UCB Exploration for Fixed-Budget Bayesian Best Arm Identification
Institute of Science and Technology for Brain-inspired Intelligence, Fudan University（复旦大学脑科学智能技术研究院）；School of Mathematics and Statistics, Wuhan University（武汉大学数学与统计学院）
We study best-arm identification (BAI) in the fixed-budget setting. Adaptive allocations based on upper confidence bounds (UCBs), such as UCBE, are known to work well in BAI. However, it is well-known that its optimal regret is theoretically dependent on instances, which we show to be an artifact in many fixed-budget BAI problems. In this paper we propose an UCB exploration algorithm that is both theoretically and empirically efficient for the fixed budget BAI problem under a Bayesian setting. The key idea is to learn prior information, which can enhance the performance of UCB-based BAI algorithm as it has done in the cumulative regret minimization problem. We establish bounds on the failure probability and the simple regret for the Bayesian BAI problem, providing upper bounds of order $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{K/n})$, up to logarithmic factors, where $n$ represents the budget and $K$ denotes the number of arms. Furthermore, we demonstrate through empirical results that our approach consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines.
University of Wisconsin-Madison（威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校）；Princeton University（普林斯顿大学）
The paper proposes a novel upper confidence bound (UCB) procedure for identifying the arm with the largest mean in a multi-armed bandit game in the fixed confidence setting using a small number of total samples. The procedure cannot be improved in the sense that the number of samples required to identify the best arm is within a constant factor of a lower bound based on the law of the iterated logarithm (LIL). Inspired by the LIL, we construct our confidence bounds to explicitly account for the infinite time horizon of the algorithm. In addition, by using a novel stopping time for the algorith…
In this paper we propose and explore the k-Nearest Neighbour UCB algorithm for multi-armed bandits with covariates. We focus on a setting where the covariates are supported on a metric space of low intrinsic dimension, such as a manifold embedded within a high dimensional ambient feature space. The algorithm is conceptually simple and straightforward to implement. The k-Nearest Neighbour UCB algorithm does not require prior knowledge of the either the intrinsic dimension of the marginal distribution or the time horizon. We prove a regret bound for the k-Nearest Neighbour UCB algorithm which is…
School of Information Science and Technology University of Science and Technology of China（中国科学技术大学信息科学技术学院）
We consider a variant of the classic multi-armed bandit problem where the expected reward of each arm is a function of an unknown parameter. The arms are divided into different groups, each of which has a common parameter. Therefore, when the player selects an arm at each time slot, information of other arms in the same group is also revealed. This regional bandit model naturally bridges the non-informative bandit setting where the player can only learn the chosen arm, and the global bandit model where sampling one arms reveals information of all arms. We propose an efficient algorithm, UCB-g,…
One of the key drivers of complexity in the classical (stochastic) multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem is the difference between mean rewards in the top two arms, also known as the instance gap. The celebrated Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) policy is among the simplest optimism-based MAB algorithms that naturally adapts to this gap: for a horizon of play n, it achieves optimal O(log n) regret in instances with "large" gaps, and a near-optimal O(\sqrt{n log n}) minimax regret when the gap can be arbitrarily "small." This paper provides new results on the arm-sampling behavior of UCB, leading to seve…
The multi-armed bandit problem has been extensively studied under the stationary assumption. However in reality, this assumption often does not hold because the distributions of rewards themselves may change over time. In this paper, we propose a change-detection (CD) based framework for multi-armed bandit problems under the piecewise-stationary setting, and study a class of change-detection based UCB (Upper Confidence Bound) policies, CD-UCB, that actively detects change points and restarts the UCB indices. We then develop CUSUM-UCB and PHT-UCB, that belong to the CD-UCB class and use cumulat…
