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arXiv 2410.04028stat.MEstat.AP
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带高维协变量的惩罚稀疏协方差回归

Penalized Sparse Covariance Regression with High Dimensional Covariates

Yuan Gao, Zhiyuan Zhang, Zhanrui Cai, Xuening Zhu, Tao Zou, Hansheng Wang

AI总结:

针对高维预测变量下的协方差回归问题,提出稀疏协方差回归方法,结合Lasso及折叠凹惩罚(SCAD和MCP)进行变量选择与系数估计,推导非渐近误差界并证实神谕性质,经模拟与中国股市数据验证有效。

摘要:

协方差回归提供了一种利用辅助相似性矩阵对大型协方差矩阵进行建模的有效方法。在本研究中,我们提出了一种稀疏协方差回归(SCR)方法来处理潜在的高维预测变量(即相似性矩阵)。具体而言,我们使用惩罚方法来识别信息丰富的预测变量,并同时估计其相关系数。我们首先研究了Lasso估计量,随后考虑了折叠凹惩罚估计方法(如SCAD和MCP)。然而,现有惩罚方法的理论分析主要基于独立同分布(i.i.d.)数据,这并不直接适用于我们的场景。为解决这一困难,我们通过利用协方差矩阵和相似性矩阵的谱性质,建立了非渐近误差界。然后,我们推导了Lasso估计量的估计误差界,并确立了折叠凹惩罚估计量的理想神谕性质。我们进行了广泛的模拟研究以证实我们的理论结果。我们还通过将该方法应用于中国股票市场数据集,展示了其有效性。

英文摘要:

Covariance regression offers an effective way to model the large covariance matrix with the auxiliary similarity matrices. In this work, we propose a sparse covariance regression (SCR) approach to handle the potentially high-dimensional predictors (i.e., similarity matrices). Specifically, we use the penalization method to identify the informative predictors and estimate their associated coefficients simultaneously. We first investigate the Lasso estimator and subsequently consider the folded concave penalized estimation methods (e.g., SCAD and MCP). However, the theoretical analysis of the existing penalization methods is primarily based on i.i.d. data, which is not directly applicable to our scenario. To address this difficulty, we establish the non-asymptotic error bounds by exploiting the spectral properties of the covariance matrix and similarity matrices. Then, we derive the estimation error bound for the Lasso estimator and establish the desirable oracle property of the folded concave penalized estimator. Extensive simulation studies are conducted to corroborate our theoretical results. We also illustrate the usefulness of the proposed method by applying it to a Chinese stock market dataset.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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