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arXiv 2502.02433cs.ITcs.GTmath.ITmath.PR

齐次马尔可夫预测博弈的编码理论研究

A coding theoretic study of homogeneous Markovian predictive games

Takara Nomura, Akio Fujiwara

AI总结:

本文研究齐次马尔可夫预测博弈,利用通用编码方案构建投注策略证明博弈论大数定律,并将结果应用于西拉德热力学思维实验。

摘要:

本文研究一种预测博弈,其中预测者基于时间齐次马尔可夫核公布赔率,并为所有有限字符串出现频率建立博弈论大数定律。我们证明的一个关键特点是基于通用编码方案构建的投注策略,该策略受鞅收敛定理和算法随机性理论的启发,不依赖涉及可数多个操作账户的多样化投注方法。我们将这些见解应用于热力学,为利奥·西拉德的思维实验提供了博弈论视角。

英文摘要:

This paper explores a predictive game in which a Forecaster announces odds based on a time-homogeneous Markov kernel, establishing a game-theoretic law of large numbers for the relative frequencies of occurrences of all finite strings. A key feature of our proof is a betting strategy built on a universal coding scheme, inspired by the martingale convergence theorem and algorithmic randomness theory, without relying on a diversified betting approach that involves countably many operating accounts. We apply these insights to thermodynamics, offering a game-theoretic perspective on Leó Szilárd's thought experiment.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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