We introduce in this paper a new algorithm for Multi-Armed Bandit (MAB) problems. A machine learning paradigm popular within Cognitive Network related topics (e.g., Spectrum Sensing and Allocation). We focus on the case where the rewards are exponentially distributed, which is common when dealing with Rayleigh fading channels. This strategy, named Multiplicative Upper Confidence Bound (MUCB), associates a utility index to every available arm, and then selects the arm with the highest index. For every arm, the associated index is equal to the product of a multiplicative factor by the sample mea…
Thompson sampling has become a ubiquitous approach to online decision problems with bandit feedback. The key algorithmic task for Thompson sampling is drawing a sample from the posterior of the optimal action. We propose an alternative arm selection rule we dub TS-UCB, that requires negligible additional computational effort but provides significant performance improvements relative to Thompson sampling. At each step, TS-UCB computes a score for each arm using two ingredients: posterior sample(s) and upper confidence bounds. TS-UCB can be used in any setting where these two quantities are avai…
We consider the problem of finitely parameterized multi-armed bandits where the model of the underlying stochastic environment can be characterized based on a common unknown parameter. The true parameter is unknown to the learning agent. However, the set of possible parameters, which is finite, is known a priori. We propose an algorithm that is simple and easy to implement, which we call Finitely Parameterized Upper Confidence Bound (FP-UCB) algorithm, which uses the information about the underlying parameter set for faster learning. In particular, we show that the FP-UCB algorithm achieves a …
Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati（印度理工学院古瓦哈提分校）；The University of Texas at Austin（德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校）；University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign（伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校）
In the regret-based formulation of Multi-armed Bandit (MAB) problems, except in rare instances, much of the literature focuses on arms with i.i.d. rewards. In this paper, we consider the problem of obtaining regret guarantees for MAB problems in which the rewards of each arm form a Markov chain which may not belong to a single parameter exponential family. To achieve a logarithmic regret in such problems is not difficult: a variation of standard Kullback-Leibler Upper Confidence Bound (KL-UCB) does the job. However, the constants obtained from such an analysis are poor for the following reason…
Mila, Université de Montréal（Mila（蒙特利尔大学））；McGill University（麦吉尔大学）；Mila, Université Laval（Mila（拉瓦尔大学））；Google Research（谷歌研究院）
We propose $\tt RandUCB$, a bandit strategy that builds on theoretically derived confidence intervals similar to upper confidence bound (UCB) algorithms, but akin to Thompson sampling (TS), it uses randomization to trade off exploration and exploitation. In the $K$-armed bandit setting, we show that there are infinitely many variants of $\tt RandUCB$, all of which achieve the minimax-optimal $\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{K T})$ regret after $T$ rounds. Moreover, for a specific multi-armed bandit setting, we show that both UCB and TS can be recovered as special cases of $\tt RandUCB$. For structured ban…
From Theory to Practice with RAVEN-UCB: Addressing Non-Stationarity in Multi-Armed Bandits through Variance Adaptation
School of Business, Central South University（中南大学商学院）；School of Finance and Statistics, Hunan University（湖南大学金融与统计学院）；Wisdom Lake Academy of Pharmacy, Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University（西安交通大学利物浦大学智慧湖药学院）
In this work I study the problem of adversarial perturbations to rewards, in a Multi-armed bandit (MAB) setting. Specifically, I focus on an adversarial attack to a UCB type best-arm identification policy applied to a stochastic MAB. The UCB attack presented in [1] results in pulling a target arm K very often. I used the attack model of [1] to derive the sample complexity required for selecting target arm K as the best arm. I have proved that the stopping condition of UCB based best-arm identification algorithm given in [2], can be achieved by the target arm K in T rounds, where T depends only…
I present the first algorithm for stochastic finite-armed bandits that simultaneously enjoys order-optimal problem-dependent regret and worst-case regret. Besides the theoretical results, the new algorithm is simple, efficient and empirically superb. The approach is based on UCB, but with a carefully chosen confidence parameter that optimally balances the risk of failing confidence intervals against the cost of excessive optimism.
