质。此外,我们研究了有效灾难首次发生时间。此外,我们研究了带有灾难的时变线性出生-死亡过程,推导出其状态概率、期望和方差的显式表达式。对于特定情况,我们比较了不同参数值下的期望图,并提供了一种用于模拟样本路径的算法,并提供了示意图。

英文摘要:

We study two time-changed variants of the birth-death process with catastrophe where the time-changing components are the first hitting times of the stable subordinator and the tempered stable subordinator. For both the processes, we derive the governing system of fractional differential equations for their state probabilities. The Laplace transforms of these state probabilities are obtained in terms of those of the corresponding time-changed birth-death processes without catastrophes. We obtain the distribution of catastrophe occurrence times as well as the sojourn times within non-zero states. We study distributional properties of the first visit time to state zero in a particular case. Also, the first occurrence time of an effective catastrophe is studied. Moreover, we study the time-changed linear birth-death processes with catastrophes, derive the explicit expressions for its state probabilities, expectation and variance. For a specific case, we compare the expectation plots across different parameter values and provide an algorithm for simulating sample paths with illustrative plots.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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