This study proposes a BSDE approach to the long-term decomposition of pricing kernels under the G-expectation framework. We establish the existence, uniqueness, and regularity of solutions to three types of quadratic G-BSDEs: finite-horizon G-BSDEs, infinite-horizon G-BSDEs, and ergodic G-BSDEs. Moreover, we explore the Feynman--Kac formula associated with these three types of quadratic G-BSDEs. Using these results, a pricing kernel is uniquely decomposed into four components: an exponential discounting component, a transitory component, a symmetric G-martingale, and a decreasing component that captures the volatility uncertainty of the G-Brownian motion. Furthermore, these components are represented through the solution to a second-order PDE. This study extends previous findings obtained under a single fixed probability framework to the G-expectation context.
Our previous results are extended to the case of the margin account, which may depend on the contract's value for the hedger and/or the counterparty. The present work generalizes also the papers by Bergman (1995), Mercurio (2013) and Piterbarg (2010). Using the comparison theorems for BSDEs, we derive inequalities for the unilateral prices and we give the range for its fair bilateral prices. We also establish results yielding the link to the market model with a single interest rate. In the case where the collateral amount is negotiated between the counterparties, so that it depends on their re…
In this paper we investigate the pricing problem of a pure endowment contract when the insurer has a limited information on the mortality intensity of the policyholder. The payoff of this kind of policies depends on the residual life time of the insured as well as the trend of a portfolio traded in the financial market, where investments in a riskless asset, a risky asset and a longevity bond are allowed. We propose a modeling framework that takes into account mutual dependence between the financial and the insurance markets via an observable stochastic process, which affects the risky asset a…
The goal is to re-examine and extend the findings from the recent paper by Dumitrescu, Quenez and Sulem (2017) who studied game options within the nonlinear arbitrage-free pricing approach developed in El Karoui and Quenez (1997). We consider the setup introduced in Kim, Nie and Rutkowski (2018) where contracts of an American style were examined. We give a detailed study of unilateral pricing, hedging and exercising problems for the counterparties within a general nonlinear setup. We also present a BSDE approach, which is used to obtain more explicit results under suitable assumptions about so…
In this paper, we provide conditions which ensure that stochastic Lipschitz BSDEs admit Malliavin differentiable solutions. We investigate the problem of existence of densities for the first components of solutions to general path-dependent stochastic Lipschitz BSDEs and obtain results for the second components in particular cases. We apply these results to both the study of a gene expression model in biology and to the classical pricing problems in mathematical finance.
We investigate the effects of the social interactions of a finite set of agents on an equilibrium pricing mechanism. A derivative written on non-tradable underlyings is introduced to the market and priced in an equilibrium framework by agents who assess risk using convex dynamic risk measures expressed by Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDE). Each agent is not only exposed to financial and non-financial risk factors, but she also faces performance concerns with respect to the other agents. Within our proposed model we prove the existence and uniqueness of an equilibrium whose anal…
The X-valuation adjustment (XVA) problem, which is a recent topic in mathematical finance, is considered and analyzed. First, the basic properties of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) with a random horizon in a progressively enlarged filtration are reviewed. Next, the pricing/hedging problem for defaultable over-the-counter (OTC) derivative securities is described using such BSDEs. An explicit sufficient condition is given to ensure the non-existence of an arbitrage opportunity for both the seller and buyer of the derivative securities. Furthermore, an explicit pricing formula…
This paper constructs and studies the long-term factorization of affine pricing kernels into discounting at the rate of return on the long bond and the martingale component that accomplishes the change of probability measure to the long forward measure. The principal eigenfunction of the affine pricing kernel germane to the long-term factorization is an exponential-affine function of the state vector with the coefficient vector identified with the fixed point of the Riccati ODE. The long bond volatility and the volatility of the martingale component are explicitly identified in terms of this f…
The general problem of asset pricing when the discount rate differs from the rate at which an asset's cash flows accrue is considered. A pricing kernel framework is used to model an economy that is segmented into distinct markets, each identified by a yield curve having its own market, credit and liquidity risk characteristics. The proposed framework precludes arbitrage within each market, while the definition of a curve-conversion factor process links all markets in a consistent arbitrage-free manner. A pricing formula is then derived, referred to as the across-curve pricing formula, which en…
We provide a verification and characterization result of optimal maximal sub-solutions of BSDEs in terms of fully coupled forward backward stochastic differential equations. We illustrate the application thereof in utility optimization with random endowment under probability and discounting uncertainty. We show with explicit examples how to quantify the costs of incompleteness when using utility indifference pricing, as well as a way to find optimal solutions for recursive utilities.