The Ohio State University（俄亥俄州立大学）；AT&T Labs Research（AT&T实验室研究部）
In this work, we address the open problem of finding low-complexity near-optimal multi-armed bandit algorithms for sequential decision making problems. Existing bandit algorithms are either sub-optimal and computationally simple (e.g., UCB1) or optimal and computationally complex (e.g., kl-UCB). We propose a boosting approach to Upper Confidence Bound based algorithms for stochastic bandits, that we call UCBoost. Specifically, we propose two types of UCBoost algorithms. We show that UCBoost($D$) enjoys $O(1)$ complexity for each arm per round as well as regret guarantee that is $1/e$-close to …
Indian Institute of Technology Madras（马德拉斯印度理工学院）；Indian Institute of Technology Tirupati（蒂鲁帕蒂印度理工学院）
We propose a novel variant of the UCB algorithm (referred to as Efficient-UCB-Variance (EUCBV)) for minimizing cumulative regret in the stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) setting. EUCBV incorporates the arm elimination strategy proposed in UCB-Improved \citep{auer2010ucb}, while taking into account the variance estimates to compute the arms' confidence bounds, similar to UCBV \citep{audibert2009exploration}. Through a theoretical analysis we establish that EUCBV incurs a \emph{gap-dependent} regret bound of {\scriptsize $O\left( \dfrac{Kσ^2_{\max} \log (TΔ^2 /K)}Δ\right)$} after $T$ trials, w…
LINE Plus Corporation（LINE Plus公司）；Pohang University of Science and Technology（浦项科技大学）
We consider a multi-armed bandit problem in which a set of arms is registered by each agent, and the agent receives reward when its arm is selected. An agent might strategically submit more arms with replications, which can bring more reward by abusing the bandit algorithm's exploration-exploitation balance. Our analysis reveals that a standard algorithm indeed fails at preventing replication and suffers from linear regret in time $T$. We aim to design a bandit algorithm which demotivates replications and also achieves a small cumulative regret. We devise Hierarchical UCB (H-UCB) of replicatio…
A classic setting of the stochastic K-armed bandit problem is considered in this note. In this problem it has been known that KL-UCB policy achieves the asymptotically optimal regret bound and KL-UCB+ policy empirically performs better than the KL-UCB policy although the regret bound for the original form of the KL-UCB+ policy has been unknown. This note demonstrates that a simple proof of the asymptotic optimality of the KL-UCB+ policy can be given by the same technique as those used for analyses of other known policies.
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign（伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校）
Contextual bandits aim to identify among a set of arms the optimal one with the highest reward based on their contextual information. Motivated by the fact that the arms usually exhibit group behaviors and the mutual impacts exist among groups, we introduce a new model, Arm Group Graph (AGG), where the nodes represent the groups of arms and the weighted edges formulate the correlations among groups. To leverage the rich information in AGG, we propose a bandit algorithm, AGG-UCB, where the neural networks are designed to estimate rewards, and we propose to utilize graph neural networks (GNN) to…
Microsoft Research NYC（微软研究院纽约中心）；Cornell University（康奈尔大学）
We study the stochastic multi-armed bandit problem with the graph-based feedback structure introduced by Mannor and Shamir. We analyze the performance of the two most prominent stochastic bandit algorithms, Thompson Sampling and Upper Confidence Bound (UCB), in the graph-based feedback setting. We show that these algorithms achieve regret guarantees that combine the graph structure and the gaps between the means of the arm distributions. Surprisingly this holds despite the fact that these algorithms do not explicitly use the graph structure to select arms; they observe the additional feedback …
A characterization of sample adaptivity in UCB data
School of Data Science, the Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen (CUHK Shenzhen)（香港中文大学（深圳）数据科学学院）；School of Management and Economics, the Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen (CUHK Shenzhen)（香港中文大学（深圳）经管学院）
Online learning in a two-sided matching market, with demand side agents continuously competing to be matched with supply side (arms), abstracts the complex interactions under partial information on matching platforms (e.g. UpWork, TaskRabbit). We study the decentralized serial dictatorship setting, a two-sided matching market where the demand side agents have unknown and heterogeneous valuation over the supply side (arms), while the arms have known uniform preference over the demand side (agents). We design the first decentralized algorithm -- UCB with Decentralized Dominant-arm Deletion (UCB-…
We consider a novel multi-armed bandit framework where the rewards obtained by pulling the arms are functions of a common latent random variable. The correlation between arms due to the common random source can be used to design a generalized upper-confidence-bound (UCB) algorithm that identifies certain arms as $non-competitive$, and avoids exploring them. As a result, we reduce a $K$-armed bandit problem to a $C+1$-armed problem, where $C+1$ includes the best arm and $C$ $competitive$ arms. Our regret analysis shows that the competitive arms need to be pulled $\mathcal{O}(\log T)$ times, whi…
Tsinghua University（清华大学）；The Chinese University of Hong Kong（香港中文大学）
