Time series forecasting is essential for operational intelligence in the hospitality industry, and particularly challenging in large-scale, distributed systems. This study evaluates the performance of statistical, machine learning (ML), deep learning, and foundation models in forecasting hourly sales over a 14-day horizon using real-world data from a network of thousands of restaurants across Germany. The forecasting solution includes features such as weather conditions, calendar events, and time-of-day patterns. Results demonstrate the strong performance of ML-based meta-models and highlight the emerging potential of foundation models like Chronos and TimesFM, which deliver competitive performance with minimal feature engineering, leveraging only the pre-trained model (zero-shot inference). Additionally, a hybrid PySpark-Pandas approach proves to be a robust solution for achieving horizontal scalability in large-scale deployments.
Job-SDF: A Multi-Granularity Dataset for Job Skill Demand Forecasting and Benchmarking
University of Science and Technology of China(中国科学技术大学);Computer Network Information Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences(中国科学院计算机网络信息中心);Baidu Inc.(百度公司);Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Beihang University(北京航空航天大学人工智能研究院);AI Thrust, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)(香港科技大学(广州)AI 分支)
Exploring Progress in Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: Comprehensive Benchmarking and Heterogeneity Analysis
Institute of Computing Technology, CAS(中国科学院计算技术研究所);University of Chinese Academy of Sciences(中国科学院大学);School of Computer Science and Technology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology(华中科技大学计算机科学与技术学院);Tsinghua University(清华大学);School of Computer Science and Engineering, The University of New South Wales(新南威尔士大学计算机科学与工程学院);School of Computer Science and Engineering, Nanyang Technological University(南洋理工大学计算机科学与工程学院);Department of Computer Science, Aalborg University(奥尔堡大学计算机科学系)
Lag-Llama: Towards Foundation Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting
Morgan Stanley(摩根士丹利);ServiceNow Research(ServiceNow 研究院);Université de Montréal(蒙特利尔大学);Mila-Quebec AI Institute(米拉-魁北克人工智能研究所);McGill University(麦吉尔大学)
QKCV Attention: Enhancing Time Series Forecasting with Static Categorical Embeddings for Both Lightweight and Pre-trained Foundation Models
Independent Researcher(独立研究者);Key Laboratory of Brain-Machine Intelligence for Information Behavior (Ministry of Education and Shanghai)(信息行为脑机智能关键实验室);School of Business and Management(商学院)
RealBench: Benchmarking Data-Driven Numerical Weather Forecasting Under Operational Conditions and Extreme Event Challenges
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology(香港科学与技术大学);Nanjing University(南京大学);Southern University of Science and Technology(南方科技大学);Shanghai AI Laboratory(上海人工智能实验室);Shanghai TechWind Technology Co., Ltd.(上海技风科技有限公司)
Navigating Out-of-Distribution Electricity Load Forecasting during COVID-19: Benchmarking energy load forecasting models without and with continual learning
University of New South Wales(新南威尔士大学);CSIRO(联邦科学与工业研究组织)
Distilling Time Series Foundation Models for Efficient Forecasting
The City College of New York, City University of New York, USA(纽约城市学院,纽约城市大学);Institute of Computing Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China(中国科学院计算技术研究所);Stevens Institute of Technology, USA(史蒂文斯理工学院)
Benchmarking Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting Models on Neural Activity
Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Washington(应用数学系,华盛顿大学);Department of Neurobiology and Biophysics, University of Washington(神经生物学与生物物理学系,华盛顿大学);Allen Institute for Brain Science(脑科学研究所);Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Washington(电气与计算机工程系,华盛顿大学)
Simple and Robust Forecasting of Spatiotemporally Correlated Small Earth Data with A Tabular Foundation Model
School of Engineering and Technology, China University of Geosciences (Beijing)(工程与技术学院,中国地质大学(北京));School of Geological Engineering and Geomatics, Chang'an University(地质工程与测绘学院,长安大学)
How Foundational are Foundation Models for Time Series Forecasting?
Univ. Rennes(里昂大学);CNRS(法国国家科学研究中心);Inria(法国国家信息与自动化技术研究所);IRISA - UMR 6074(国际信息与自动化研究所);Univ. Grenoble Alpes(格勒诺布尔阿尔卑斯大学);Univ. Savoie Mont Blanc(萨瓦伊-蒙布莱大学);LPNC(实验室);CEA(法国原子能委员会);LIST(法国国家信息与自动化技术研究所)
TimeFound: A Foundation Model for Time Series Forecasting
Baidu Research(百度研究院);University of Science and Technology of China(中国科学技术大学);The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)(香港科技大学(广州))
OpenECG: Benchmarking ECG Foundation Models with Public 1.2 Million Records
The First Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University(南昌大学江西医学院第一附属医院);Nanchang University(南昌大学);Georgia Institution of Technology(佐治亚理工学院)