The aim of this thesis is to analyze and renovate few main-stream models on inflation derivatives. In the first chapter of the thesis, concepts of financial instruments and fundamental terms are introduced, such as coupon bond, inflation-indexed bond, swap. In the second chapter of the thesis, classic models along the history of developing quantified interest rate models are introduced and analyzed. Moreover, the classification of interest rate models is introduced to help audiences understand the intrinsic ideology behind each type of models. In the third chapter of the thesis, the related ma…
The risk premium is one of main concepts in mathematical finance. It is a measure of the trade-offs investors make between return and risk and is defined by the excess return relative to the risk-free interest rate that is earned from an asset per one unit of risk. The purpose of this article is to determine upper and lower bounds on the risk premium of an asset based on the market prices of options. One of the key assumptions to achieve this goal is that the market is Markovian. Under this assumption, we can transform the problem of finding the bounds into a second-order differential equation…
The purpose of this article is to describe all possible beliefs of market participants on objective measures under Markovian environments when a risk-neutral measure is given. To achieve this, we employ the Martin integral representation of Markovian pricing kernels. Then, we offer economic and financial implications of this representation. This representation is useful to analyze the long-term behavior of the state variable in the market. The Ross recovery theorem and the long-term behavior of cash flows are discussed as applications.
We consider a stochastic control problem for a class of nonlinear kernels. More precisely, our problem of interest consists in the optimisation, over a set of possibly non-dominated probability measures, of solutions of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). Since BSDEs are nonlinear generalisations of the traditional (linear) expectations, this problem can be understood as stochastic control of a family of nonlinear expectations, or equivalently of nonlinear kernels. Our first main contribution is to prove a dynamic programming principle for this control problem in an abstract se…
Bielecki and Rutkowski (2014) introduced and studied a generic nonlinear market model, which includes several risky assets, multiple funding accounts and margin accounts. In this paper, we examine the pricing and hedging of contract both from the perspective of the hedger and the counterparty with arbitrary initial endowments. We derive inequalities for unilateral prices and we give the range for either fair bilateral prices or bilaterally profitable prices. We also study the monotonicity of a unilateral price with respect to the initial endowment. Our study hinges on results for BSDE driven b…
We construct models for the pricing and risk management of inflation-linked derivatives. The models are rational in the sense that linear payoffs written on the consumer price index have prices that are rational functions of the state variables. The nominal pricing kernel is constructed in a multiplicative manner that allows for closed-form pricing of vanilla inflation products suchlike zero-coupon swaps, year-on-year swaps, caps and floors, and the exotic limited-price-index swap. We study the conditions necessary for the multiplicative nominal pricing kernel to give rise to short rate models…
This article clarifies the relationship between pricing kernel monotonicity and the existence of opportunities for stochastic arbitrage in a complete and frictionless market of derivative securities written on a market portfolio. The relationship depends on whether the payoff distribution of the market portfolio satisfies a technical condition called adequacy, meaning that it is atomless or is comprised of finitely many equally probable atoms. Under adequacy, pricing kernel nonmonotonicity is equivalent to the existence of a strong form of stochastic arbitrage involving distributional replicat…
We suggest a simple reduction of pricing European options in affine jump-diffusion models to pricing options with modified payoffs in diffusion models. The procedure is based on the conjugation of the infinitesimal generator of the model with an operator of the form $e^{iΦ(-i\dd_x)}$ (gauge transformation in the dual space). A general procedure for the calculation of the function $Φ$ is given, with examples. As applications, we consider pricing in jump-diffusion models and their subordinated versions using the eigenfunction expansion technique, and estimation of the extremely rare jumps compon…
The classical derivation of the well-known Vasicek model for interest rates is reformulated in terms of the associated pricing kernel. An advantage of the pricing kernel method is that it allows one to generalize the construction to the Lévy-Vasicek case, avoiding issues of market incompleteness. In the Lévy-Vasicek model the short rate is taken in the real-world measure to be a mean-reverting process with a general one-dimensional Lévy driver admitting exponential moments. Expressions are obtained for the Lévy-Vasicek bond prices and interest rates, along with a formula for the return on a un…
We consider the problem of optimal hedging in an incomplete market with an established pricing kernel. In such a market, prices are uniquely determined, but perfect hedges are usually not available. We work in the rather general setting of a Lévy-Ito market, where assets are driven jointly by an $n$-dimensional Brownian motion and an independent Poisson random measure on an $n$-dimensional state space. Given a position in need of hedging and the instruments available as hedges, we demonstrate the existence of an optimal hedge portfolio, where optimality is defined by use of an expected least s…