We study the online restless bandit problem, where the state of each arm evolves according to a Markov chain, and the reward of pulling an arm depends on both the pulled arm and the current state of the corresponding Markov chain. In this paper, we propose Restless-UCB, a learning policy that follows the explore-then-commit framework. In Restless-UCB, we present a novel method to construct offline instances, which only requires $O(N)$ time-complexity ($N$ is the number of arms) and is exponentially better than the complexity of existing learning policy. We also prove that Restless-UCB achieves…
Multi-armed bandit (MAB) is a class of online learning problems where a learning agent aims to maximize its expected cumulative reward while repeatedly selecting to pull arms with unknown reward distributions. We consider a scenario where the reward distributions may change in a piecewise-stationary fashion at unknown time steps. We show that by incorporating a simple change-detection component with classic UCB algorithms to detect and adapt to changes, our so-called M-UCB algorithm can achieve nearly optimal regret bound on the order of $O(\sqrt{MKT\log T})$, where $T$ is the number of time s…
Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；University of Wisconsin-Madison（威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校）
We consider a finite-armed structured bandit problem in which mean rewards of different arms are known functions of a common hidden parameter $θ^*$. Since we do not place any restrictions of these functions, the problem setting subsumes several previously studied frameworks that assume linear or invertible reward functions. We propose a novel approach to gradually estimate the hidden $θ^*$ and use the estimate together with the mean reward functions to substantially reduce exploration of sub-optimal arms. This approach enables us to fundamentally generalize any classic bandit algorithm includi…
We consider a variant of the multi-armed bandit model, which we call multi-armed bandit problem with known trend, where the gambler knows the shape of the reward function of each arm but not its distribution. This new problem is motivated by different online problems like active learning, music and interface recommendation applications, where when an arm is sampled by the model the received reward change according to a known trend. By adapting the standard multi-armed bandit algorithm UCB1 to take advantage of this setting, we propose the new algorithm named A-UCB that assumes a stochastic mod…
We analyze the $K$-armed bandit problem where the reward for each arm is a noisy realization based on an observed context under mild nonparametric assumptions. We attain tight results for top-arm identification and a sublinear regret of $\widetilde{O}\Big(T^{\frac{1+D}{2+D}}\Big)$, where $D$ is the context dimension, for a modified UCB algorithm that is simple to implement ($k$NN-UCB). We then give global intrinsic dimension dependent and ambient dimension independent regret bounds. We also discuss recovering topological structures within the context space based on expected bandit performance …
NEC Corporation（日本电气股份有限公司）；The University of Tokyo（东京大学）
Combinatorial linear semi-bandits (CLS) are widely applicable frameworks of sequential decision-making, in which a learner chooses a subset of arms from a given set of arms associated with feature vectors. Existing algorithms work poorly for the clustered case, in which the feature vectors form several large clusters. This shortcoming is critical in practice because it can be found in many applications, including recommender systems. In this paper, we clarify why such a shortcoming occurs, and we introduce a key technique of arm-wise randomization to overcome it. We propose two algorithms with…
Stochastic Multi-Armed Bandits with Limited Control Variates
Singapore-MIT Alliance for Research（新加坡-麻省理工联合研究与技术中心）；Technology Centre（技术中心）；Department of IEOR Indian Institute of Technology Bombay（工业工程与运营研究系印度理工学院班加罗尔）；Department of DSAI Indian Institute of Technology Madras（数据科学与人工智能系印度理工学院马德拉斯）
We obtain the upper bound of the loss function for a strategy in the multi-armed bandit problem with Gaussian distributions of incomes. Considered strategy is an asymptotic generalization of the strategy proposed by J. Bather for the multi-armed bandit problem and using UCB rule, i.e. choosing the action corresponding to the maximum of the upper bound of the confidence interval of the current estimate of the expected value of one-step income. Results are obtained with the help of invariant description of the control on the unit horizon in the domain of close distributions because just there th…
Indian Institute of Science（印度科学学院）；IBM India Research Labs（IBM印度研究实验室）
We study the problem of training an accurate linear regression model by procuring labels from multiple noisy crowd annotators, under a budget constraint. We propose a Bayesian model for linear regression in crowdsourcing and use variational inference for parameter estimation. To minimize the number of labels crowdsourced from the annotators, we adopt an active learning approach. In this specific context, we prove the equivalence of well-studied criteria of active learning like entropy minimization and expected error reduction. Interestingly, we observe that we can decouple the problems of iden…
We consider a budgeted combinatorial multi-armed bandit setting where, in every round, the algorithm selects a super-arm consisting of one or more arms. The goal is to minimize the total expected regret after all rounds within a limited budget. Existing techniques in this literature either fix the budget per round or fix the number of arms pulled in each round. Our setting is more general where based on the remaining budget and remaining number of rounds, the algorithm can decide how many arms to be pulled in each round. First, we propose CBwK-Greedy-UCB algorithm, which uses a greedy techniqu…
In this paper, we study the combinatorial multi-armed bandit problem (CMAB) with probabilistically triggered arms (PTAs). Under the assumption that the arm triggering probabilities (ATPs) are positive for all arms, we prove that a class of upper confidence bound (UCB) policies, named Combinatorial UCB with exploration rate $κ$ (CUCB-$κ$), and Combinatorial Thompson Sampling (CTS), which estimates the expected states of the arms via Thompson sampling, achieve bounded regret. In addition, we prove that CUCB-$0$ and CTS incur $O(\sqrt{T})$ gap-independent regret. These results improve the results…
We consider the problem where $N$ agents collaboratively interact with an instance of a stochastic $K$ arm bandit problem for $K \gg N$. The agents aim to simultaneously minimize the cumulative regret over all the agents for a total of $T$ time steps, the number of communication rounds, and the number of bits in each communication round. We present Limited Communication Collaboration - Upper Confidence Bound (LCC-UCB), a doubling-epoch based algorithm where each agent communicates only after the end of the epoch and shares the index of the best arm it knows. With our algorithm, LCC-UCB, each a…
Indian Institute of Technology Madras（印度理工学院马德拉斯分校）
In this paper we propose the Augmented-UCB (AugUCB) algorithm for a fixed-budget version of the thresholding bandit problem (TBP), where the objective is to identify a set of arms whose quality is above a threshold. A key feature of AugUCB is that it uses both mean and variance estimates to eliminate arms that have been sufficiently explored; to the best of our knowledge this is the first algorithm to employ such an approach for the considered TBP. Theoretically, we obtain an upper bound on the loss (probability of mis-classification) incurred by AugUCB. Although UCBEV in literature provides a…
Netflix（奈飞）；Stanford University（斯坦福大学）；NYU Stern School of Business（纽约大学斯特恩商学院）
During online decision making in Multi-Armed Bandits (MAB), one needs to conduct inference on the true mean reward of each arm based on data collected so far at each step. However, since the arms are adaptively selected--thereby yielding non-iid data--conducting inference accurately is not straightforward. In particular, sample averaging, which is used in the family of UCB and Thompson sampling (TS) algorithms, does not provide a good choice as it suffers from bias and a lack of good statistical properties (e.g. asymptotic normality). Our thesis in this paper is that more sophisticated inferen…
Department of CSE, POSTECH, Pohang, Republic of Korea（POSTECH 电子工程系）；Graduate School of AI, POSTECH, Pohang, Republic of Korea（POSTECH 人工智能研究生院）；Microsoft Research, Beijing, China（微软研究院）；Qiuzhen College, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China（清华大学求真学院）
The exploration/exploitation (E/E) dilemma arises naturally in many subfields of Science. Multi-armed bandit problems formalize this dilemma in its canonical form. Most current research in this field focuses on generic solutions that can be applied to a wide range of problems. However, in practice, it is often the case that a form of prior information is available about the specific class of target problems. Prior knowledge is rarely used in current solutions due to the lack of a systematic approach to incorporate it into the E/E strategy. To address a specific class of E/E problems, we propos…
We study the nonstationary stochastic Multi-Armed Bandit (MAB) problem in which the distribution of rewards associated with each arm are assumed to be time-varying and the total variation in the expected rewards is subject to a variation budget. The regret of a policy is defined by the difference in the expected cumulative rewards obtained using the policy and using an oracle that selects the arm with the maximum mean reward at each time. We characterize the performance of the proposed policies in terms of the worst-case regret, which is the supremum of the regret over the set of reward distri…
I introduce and analyse an anytime version of the Optimally Confident UCB (OCUCB) algorithm designed for minimising the cumulative regret in finite-armed stochastic bandits with subgaussian noise. The new algorithm is simple, intuitive (in hindsight) and comes with the strongest finite-time regret guarantees for a horizon-free algorithm so far. I also show a finite-time lower bound that nearly matches the upper bound.
UC San Diego（加州大学圣地亚哥分校）；West Virginia University（西弗吉尼亚大学）
We propose a novel modification of the standard upper confidence bound (UCB) method for the stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem which tunes the confidence bound of a given bandit based on its distance to others. Our UCB distance tuning (UCB-DT) formulation enables improved performance as measured by expected regret by preventing the MAB algorithm from focusing on non-optimal bandits which is a well-known deficiency of standard UCB. "Distance tuning" of the standard UCB is done using a proposed distance measure, which we call bandit distance, that is parameterizable and which therefore …
Extended UCB Policies for Multi-armed Bandit Problems
School of Mathematics and Physics（数学与物理学院）；Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University（西安交通大学利物浦大学）；School of Mathematics（数学学院）；Nanjing University（南京大学）；National Key Laboratory for Novel Software Technology（新型软件技术国家实验室）；School of Artificial Intelligence（人工智能学院）
